🎈文章提出外星和地球太空文明产生相似预期效用的假设，并使用我们的CEV计算效用，认为这有助于理解项目中的相关内容。

🌟假设外星太空文明足够频繁，每个可影响的光锥中至少有几个，使得很少资源未被利用，这对探讨战略影响具有重要意义。

🤔在给定假设的情况下，文章探讨了对AI安全社区的战略影响，还提出了在无任何假设时，对外星太空文明预期效用的思考问题。

Published on August 6, 2024 9:16 PM GMT

I am working on a project about estimating alien density, their expected utility, and arguing for strategic implications. I am optimistic about the project producing valuable content to inform the AI safety strategy. But I want to probe what the community thinks beforehand.

Main question:

Assumptions:

Alien and Earth space-faring civilizations produce similar expected utilities ^[1]. The utility is computed using our CEV.Alien space-faring civilizations are frequent enough such that there are at least several of them per affectable light cone such that very few resources are left unused.

Question:

Given the assumptions, what would the strategic implications be for the AI safety community?

Secondary question:

Without any assumption. What are your arguments for expecting Alien space-faring civilizations to have similar, or lower (e.g. 0), or higher expected utility than a future Earth-originating space-faring civilization?

Note: Please reach out to me by MP if you want to contribute or provide feedback on the project.

1. ^{^}

   I am talking about the expected utility per unit of controlled resources, after considering everything. This is the “final” expected utility created per unit of resource. As an illustration, it accounts for the impact of trades and conflicts, causal or acausal, happening in the far future.