Fortune | FORTUNE 2小时前
Startup down rounds are at a 10 year high, according to PitchBook data
index_new5.html
../../../zaker_core/zaker_tpl_static/wap/tpl_guoji1.html

 

2020年初的科技公司高估值时代已逐渐降温,2025年以来风投支持的交易中,估值下降(down round)的比例已达10年来的最高点,接近15.9%。多数大型IPO上市公司的实际估值远低于其峰值,如MNTN、Circle、Hinge和Chime等都经历了显著的估值回调。尽管人工智能领域仍是亮点,但该垂直领域内的估值下降比例也达到29.3%。然而,头部AI公司如OpenAI和Anthropic的估值依然惊人,且AI初创公司的估值溢价依然显著。尽管IPO市场有所回暖,但大量独角兽公司上市后,为风投机构及其LP带来的回报仍然有限,今年上市的独角兽仅占美国独角兽总数的1%。

**估值普遍下滑,风投交易回归理性**:2025年以来,风险投资支持的交易中出现估值下降(down round)的比例达到10年来的最高点15.9%,表明早期高估值现象正在消退,市场回归更为审慎和理性的估值水平。

**IPO市场表现分化,大型公司估值缩水**:近期上市的许多大型公司,包括MNTN、Circle、Hinge和Chime等,其IPO时的估值均远低于其峰值,这反映了市场对高增长预期和实际业绩之间差距的重新评估,也给投资者带来了现实的价值回归。

**AI领域仍具韧性,但非免疫**:尽管AI和机器学习领域表现出一定的韧性,29.3%的估值下降交易也出现在该领域,显示其并非完全不受市场调整影响。然而,头部AI公司如OpenAI和Anthropic的估值依旧高企,且AI初创公司在中期融资(Series B)阶段的估值提升倍数(2.1x)仍显著高于其他行业(1.4x),显示AI赛道仍受资本青睐。

**IPO市场回暖,但对风投回报仍有限**:2025年第二季度美国风投支持的初创公司退出总价值达到670亿美元,是自2021年第四季度以来的最高点,表明IPO市场有所回暖。然而,今年上市的独角兽仅占美国独角兽总数的1%,这意味着对风投机构及其LP的回报依然有限,市场仍存在大量未实现价值的独角兽。

**风投交易动态与行业聚焦**:文章还列举了近期多项风投交易,涵盖了AI数据训练、AI营销平台、健康科技、AI服务台、合同智能平台、游戏AI引擎、食品科技以及AI代理平台等领域,显示了AI技术在各行业的广泛应用和资本的持续关注。此外,私募股权领域也出现大型公司私有化和并购交易,如WideOpenWest被私有化以及Cardinal Health对Solaris Health的收购。

The soaring valuations of the early 2020s are, finally, coming back to earth.

This week, PitchBook data revealed that 15.9% of venture-backed deals in 2025 so far have been down rounds, marking a decade high. Additionally, almost every major IPO listing in Q2 hit the public markets below its peak valuation, the data from PitchBook adds. Some examples include MNTN (at IPO, valuation was down from $2 billion to $1.1 billion), Circle (dropping from $7.7 billion to $5.8 billion), Hinge (valuation at IPO was $6.2 billion, down from the $23 billion high), and Chime (going public at $9.1 billion from a $25 billion peak valuation). 

AI continues to be a bright spot in many ways—but isn’t entirely exempt either, as 29.3% of down rounds were in PitchBook’s broad AI and machine learning vertical. Of course, the biggest names in AI—like OpenAI, reportedly heading towards a $500 billion valuation, and Anthropic, reportedly raising at a $170 billion valuation—continue to hit eye-popping levels. And lower on the food chain, AI is still consistently valued at a premium, with PitchBook reporting that median Series B step-up for AI startups is 2.1x, well above the median of 1.4x that all other categories fetch. 

The IPO market is, some would say, back. (I think it pretty much is, but also has been for a while, for those with the stomach for it.) In Q2, venture-backed startups in the U.S. generated $67 billion in exit value, PitchBook said—the highest since the last quarter of 2021. But here’s a sobering fact: There are still lots of unicorns out there, so distributions back to VC firms and by extension their LPs are limited. 

