Astral Codex Ten Podcast feed 2024年07月17日
[ACC Entry] Should You Have a Merry Christmas?
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圣诞节是西方年末的欢乐节日,传统上被认为是耶稣的诞生日,但科学研究表明并非如此。文章探讨了圣诞节的起源、传统,以及礼物赠送的经济影响,提出了一些令人深思的观点。

🎄 圣诞节的起源存在争议,科学研究指出耶稣并非在12月25日出生,而是更可能是春季或秋季。

🎅 圣诞老人形象的起源可以追溯到历史人物,但其现代形象更多是神话和传说的结合。

🎁 虽然赠送礼物是圣诞节的传统,但经济学家认为这种消费行为是无效的,因为它不增加福利也不促进经济增长。

🧮 礼物赠送被视为经济上的浪费,因为购买礼物往往不基于接收者的真正需求,导致资源的无效配置。

🎉 文章提出,尽管圣诞节充满了欢乐和庆祝,但我们应当更加理性地看待其传统和经济影响。

Link: https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/12/24/acc-should-you-have-a-merry-christmas/

 

[This is an entry to the 2019 Adversarial Collaboration Contest by Cindy Lou Who and the Grinch]

Christmas Day is a a time full of laughter and cheer which is held in the West at the end of each year.

Believers in Jesus traditionally think the day marks his birth; scientists disagree. They point to the shepherds; when carolers sing about fields full of sheep, that occurs in the spring. The Star of the Magi provides further doubt. Simulations can tell us what star it’s about: it was most likely Jupiter shining near Saturn, but it’s only in autumn one sees such a pattern. It is proven in space and it’s proven on Earth – Christmas isn’t the real time of Jesus’ birth.

One of the most popular Yule celebrations is handing out gifts to one’s friends and relations. Parents offer the story these presents appeared due to Santa, a jolly old man with a beard. Originally a historical saint, his tale was embellished, with little restraint. He flies through the air in a reindeer-pulled sleigh, and visits all households on Earth in a day. This tradition seems pagan, with some scholars noting the details are pulled from a legend of Odin. Though sources like NORAD appear to support Santa’s presence, we think that their data fall short. After reading the pros and the cons, we both feel the consensus perspective is Santa’s not real.

And what are these gifts’ economics effects? According to Goeddeke and Birg, it’s complex. Since presents are valuable, one might assume that their giving would cause stores and markets to boom. You give to your parents! You give to your boss! But economists say it is all deadweight loss. You would spend the same money on something, you see, and presents are chosen incompetently. Others’ preferences aren’t as clear as our own, so when we buy for others, their needs are unknown. Presents don’t increase welfare and don’t increase growth; all the papers agree they are harmful to both.

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圣诞节 耶稣诞辰 圣诞老人 礼物赠送 经济影响
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