Hidden Forces feed 2024年07月17日
Raoul Pal | The Fourth Turning: Generational Theory and the Future of Global Money
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在《Hidden Forces》第96集中,主持人Demetri Kofinas与投资者、Real Vision联合创始人Raoul Pal探讨了多极世界中的全球货币未来,包括对比特币、Libra、债务、人口统计等的讨论。此次对话灵感来源于William Strauss和Neil Howe的代际理论,即“第四次转折”,描述了与社会情绪和世代原型相关的四个阶段周期。

🌐 多极世界中的全球货币:讨论了在政府维护全球秩序能力减弱的情况下,公司和企业部门可能有机会提供支持全球贸易和商业的替代货币形式。

🔗 比特币的角色:探讨了比特币在这种多极世界货币体系中的地位,以及政府是否会允许、阻止或欢迎比特币及其他替代协议和货币。

🔄 第四次转折:基于代际理论,讨论了我们是否处于第四次转折,以及这将对未来几十年我们可能看到的变化类型意味着什么。

💼 数字货币的未来:分析了在多极世界中,数字货币如何成为全球贸易和商业的可行选择,并探讨了中央银行政策对经济周期的影响。

In Episode 96 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with investor and co-founder of Real Vision, Raoul Pal about the future of global money in a multi-polar world, including a discussion about Bitcoin, Libra, debt, demographics, and much more.

The inspiration for this conversation derives from a theme captured in William Strauss and Neil Howe's Generational Theory, also known as the Fourth Turning, where the authors describe a four-stage cycle of social moods associated with recurring generational archetypes, which they call "turnings.” These include: "The High", "The Awakening", "The Unraveling," and "The Crisis." The question we explore in this conversation is: “are we at the fourth turning, and if so, what does this mean for the type of change we can expect to see in the coming decades?” 

All of this leads to a discussion about digital currency in a multi-polar world where the power of governments to maintain the global order is diminished and where corporations and the private sector may gain an opening to provide alternative forms of money in support of global trade and commerce. Where does bitcoin fit in this world? What about alternative protocols and currencies? Will governments even allow them? Can they stop them or will they welcome them and does this point the way towards a path that will lead inexorably towards truly global money?

As always, subscribers to our Hidden Forces Patreon page can access the overtime to this week’s episode, which includes a continuation of our conversation about digital currencies, but also a discussion about central bank policy at the Fed, the ECB, and the BOJ, as well as a discussion about economic indicators and what Raoul relies on most for his own projections about where we are in the business cycle.

Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas

Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou

Subscribe & Support the Podcast at http://patreon.com/hiddenforces

Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod

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相关标签

多极世界 全球货币 比特币 数字货币 第四次转折
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