An unsurprising but ice-cold (and very down-to-earth) number to leave you with: The unicorns that have made their public debut this year comprise a mere 1% of all U.S. unicorns.

See you tomorrow,

Allie Garfinkle
X:
@agarfinks
Email: alexandra.garfinkle@fortune.com
Submit a deal for the Term Sheet newsletter here.

Joey Abrams curated the deals section of today’s newsletter. Subscribe here.

Venture Deals

- Reprieve Cardiovascular, a Milford, Mass.-based developer of intelligent decongestion management therapy designed to treat acute decompensated heart failure, raised $61 million in Series B funding. Deerfield Management led the round and was joined by Arboretum Ventures, Lightstone Ventures, Sante Ventures, Genesis Capital, and others.

- Protege, a New York City-based developer of data sets designed for AI training, raised $25 million in Series A funding. Footwork led the round and was joined by CRV, Bloomberg Beta, Flex Capital, Liquid 2 Ventures, Shaper Capital, and others.

- Evertune, a New York City-based AI marketing platform, raised $15 million in Series A funding. Felicis Ventures led the round and was joined by Eniac Ventures, NextView Ventures, and angel investors. 

- Isaac Health, a New York City-based health technology company for brain health and dementia care, raised $10.5 million in Series A funding. Flare Capital led the round and was joined by Industry Ventures, Black Opal Ventures, Meridian Street Capital, B Capital, and Primetime Partners.

- Thread, a New York City-based developer of an AI service desk for managed service providers, raised $8 million in funding. Integr8d Capital and David Bellini led the round and were joined by Headline, Adam Slutskin, Vince Kent, and others.

- Infinity Loop, a New York City-based AI-powered contract intelligence platform, raised $5 million in seed funding. Glasswing Ventures and TIAA Ventures led the round and were joined by Plug and Play, Restive Ventures, and angel investors.

- Studio Atelico, a San Francisco and London, U.K.-based developer of an AI engine for video games, raised $5 million in seed funding from Air Street Capital and angel investors.

- Prefer, a Singapore-based food tech company, raised $4.2 million in funding. At One Ventures and Chancery Hill Capital led the round and were joined by existing investor Forge Ventures.

- Archestra, a London, U.K.-based platform designed to enable companies to securely use AI agents and connect them to internal data sources safely, raised $3.3 million in pre-seed funding. Concept Ventures led the round and was joined by Zero Prime Ventures, Celero Ventures, RTP Global, and others.

Private Equity

- Crestview Partners and DigitalBridge Investments agreed to take WideOpenWest, an Englewood, Colo.-based broadband provider, private for approximately $1.5 billion. 

- Agility Retail Group, backed by San Francisco Equity Partners, acquired Infinity Retail Services, a Turtle Lake, Wis.-based designer and manufacturer of retail fixtures and displays. Financial terms were not disclosed.

- Blue Owl Capital acquired South Reach Networks, a Miami, Fla.-based fiber infrastructure provider. Financial terms were not disclosed. 

Exits

- Cardinal Health agreed to acquire Solaris Health, a Fort Lauderdale, Fla.-based health care platform, from Lee Equity Partners for $1.9 billion.

Other

- PNC Bank agreed to acquire Aqueduct Capital Group, a New York City-based broker dealer. Financial terms were not disclosed.

People

- H.I.G. Capital, a Miami, Fla.-based private equity firm, hired Harrison B. Davis as a managing director on its Small-Cap & Growth team. He previously was with TZP Group.

Fish AI Reader

Fish AI Reader

AI辅助创作,多种专业模板,深度分析,高质量内容生成。从观点提取到深度思考,FishAI为您提供全方位的创作支持。新版本引入自定义参数,让您的创作更加个性化和精准。

FishAI

FishAI

鱼阅,AI 时代的下一个智能信息助手,助你摆脱信息焦虑

联系邮箱 441953276@qq.com

相关标签

风投 估值 IPO AI 独角兽
相关文章