Fortune | FORTUNE 07月18日 16:54
Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern are in merger talks to create North America’s largest railroad
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美国最大的铁路公司联合太平洋(Union Pacific)与规模最小的诺福克南方(Norfolk Southern)正就合并进行初步讨论。此次潜在的合并将重塑美国铁路货运格局,将仅存的六大主要铁路公司减少为五家。然而,合并的审批之路充满挑战,需要通过美国表面交通运输委员会(STB)的严格审查,尤其是在2001年铁路合并规则收紧之后。尽管联合太平洋CEO认为合并能提高效率,但部分客户和投资者担忧市场竞争加剧,以及潜在的服务中断。分析师也指出,合并将面临来自监管机构、政治家、工会等多方面的阻力,可能耗时耗力。

🔍 潜在合并:美国两大铁路公司联合太平洋与诺福克南方正在进行合并的初步讨论,这可能改变美国铁路货运市场的竞争格局,从六大主要铁路公司减少为五家。

⚖️ 监管挑战:任何重大铁路合并都必须满足2001年制定的规则,证明其能增强竞争并符合公共利益。此前,2021年加拿大太平洋铁路收购堪萨斯城南方铁路的交易获得了批准,但该交易受到豁免,且是20多年来首个获批的重大铁路合并。

📈 效率与担忧:联合太平洋CEO认为合并能通过减少铁路间的交接环节来提高运输效率,简化供应链。然而,部分客户担心合并会进一步减少货运选择,加剧市场垄断,并对现有强大的铁路公司能力表示担忧。

📉 市场反应与分析:合并消息传出后,诺福克南方股价出现上涨。分析师认为,此次合并将是一项成本高昂且耗时漫长的过程,可能分散管理层精力,并面临来自监管机构、政治家、工会、竞争对手和客户等多方面的重大阻力。

🏛️ 历史背景:美国铁路合并的审批标准在20世纪初因联合太平洋与南太平洋合并的混乱以及费城铁路拆分导致的拥堵而显著提高,因此任何新的合并都将受到更严格的审视。

The merger discussions began during the first quarter of this year, according to a person familiar with the talks who isn’t authorized to discuss them publicly. It would combine the largest and smallest of the country’s six major freight railroads.

Both railroads declined to comment.

Within the industry there is widespread debate over whether such a merger would be approved by the Surface Transportation Board even though those regulators approved the deal that created CPKC railroad two years ago with the Canadian Pacific’s $31 billion acquisition of Kansas City Southern railroad.

That merger combined the two smallest major railroads in North America and left only six major freight railroads. But it was the first major rail merger approved in more than two decades.

The bar for railroad mergers in the U.S. was raised substantially at the start of the century after a disastrous combination of Union Pacific and Southern Pacific in 1996 that snarled rail traffic for an extended period, followed by the 1999 split of Conrail between Norfolk Southern and CSX, which created backups in the East.

To be approved, any major rail merger must show it will enhance competition and serve the public interest under the 2001 rules. The CPKC merger was not judged under those rules because Kansas City Southern had an exemption from them as the smallest major freight railroad at the time.

Union Pacific CEO Jim Vena talked earlier this year about the potential benefits of such a merger because it would streamline deliveries all across the country by eliminating the delays that come along with one railroad handing shipments over to another. Plus it would simplify shipping for the companies that rely on railroads to deliver their raw materials and finished products.

But in the past, some shippers have raised concerns about the consequences of being left with even fewer options to ship their goods because the major railroads are already so powerful.

Some investors have long argued that the industry should eventually consolidate down to two East-West railroads crossing the United States alongside the two railroads that already cross Canada. But regulators have been skeptical and taken a cautious approach. Any proposed deal would face a lengthy STB review. That board is currently evenly split between two Republicans and two Democrats with one seat open.

Citi Research analyst Ariel Rosa said in a research note that a major transcontinental railroad merger “would likely prove costly and time consuming, risking a years-long distraction to management, while facing significant pushback from regulators, politicians, employee unions, competitors, customers, and other stakeholders.”

Union Pacific, which is based in Omaha, Nebraska, generated $24.3 billion revenue last year as its more than 30.000 employees delivered freight all across the western United States. Norfolk Southern reported $12.1 billion revenue and has roughly 20,000 employees and its headquarters is in Atlanta.

Norfolk Southern stock gained 3.7% during the day Thursday and rose another 4.7% to hit $282.50 in after-market trading following the Journal’s story.

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铁路合并 联合太平洋 诺福克南方 行业格局 监管审查
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