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Unified Bayesian Frameworks for Multi-criteria Decision-making Problems
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本文提出利用贝叶斯框架解决多标准决策问题,包括群体决策和标准相关性挑战,并验证了模型在处理大规模决策场景和不确定性偏好方面的有效性。

arXiv:2208.13390v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: This paper introduces Bayesian frameworks for tackling various aspects of multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) problems, leveraging a probabilistic interpretation of MCDM methods and challenges. By harnessing the flexibility of Bayesian models, the proposed frameworks offer statistically elegant solutions to key challenges in MCDM, such as group decision-making problems and criteria correlation. Additionally, these models can accommodate diverse forms of uncertainty in decision makers' (DMs) preferences, including normal and triangular distributions, as well as interval preferences. To address large-scale group MCDM scenarios, a probabilistic mixture model is developed, enabling the identification of homogeneous subgroups of DMs. Furthermore, a probabilistic ranking scheme is devised to assess the relative importance of criteria and alternatives based on DM(s) preferences. Through experimentation on various numerical examples, the proposed frameworks are validated, demonstrating their effectiveness and highlighting their distinguishing features in comparison to alternative methods.

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贝叶斯框架 多标准决策 MCDM问题
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