Hidden Forces feed 2024年07月17日
Raghuram Rajan | The Future of Capitalism and the Global Economy
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在《Hidden Forces》第83集中,主持人Demetri Kofinas与曾任印度储备银行行长的Raghuram Rajan讨论了民粹主义上升和全球经济秩序解体背景下资本主义的未来。Rajan分享了他对中央银行、利率政策、地缘政治、民粹主义和全球经济的系统性风险的观点,并探讨了杠杆贷款、垃圾债券和新兴市场的问题。

🌍 全球经济挑战:讨论了发达国家面临的巨大未偿债务和人口挑战,以及这些国家债务水平超过GDP百分之一百的问题。

🏦 中央银行的角色:探讨了市场对中央银行抑制通缩能力的信心是否过于乐观,以及未来经济衰退期间政府赤字货币化和非金融公司救助等极端措施的可能性。

📈 印度的经验:Raghuram Rajan以其在印度储备银行的任职经验,分析了中央银行在应对经济波动时的策略和挑战。

🇨🇳 中国政治经济:详细讨论了中国经济增长放缓前景下的挑战,以及在全球秩序解体中对美国构成的挑战。

🎓 教育改革:讨论了21世纪教育的改革必要性,以及如何适应新时代的需求。

In Episode 83 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Raghuram Rajan, about the future of capitalism and the global economy amid rising rates of populism and disintegration in the global order.

Raghu Rajan was named by Euromoney magazine as Central Banker of the Year in 2014 while serving as the 23rd Governor of the Reserve Bank of India. Dr. Rajan has also held the position of Chief Economist at the IMF and is currently a professor of finance at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business. He is the author of several books, including his most recent, The Third Pillar: How Markets and the State Leave the Community Behind.

In this conversation, Demetri engages Raghu on a wide range of issues, from central banking and interest rate policies to geopolitics, populism, and the systemic risks facing the global economy, including a discussion about leveraged loans, junk bonds, and emerging markets. The two talk about the demographic challenges confronting countries around the world, particularly developed nations with large unfunded liabilities and debt levels that exceed, in many cases, one-hundred percent of gross domestic product. They go into great detail about the Chinese political economy and the challenges it faces amid prospects for slower growth, while simultaneously exploring the challenges it creates for the United States amid a disintegrating global order. Demetri asks Raghuram Rajan if he thinks that the market’s confidence in central banks’ abilities to stem deflation is misplaced or if extraordinary measures, including the outright monetization of government deficits and bailouts of non-financial companies, will come into play during the next downturn. He also gets the former Governor’s opinion on Modern Monetary Theory (MMT), regulations, immigration, and how to reform education for the 21st century.

Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas

Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou

Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod

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资本主义 全球经济 中央银行 民粹主义 系统性风险
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