Fortune | FORTUNE 15小时前
The American Dream is no longer red, white, and blue—it’s gray. There are now more homebuyers over age 70 than under 35
index_new5.html
../../../zaker_core/zaker_tpl_static/wap/tpl_guoji1.html

 

文章指出,在美国,年轻一代购房者正面临前所未有的挑战。高抵押贷款利率和不断飙升的房价使得千禧一代和Z世代难以进入房地产市场。数据显示,2024年美国70岁以上购房者数量超过35岁以下购房者,60岁以上人群占总购房量的46%。首次购房者的平均年龄已从1991年的28岁上升至2024年的38岁,甚至有分析称 median age of home buyers is 56. 房价上涨速度远超工资增长,导致年轻人难以负担,美国梦的基石——拥有房产,正变得遥不可及。

🏠 年轻购房者比例锐减:2024年美国70岁以上购房者多于35岁以下,60岁以上人群占据了46%的市场份额,而年轻的千禧一代和Z世代仅占14%和5%。

📈 购房年龄大幅推迟:首次购房者的平均年龄从1991年的28岁飙升至2024年的38岁,整体购房者中位数年龄更是高达56岁,这反映了市场准入门槛的显著提高。

💸 房价收入比失衡严重:房价和租金的上涨速度远超收入增长,导致美国平均工资仅能负担中等价位房屋的一半,购房负担加重,削弱了年轻人实现美国梦的可能性。

⏳ 代际财富转移受阻:高利率和高房价延缓了房产从老一代向年轻一代的转移,若想改善现状,需要利率下降、房价调整或年轻人工资大幅增长。

It’s become increasingly difficult in recent years for young home buyers to break into the housing market. Between comparatively high mortgage rates and skyrocketing home prices, the weight of buying a home feels insurmountable for Gen Z and millennials. 

And it shows in the data: In 2024, there were more home buyers over the age of 70 in the U.S. than under the age of 35, data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) shows. 

According to NAR, the share of “older” baby boomer (1946-1954) home buyers was 22%, while the share of “younger” millennials (1990-1998) and Gen Zers (1999-2011) were just 14% and 5%, respectively. And as Jim Reid, head of global macro research at Deutsche Bank pointed out in a note this week, 46% of homes purchased in 2024 were by those aged 60 and over.

Younger buyers struggling to break into the housing market

Historically, younger buyers have made up a much larger piece of the pie. The median age of a first-time home buyer was 28 years old in 1991. That jumped to 38 years old in 2024, according to NAR. And “rising home prices and high mortgage rates have pushed” the median age of home buyers to a record-high of 56 years old in 2024, up from 46 in 2021,” wrote Apollo Academy Chief Economist Torsten Sløk, citing NAR data.

That’s not a great omen for the American dream, which has long been regarded as owning a home. It’s typically the largest asset a person will buy in their lifetime and home equity can serve as a nice nest egg for future home purchases or cashing out after a sale. 

“Over the long run, property is an asset that ultimately gets redistributed from one generation to the next,” Reid wrote. 

But many members of the younger generations don’t have that opportunity. 

“Right now, that handoff is being stalled by high interest rates and elevated home prices,” Reid added. “At some point, either—or both—will have to adjust, or real wages for younger people will need to rise sharply.”

That’s another crux of the problem: Wages haven’t kept up with home prices. According to a 2024 report from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, rents and house prices have been rising faster than incomes across most regions of the U.S.

As of April, Americans need to make about $114,000 to afford a median-priced home, according to Realtor.com, but the average salary for a person in the U.S. is only slightly more than half of that

The income needed to buy a home in the U.S. “remains significantly higher than before the [COVID-19] pandemic, underscoring the ongoing challenge of affordability even as market conditions gradually rebalance,” Realtor.com Chief Economist Danielle Hale said in a statement.

While housing market conditions are grim for Gen Z and millennials, they’ll eventually break into the housing market, Reid suggested. 

“Eventually, the younger generation will own the homes currently held by the older generation,” he wrote. “We just don’t yet know what the price will be.”

Introducing the 2025 Fortune 500

, the definitive ranking of the biggest companies in America. 

Explore this year's list.

Fish AI Reader

Fish AI Reader

AI辅助创作,多种专业模板,深度分析,高质量内容生成。从观点提取到深度思考,FishAI为您提供全方位的创作支持。新版本引入自定义参数,让您的创作更加个性化和精准。

FishAI

FishAI

鱼阅,AI 时代的下一个智能信息助手,助你摆脱信息焦虑

联系邮箱 441953276@qq.com

相关标签

购房 房地产市场 年轻购房者 房价 抵押贷款
相关文章