None feed 2024年07月18日
Paramount's Dilemma: Content Isn't King—Distribution Is
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本文以Paramount为例,探讨了内容与渠道的关系,指出虽然内容是王,但渠道才是真正的统治者。Paramount在过去凭借着对电影制作、发行和放映的控制,获得了巨大的成功,但最终因缺乏对渠道的掌控而走向衰落。如今,Skydance Media收购Paramount,试图通过内容制作来重振其辉煌,但这可能无法改变其命运。文章认为,拥有强大的渠道才能保证持续盈利,而仅仅依靠优质内容难以取得长久的成功。

📑 **Paramount 的兴衰史:渠道的重要性** Paramount 在 20 世纪初凭借对电影制作、发行和放映的掌控,成为当时好莱坞最强大的电影公司。这种垂直整合模式让 Paramount 掌握了整个电影产业链,并获得了巨大的成功。然而,随着时代的发展,Paramount 逐渐丧失了对渠道的控制,最终走向衰落。 Paramount 的案例说明,拥有强大的渠道才能保证持续盈利,而仅仅依靠优质内容难以取得长久的成功。 Paramount 的兴衰史告诉我们,渠道的重要性远远超过内容。在当今的数字时代,拥有强大的渠道,意味着拥有更多的用户,更广阔的市场,以及更高的利润。

📣 **Skydance 收购 Paramount:重走老路?** Skydance Media 收购 Paramount,希望通过内容制作来重振其辉煌。但文章认为,这种策略可能无法改变 Paramount 的命运。 Skydance 虽然拥有强大的内容制作能力,但其缺乏对渠道的掌控。在当今的数字时代,内容的传播方式发生了巨大的变化,仅仅依靠内容制作,很难获得成功。 Skydance 收购 Paramount,或许会给 Paramount 带来一些短期收益,但从长远来看,其命运依然充满着不确定性。

📠 **渠道至上:未来趋势** 随着数字时代的到来,内容的传播方式发生了巨大的变化,渠道的重要性也变得更加突出。拥有强大的渠道,意味着拥有更多的用户,更广阔的市场,以及更高的利润。 在未来,拥有强大的渠道,将成为企业成功的关键因素。企业需要不断地探索新的渠道,并根据市场变化不断地调整自己的策略,才能在竞争中立于不败之地。 文章最后指出,在当今的数字时代,拥有强大的渠道,才是真正的“王道”。

by Evan Armstrong
in Napkin Math
DALL-E/Every illustration.

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In 1916, Adolph Zukor combined his movie production studio Famous Player Film Company with Paramount Pictures, a leading film distributor. Zukor, a Hungarian Jewish immigrant, was a fur merchant-turned-budding-movie magnate who followed up his purchase with a 1919 acquisition of 135 theaters.

The five-foot-five Zukor was the first truly American entertainment mogul. By consolidating the three crucial components of the movie industry—a studio, distributor, and theater (exhibitor)—he controlled an entire segment of the industry. Not to mention that actors were under contract with studios in those days.

From the famous Paramount lots in Los Angeles to movie theaters across America where consumers congregated by the millions, Zukor held the leverage to repress wages of creative talent and produce enormous revenues. He intuited the lesson that would drive the next 100 years of entertainment success: If you own the distribution, you own the profit.

Paramount’s business was so dominant that the U.S. Federal Trade Commission (FTC) would hound Zukor for nearly 20 years, until finally, in 1948, the Supreme Court ruled in the government’s favor over Paramount, forcing studios to divest from their theaters. The so-called “Paramount Decrees” changed the shape of the business and effectively ended the studio system.

Now, slightly over 100 years later, Paramount is an unrecognizable, unprofitable descendant to that dominant Hollywood megacorporation of yore, but it is, once again, being acquired by a content producer. On July 7, the production company Skydance Media announced a merger with Paramount in a rather complicated transaction that will inject $8 billion into the legacy media business while bringing more production in house. Six billion dollars of that funding will come from the Skydance founder’s father, Larry Ellison, and $2 billion will come from RedBird Capital, a private equity firm. When coupled with the fact that the Paramount Decree was sunsetted in 2022—Sony was the first to take advantage by acquiring the movie theater chain Alamo Drafthouse earlier this year—it should, historically speaking, mean that profits are on the way up again. 

This is not going to happen. Paramount failed because the ownership learned the wrong lesson from the company’s history. When Shari Redstone, the former chairwoman of Paramount and daughter of the man who had run Paramount since 1994, Sumner Redstone, sent an email to Paramount announcing the deal had gone through, she argued,

“While people often debated whether content or distribution ruled the day, my father was governed in all of his decisions by his belief that content was indeed king. That has never been more important than it is today, when in a cluttered marketplace, we continue to create content that resonates with our consumers.”

While a noble sentiment, this is wholly incorrect. Content can only briefly be king. In the long term, distribution advantages enable you to get paid for both your shitty content as well as your hits. Content-first companies are only as good as their next amazing product. Ellison does recognize this dynamic. In a podcast interview he conducted after the deal was announced, he said, “We live in a world where an A- is failing. You have to have a creative culture that believes quality is the best business plan.” This is a noble sentiment and theoretically possible, but it is much harder to produce A+ quality content for years than simply owning the distribution during that time.

The original Paramount knew this. For nearly 100 years, it rode each technological wave by capturing unique, defensible distribution. 


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