Fortune | FORTUNE 2024年10月25日
Europe’s ‘mindset’ problem
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国际货币基金组织称2025年全球经济增长预期稳定但平淡,欧洲增长徘徊在1%左右。在伦敦举行的财富CEO论坛上,与会者认为欧洲在AI和创新方面面临诸多挑战,如资本碎片化、AI监管过度等,且欧洲人存在‘心态’问题。但也有积极方面,如欧洲公司产品‘高端化’能力,以及在绿色转型方面的投入。

🌐国际货币基金组织对2025年全球经济展望,全球增长预期为3.2%,欧洲增长在1%左右,经济状况稳定但不够出色。

💻在AI和创新方面,欧洲面临诸多挑战。资本的碎片化和风险规避是障碍之一,欧盟对AI等技术的过度监管是另一问题,欧洲在创建主导的大型语言模型等方面可能难以赶上美国。

🛍️欧洲公司在产品‘高端化’方面有一定能力,如LVMH和Hermes等奢侈品公司,在竞争力下降的情况下,其在不同产品类别中仍能实现增长和提高利润率。

💚欧洲高管比美国同行更致力于拥抱绿色转型,认为欧盟更严格的监管与公司脱碳、提供更可持续和循环解决方案的总体方向之间存在潜在协同效应。

Good morning, Peter Vanham here in London.“Stable yet underwhelming”. It was the expression used this week by the International Monetary Fund to describe its global economic outlook for 2025, with global growth expected to remain at 3.2 percent, and European growth hovering around 1 percent.But at our Fortune CEO Forum, which we convened this week in London, “stable yet underwhelming” was perhaps also the best way to describe the mood among participants. The event included 40 leaders from European companies such as Nestle, Roche, Adecco, and Accenture.We organized the Forum under the Chatham House rule, to allow for a frank exchange among participants on some of the most pressing issues facing Europe-focused companies. And that led to conversations we otherwise rarely hear from Fortune 500 leaders.On AI and innovation, for example, most participants acknowledged that Europe would likely never catch up with U.S. and its well-funded startups like OpenAI when it comes to the creation of dominant large-language models and other AI architecture. The fragmentation and risk-adversity of available capital was seen as one barrier; the “overregulation” of AI and other technologies by the EU as another.Only when the bulk of AI’s impact moves into applications half a decade down the line, would European companies be able to compete again, predicted one participant.Yet participants also expressed that those classic barriers – regulation and lack of capital – were only part of the picture of Europe’s declining competitiveness. Fundamentally, many admitted, Europeans have a “mindset” problem, where their own ambitions simply don’t reach further than national or European scale, at most.Yet it wasn’t all doom and gloom in these discussions. Some participants saw a bright future in European companies’ lasting ability to “premiumize” their products.Two luxury companies – LVMH and Hermes – are among the top 5 of European companies by market cap. In an arena of declining competitiveness, the ability of European companies to grow and increase margins in product categories as disparate as wine or watches was seen as an example to follow. And, as also became clear from the discussion in the room, European executives remain more committed than their US counterparts to embracing the green transition. It is one area where participants saw potential synergies between the EU’s more stringent regulation, and the general orientation of companies to decarbonize, and offer more sustainable and circular solutions.    More news below.Peter Vanhampeter.vanham@fortune.com TOP NEWSNobel-winning economists back Harris23 Nobel prize-winning economists signed a petition released Wednesday arguing that a President Kamala Harris would be better for the economy than another Trump presidency. They specifically criticized Trump's proposed tariff plans and praised Harris' emphasis on helping the middle class. FortuneBolt CEO blasts fully-remote workBolt CEO Markus Villig ordered the Uber competitor's 11,000 employees back to the office at least 12 days a month in retaliation for employees taking trips while working remotely. In an internal memo viewed by the Telegraph, Villig reportedly called his employees' behavior a "disgrace." FortuneBoeing union rejects contract offerBoeing's factory workers union rejected a contract offer Wednesday night that would have guaranteed a 35% pay increase. The roughly 32,000 employees striking have cost the company billions and willl continue the work stoppage. FortuneAROUND THE WATERCOOLERJump Trading is offering 4-day-a-week tech jobs with $175K salaries, but they come with a catch by Jane ThierAmerican Airlines is testing a new system to humiliate ‘gate lice,’ the people who try to board planes before their seating group is called by Sasha RogelbergOpenAI suffers departure of yet another AI safety expert, and fresh claims around copyright infringement by David MeyerInside CVS and Walgreens’ downturn: How misguided M&A damaged America’s drugstores by Phil WahbaExclusive: Ramp, valued at $7.65 billion, launches its own app store by Allie GarfinkleMorgan Stanley’s executive chairman rescued the bank during the Great Recession. Can he do the same for Disney? by Michael del CastilloThis edition of CEO Daily was curated by Joey Abrams.This is the web version of CEO Daily, a newsletter of must-read global insights from CEOs and industry leaders. Sign up to get it delivered free to your inbox.

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欧洲经济 AI与创新 产品高端化 绿色转型
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