Hidden Forces feed 2024年07月17日
Ben Hubbard | Saudi Arabia’s Oil Price War & the Rise of Mohammed Bin Salman
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本期Hidden Forces节目,主持人Demetri Kofinas采访了《纽约时报》贝鲁特分社社长Ben Hubbard,探讨了沙特阿拉伯王储穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼的崛起及其对中东的影响。Hubbard详细讲述了MBS如何迅速掌握权力,并通过一系列举措,从经济改革到压制异见,塑造了沙特阿拉伯的未来。

🤔 **MBS的崛起:** 2015年,沙特国王萨勒曼将巨大的权力赋予了年仅29岁的儿子穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼(MBS)。MBS迅速控制了沙特的石油、军队、财政和内外政策,成为沙特事实上的统治者。他承诺经济多元化、放宽社会管制,并打击极端主义,赢得了华尔街、硅谷和好莱坞的支持。然而,他同时也采取了一系列强硬措施,包括压制异见、逮捕批评者,并被指控参与了记者卡舒吉的谋杀案。

🌎 **沙特阿拉伯的变革:** MBS试图将沙特阿拉伯转型为一个现代化、多元化的国家。他推出了“2030愿景”计划,旨在减少对石油的依赖,发展科技和旅游业,并吸引外国投资。他放宽了对女性的限制,允许女性驾驶汽车,并举办了“沙漠中的达沃斯”会议,展示了沙特阿拉伯的改革决心。

⚠️ **争议与批评:** MBS的权力集中和强硬手段引发了广泛的争议。他被指控压制异见、侵犯人权,并以“反腐败”的名义逮捕了数百名王子、商人以及政府官员。卡舒吉遇害事件更是加剧了国际社会对MBS的批评。

⚔️ **中东地缘政治:** 沙特阿拉伯是中东地区的重要国家,其政策影响着整个地区的稳定。MBS的崛起也引发了对沙特阿拉伯未来方向的担忧。他与伊朗的对抗、在也门的战争,以及对该地区的政治和安全局势的影响,都是值得关注的议题。

🦠 **新冠疫情的影响:** 新冠疫情对中东地区造成了巨大的影响,也对沙特阿拉伯的经济和政治稳定提出了挑战。MBS如何应对疫情,以及疫情将如何影响沙特阿拉伯的未来,都是需要关注的问题。

In Episode 127 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Ben Hubbard, the Beirut bureau chief for The New York Times about Saudi Arabia and the rise to power of Mohammed bin Salman. Topics include the ongoing oil price war, tensions with Iran, the war in Yemen, and the geopolitics of the Middle East. The two also discuss the impact of coronavirus for the region’s politics and security.

According to Ben Hubbard, when King Salman of Saudi Arabia ascended to the throne in January 2015 and began bestowing enormous powers on his 29-year-old son, Mohammed bin Salman, it sent minds reeling. Given Saudi Arabia’s importance as the wealthiest country in the Middle East and a key partner of the West, foreign officials, journalists, experts, and spies had long scrutinized the Saudi royal family to anticipate who might come to power in the future—and MBS, as he was known, had remained far off the radar. Who, they wondered, was this inexperienced young prince who swiftly asserted his control over the kingdom’s oil, military, finances, and domestic and foreign policy? And could he be trusted? 

Ben closely tracks MBS’s trajectory to shed light on the man and the critical country he controls. He explores Saudi Arabia’s closed and opaque society and tracks Mohammad bin Salman from his earliest days in power. With vows to diversify the kingdom’s economy away from oil, loosen its strict Islamic social codes, and champion the fight against extremism, the young prince won admirers on Wall Street and in Washington, Silicon Valley, and Hollywood with his grand visions for a new Saudi Arabia and a reordered Middle East. In 2017, Saudi Arabia made global headlines by announcing that it would lift its long-time ban on women driving and hosting a lavish “Davos in the Desert” conference, where MBS wowed international financiers with plans for a new $500 billion city that he said would be powered by sustainable energy and staffed by robots—serving as “a roadmap for the future of civilization.”  However, Hubbard’s reporting from a half-dozen countries and hundreds of interviews with a range of sources reveals that a harsher reality was building quietly behind the hype. To secure his path to the throne and quash opposition to his plans, the young prince empowered a covert team to silence critics at home and abroad while deploying new technologies to consolidate his authoritarian rule. He soon made headlines again, for forcing the resignation of the prime minister of Lebanon; locking hundreds of princes, businessmen, and government officials in the Riyadh Ritz-Carlton on allegations of corruption; for the hacking by Saudi operatives of cell phones of Saudi dissidents, journalists (including a suspected attempt on Hubbard himself), and others who supported views critical of the Saudi regime; and most infamously for his links to the operatives who killed Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi inside the Saudi consulate in Istanbul. 

Their conversation explores these palace intrigues, as Ben and Demetri consider how this bold (and perhaps dangerous) new leader is changing the face of the Bedowin kingdom, both for the better and for the worse.

If you are interested in becoming a supporter of Hidden Forces, head over to our Patreon Page and subscribe to one of our three content tiers, giving you access to the overtime, transcript, and rundown to this and all prior episodes. All subscribers also gain access to our overtime feed, which can be easily added to your favorite podcast application. 

Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas

Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou

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沙特阿拉伯 穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼 MBS 中东 权力 争议
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