美国国务卿蓬佩奥在尼克松图书馆发表重要讲话，宣告美国对华政策的重大转变，认为50年来的接触政策失败，呼吁自由世界共同对抗中国的新专制主义。蓬佩奥将中国与苏联进行对比，指出中国与全球经济深度融合，但中国对美国的依赖程度高于美国对中国的依赖。他强调，自由世界不应该屈服于中国共产党的霸权，否则未来将会面临中国共产党的控制。

🤔 美国国务卿蓬佩奥在尼克松图书馆发表演讲，宣告美国对华政策的重大转变。他认为，50年来的接触政策失败，中国已经成为一个“新的暴政”，并呼吁自由世界共同对抗中国。这种观点在一定程度上标志着美国对华政策从“接触与合作”转向“竞争与对抗”。 蓬佩奥在演讲中将中国与苏联进行对比，指出中国与全球经济深度融合，但中国对美国的依赖程度高于美国对中国的依赖。他认为，美国有能力通过经济和军事手段对抗中国，并最终迫使中国屈服。 蓬佩奥的演讲引发了广泛的关注和讨论。一些人认为，美国应该采取更加强硬的政策来遏制中国，而另一些人则认为，美国应该继续与中国进行对话和合作，以维护世界和平与稳定。

🧐 蓬佩奥的演讲也引发了人们对美国对华政策的反思。近年来，美国对华政策一直处于调整之中，从奥巴马政府的“重返亚太”战略，到特朗普政府的“贸易战”和“科技战”，再到蓬佩奥的“新冷战”论调，美国对华政策正在变得越来越强硬。 这种转变的背后是美国对中国崛起带来的挑战的担忧。中国在经济、科技、军事等方面取得了快速发展，其综合实力已经接近美国。美国担心中国会挑战其在世界上的霸权地位，因此采取了一系列措施来遏制中国的发展。 美国对华政策的调整也反映了美国国内政治的复杂性。特朗普政府的“美国优先”政策以及对中国的强硬态度，在一定程度上迎合了美国国内的民粹主义情绪。

🤨 蓬佩奥的演讲也引发了人们对未来世界格局的担忧。如果美国真的与中国进行“新冷战”，那么世界将会面临更加复杂和不确定的局面。 首先，中美两国之间的经济联系十分紧密，一旦发生“新冷战”，将会对全球经济造成重大冲击。 其次，中美两国在科技领域的竞争将会更加激烈，这可能会导致科技发展停滞，甚至引发新的冲突。 最后，中美两国之间的军事对抗将会增加世界范围内的安全风险，甚至可能引发新的战争。

🚀 美国对华政策的转变将对世界格局产生深远的影响，我们应该密切关注事态发展，并积极寻求维护世界和平与稳定的解决方案。

🙄 美国对华政策的转变，是全球政治经济格局变化的必然结果。

🤯 中美关系的未来，将决定世界未来的走向。

🤔 中美关系的未来，将决定世界未来的走向。

🤨 中美关系的未来，将决定世界未来的走向。

🧐 中美关系的未来，将决定世界未来的走向。

In Episode 149 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Orville Schell, Director of the Center on U.S.-China Relations at the Asia Society about the implications of Secretary of State Mike Pompeo's monumental speech at the Nixon Library, the history of engagement with China’s Communist Party, and what a New Cold War with China will mean for the future of peace and security.

Dr. Schell’s career as a China scholar spans the entire arch of US-Sino relations since Nixon’s fateful trip to the Middle Kingdom in 1972 and the opening up of China to the world.

The same year (1967) that Dr. Schell earned his master's degree in Chinese studies an astounding 70 percent of Americans agreed on one thing: the greatest threat to U.S. security was the People’s Republic of China. After fifty years of engagement where relations between the two nations would improve dramatically, Americans are now back to viewing China as an enemy.

A Pew Research Center poll conducted in March 2020 shows that roughly two-thirds of Americans now say they have an unfavorable view of China, the most negative rating for the country since the Center began asking the question in 2005, and up nearly 20 percentage points since the start of the Trump administration. Positive views of China’s leader, President Xi Jinping, are also at historically low levels.

In a recent speech delivered at the Nixon Presidential Library, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo declared the failure of 50 years of engagement with China and called for the free world to stand up against this “new tyranny” in what felt very much like the beginning of a new cold war. 

“It’s true, there are differences,” remarked Pompeo, when contrasting China to the USSR. “Unlike the Soviet Union, China is deeply integrated into the global economy. But Beijing is more dependent on us than we are on them.” “I reject the notion,” he continued, “that we’re living in an age of inevitability, that some trap is pre-ordained, that CCP supremacy is the future. . . . If we bend the knee now, our children’s children may be at the mercy of the Chinese Communist Party, whose actions are the primary challenge today in the free world. General Secretary Xi is not destined to tyrannize inside and outside of China forever unless we allow it.”

In their conversation, Orville Schell and Demetri Kofinas discuss the speech, what it means for US-Sino relations, and the implications of disengagement for the US, China, and the world.

You can access the episode overtime, as well as the transcript and rundown to this week’s episode through the Hidden Forces Patreon Page. All subscribers gain access to our overtime feed, which can be easily added to your favorite podcast application.

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Episode Recorded on 07/29/2020