Hidden Forces feed 2024年07月17日
Steve Keen | Monetary Misperceptions, Climate Economics, and the Limits to Growth
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本期 Hidden Forces 播客节目邀请了经济学家史蒂夫·基恩,他是少数几位成功预测 2008 年全球金融危机以及随后的通缩力量的经济学家之一。节目中,基恩与主持人 Demetri Kofinas 探讨了基恩最新的气候变化对经济产出的影响模型,并揭露了凯恩斯主义和奥地利学派经济学家对货币和信贷的常见误解。

👨‍🏫 **基恩的预测能力:** 基恩是少数几位准确预测 2008 年全球金融危机和随后通缩力量的经济学家之一。他长期以来一直警告政策制定者和媒体,私人部门债务通过抵押再融资和消费信贷的积累带来的风险。在 2008 年金融危机后的几年里,基恩与理查德·库、马克·赞迪等其他经济学家一起,发出警钟,警告通缩螺旋的风险。许多更知名的奥地利学派经济学家,如托马斯·伍兹、彼得·希夫等人,则警告超级通货膨胀的风险。回顾过去,像基恩这样的警告通缩的经济学家是对的。

📈 **气候变化对经济的影响:** 基恩正在研究气候变化对经济产出的影响模型。他认为,气候变化将对经济造成重大负面影响,并可能导致经济衰退。他强调了气候变化导致的极端天气事件和自然灾害对经济的破坏性影响,并指出这些事件将导致生产力下降、供应链中断和社会动荡。

💸 **货币和信贷的误解:** 基恩批评了凯恩斯主义和奥地利学派经济学家对货币和信贷的常见误解。他认为,凯恩斯主义者过于强调政府干预,而奥地利学派则过于强调自由市场。他认为,货币和信贷是一个复杂的系统,需要更全面的理解。

🎙️ **节目亮点:** 本期节目探讨了基恩对经济的见解,包括他对气候变化的影响、对货币和信贷的理解以及对通缩的预测。节目中也回顾了基恩在之前的节目中对经济的预测,以及他与主持人 Demetri Kofinas 的长期合作关系。

🎧 **节目资源:** 听众可以通过 Hidden Forces 的 Patreon 页面访问本周的加时段内容以及 Demetri 与 Steve Keen 的对话记录。所有订阅者还可以访问加时段内容,该内容可以轻松添加到您最喜欢的播客应用程序中。

In Episode 112 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Steve Keen one of the few economists to correctly anticipate the Global Financial Crisis of 2008, as well as the subsequent deflationary forces that would frustrate and confound policymakers in the years afterward. The two discuss Keen’s latest work modeling the impact of climate on economic output, as well as debunking some of the most common misperceptions about money and credit held by Keynesian and Austrian theorists alike.

Demetri and Steve have known each other going back almost ten years. Dr. Keen was a frequent guest on Demetri’s old television program Capital Account, where he would come on to share his views on markets and the economy. For years, Steve had been warning policymakers and the media about the dangers of a build-up in private sector debt through mortgage refinancing and consumer credit. In the years after the Great Financial Crisis of 2008, Steve Keen was one of the prominent voices alongside folks like Richard Koo, Mark Zandi, and others, who were ringing the alarm bell, warning about the risk of a deflationary spiral. Many of the more prominent, Austrian-trained economists like Thomas Woods, Peter Schiff, and others, were pounding the table about the risk of hyperinflation. In retrospect, it was those economists warning about deflation like Steve Keen, who had it right. In today’s conversation, we explore the reasons why and examine if those conditions still hold to this present day.

You can gain access to this week’s overtime segment, as well as to the transcript of Demetri’s conversation with Steve Keen through the Hidden Forces Patreon Page. All subscribers also gain access to our overtime feed, which can be easily be added to your favorite podcast application.

Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas

Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou

Subscribe & Support the Podcast at http://patreon.com/hiddenforces

Join the conversation on Facebook, Instagram, and Twitter at @hiddenforcespod

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相关标签

经济学 金融危机 通缩 气候变化 货币和信贷
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