Fortune | FORTUNE 06月24日 00:05
Social Security is set to dry up even sooner than expected—and younger generations will pay the price
index_new5.html
../../../zaker_core/zaker_tpl_static/wap/tpl_guoji1.html

 

根据年度《社会保障和医疗保险受托人报告》,为退休工人及其家人提供月度支付的社会保障退休信托基金预计将比去年预测的时间提前几个月耗尽。部分原因是前总统拜登的《社会保障公平法案》,该法案增加了近300万以前未被社会保障覆盖的现任和前任公共部门工人的福利。其他因素包括美国生育率可能保持低位以及工人工资将低于先前预测(这意味着他们向该计划缴纳的费用减少)。为了纠正这一局面,受托人指出,需要收取更多收入——例如通过增加工资税——或者需要减少福利。如果国会不采取任何措施来改变局面,那么工人将在几年内面临23%的自动福利削减。

📉 社保基金加速耗尽:报告显示,由于多种因素,社保基金的耗尽时间将早于预期,或对年轻一代造成影响。

⚖️ 影响因素:前总统拜登的《社会保障公平法案》增加了福利,但同时也带来挑战;低生育率和较低的工资收入也导致基金收入减少。

💡 应对措施:为了维持基金,需要增加收入(例如提高工资税)或减少福利。若国会无作为,工人可能面临福利削减。

👴 年轻人的担忧:对于即将退休的人来说,可能更多地会沿用现行规则,而年轻的美国人面临退休时社保制度发生变化的“较高可能性”。

💰 财务规划建议:财务规划师建议,考虑到社保变化的可能性,应通过增加储蓄或延长工作时间等方式来应对。同时,历史表明,并非所有改革或变化都是负面的。

The Social Security retirement trust fund, which provides monthly payments to retired workers, their families, and survivors of deceased workers, is expected to run short of funds months earlier than projected last year, according to the annual Social Security and Medicare Trustees report. And without Congressional action, younger generations could be left to pay the price.

The earlier depletion by 2033 is due, in part, to former President Joe Biden’s Social Security Fairness Act, which increased benefits for nearly 3 million current and former public sector workers who were not previously covered by Social Security. Other factors include the potential for the U.S.’s fertility rate to remain low, and that workers’ wages will also be lower than previously projected (meaning they are paying less into the program).

To right the ship, the Trustees note that more revenue would need to be collected—like through a payroll tax increase—or benefits will need to be reduced. If Congress does nothing to change the tide, then workers face a 23% automatic benefit cut in a few years.

Social Security’s downward spiral has been long chronicled and is a top financial concern for non-retirees of all ages in the U.S. But while older generations—those within about five years of being able to collect their benefits—are more likely to be grandfathered into the current rules if changes are made, younger Americans face a “higher probability that Social Security will look different when they retire,” says Kevin Brady, certified financial planner (CFP) at Wealthspire Advisors.

In fact, the Trustees report notes that delaying “substantial” changes to the program now means “significantly larger changes would be necessary” later, like much higher tax increases or benefit cuts. Given Congress’s seeming inability to address the problem, that’s changing how Brady and other financial planners are advising their clients and preparing them for the future.

“That probability increases the younger the client is,” says Brady. “Stress-testing plans with reduced Social Security benefits can be helpful, often prompting conversations about increasing savings or other long-term adjustments. In many cases, it simply means they’ll need to save more or be open to working longer, which can be a valid trade-off depending on their situation.”

Owen Malcolm, CFP at Apollon Wealth Management, says that full benefit cuts are unlikely—no politician wants to be responsible for cutting the program many Americans rely on to get by financially in old age.

Still, like Brady, he says retirement savers should remember that “their energy is best spent on what they can control: early planning, saving, and thoughtful decision-making.”

“Over the years, changes to the program have tended to be incremental rather than drastic. The most recent update, the Social Security Fairness Act, actually expanded benefits,” says Malcolm. “It’s worth asking what’s more likely: that policymakers raise revenue through tax changes, adjust the wage cap, or cut benefits outright? While that may depend on who controls Congress, history suggests that not all reforms or changes are negative.”

Introducing the 2025 Fortune 500

, the definitive ranking of the biggest companies in America. 

Explore this year's list.

Fish AI Reader

Fish AI Reader

AI辅助创作,多种专业模板,深度分析,高质量内容生成。从观点提取到深度思考,FishAI为您提供全方位的创作支持。新版本引入自定义参数,让您的创作更加个性化和精准。

FishAI

FishAI

鱼阅,AI 时代的下一个智能信息助手,助你摆脱信息焦虑

联系邮箱 441953276@qq.com

相关标签

社保基金 退休金 福利削减 财务规划 美国
相关文章