Astral Codex Ten Podcast feed 2024年07月17日
My California Ballot
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本文作者分享了其对加州州长和公投的初步投票选择,并简要说明了其支持或反对的理由。作者对民主党候选人加文·纽森持保留态度,但认为共和党候选人约翰·考克斯缺乏相关经验,且立场过于偏向特朗普。最终,作者选择支持纽森,并表达了对加州未来的担忧。

🤔 作者对加州州长选举持谨慎态度,认为加州公投具有特殊性,可能对立法机构产生永久性影响,因此需要谨慎对待。

🤨 作者对民主党候选人加文·纽森持保留态度,认为他曾在“关怀而非现金”运动中限制对无家可归者的资金援助,并因婚外情丑闻而受到批评。

😮 作者对共和党候选人约翰·考克斯缺乏相关执政经验表示担忧,并指出他曾支持一项要求议员佩戴其前十大捐助者标识的公投提案,以及一个由12,000名成员组成的立法机构改革计划,这些提案都显得过于激进。

😔 作者最终选择支持纽森,并表达了对加州未来的担忧,认为纽森的胜选可能是加州的“不幸之幸”。

These are my preliminary choices for California elected positions and ballot initiatives. Some of them are based on Ozy’s recommendations and the Berkeley EA and rationalist community’s recommendations. I agree with the latter’s note that because California ballot propositions are weird superlaws that permanently overrule the legislature unless repealed by voters, in general we should be very cautious about them (though some of them were recommended by the legislature itself, since for complicated reasons it needs voter support to do certain things).

I’m giving first-level justifications for my votes (ie “I support this person because she wants higher taxes”) but not always second-level justifications (“here’s why higher taxes are good”). You can usually find discussion of these on other blog posts.

Governor of California is the big one. Democrat Gavin Newsom is a former successful businessman, mayor of San Francisco, and lieutenant governor of California (also second cousin of musician Joanna Newsom). He has stated that if elected, he will let people call him “the Gavinator”. Republican John Cox is a former successful businessman, best known for sponsoring a ballot initiative to make legislators wear the logos of their top 10 donors on the State Assembly floor, “much like NASCAR drivers”. He also has a fascinating plan to reform politics from the ground up with a 12,000 (!) member legislature. I don’t really like Newsom – he led a movement called “Care Not Cash” to restrict giving money to the homeless, and supposedly opposed anti-gay Proposition 8 so incompetently that his statements may have increased support for the measure. He also had an affair with his campaign manager’s wife in a scandal that seemed unusually scummy even for a politician. I like John Cox as a person, but he doesn’t seem to have any relevant governing experience. And he was anti-Trump until Trump became popular among Republicans, then about-faced and decided Trump was his new best friend, and now he’s basically just a Trumpist. I am going with Newsom; God help me, God help California.

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加州选举 州长 公投 加文·纽森 约翰·考克斯
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