Astral Codex Ten Podcast feed 2024年07月17日
SSC Survey: Scattered Negative Results
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博客流量下降,作者决定通过分析去年SSC调查中的感知问题负面结果来吸引读者。尽管能够复制一些暗示性结果,但未能进一步扩展或强化这些结果,形成有趣的框架。

🔍 作者尝试复制和扩展去年关于跨性别者对视错觉免疫的研究,发现跨性别状态与三种面具错觉平均相关性非常弱(r = -0.04, p = 0.001)。

🧠 作者试图将感知与认知联系起来,通过给参与者一个基于心理健康、政治观点和性别身份的“怪异指数”,发现指数高的人对错觉的模糊容忍度更高,但这些结果并不显著。

🔬 尽管有独立验证的结果,但由于相关性较低,作者认为这些发现难以引起兴奋,且没有进一步深入研究的价值。

Traffic to this blog is declining. I need to act decisively to draw people back. Write something so interesting it can’t help but go viral. I’m going to write about…negative results from the perception questions on last year’s survey.

The last SSC survey had a lot of optical illusions and visual riddles. I had hoped to expand on some of the work in Why Are Transgender People Immune To Optical Illusions and Can We Link Perception And Cognition? This post is a very brief summary of results and, basically, an admission of failure. While I was able to replicate the same suggestive results as in the last survey, I was unable to expand on them, strengthen them, or really turn them into any kind of interesting framework.

I was able to weakly replicate the headline result from Why Are Transgender People Immune To Optical Illusions: transgender status still correlated with all three mask illusions, and with the average of all three mask illusions, but very weakly: r = -0.04, p = 0.001. This was true even when I excluded everyone who took place in last year’s survey, providing an independent confirmation of the result. But with correlations this low, it’s hard to get too excited.

I was also able to weakly replicate the headline result from Can We Link Perception And Cognition?. I haphazardly gave people a “weirdness score” based on them having more mental illnesses, more unusual political opinions, and more minority sexual/gender identities (without looking at their illusion results). People with higher weirdness scores consistently had more ambiguity-tolerant results on illusions, with correlations around r = 0.05 for most tests. They also had notably higher average Tolerance of Uncertainty Test scores. But none of these results were very striking and there was minimal individual structure in them. If I was going to take this further I would have come up with a more principled definition of weirdness, but at this point it doesn’t seem worth it.

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感知问题 负面结果 视错觉 认知研究
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