Hidden Forces feed 2024年07月17日
Doom: The Politics of Catastrophe | Niall Ferguson
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《末日:灾难政治学》一书由历史学家尼尔·弗格森撰写,深入探讨了从疫情到大失误的军事反应,再到核事故等各种历史性灾难。这些灾难背后共同的成因是操作和管理上的错误,这些错误在可预测但难以想象的危机面前演变成了灾难。虽然这是一本关于灾难的历史书籍,但其教训对我们当今时代尤为紧迫,尤其是在西方社会面临的当代挑战中,本书为我们提供了深刻的洞见。

📜《末日:灾难政治学》通过回顾历史上的灾难,揭示了操作和管理上的错误如何在可预测的危机中演变成灾难。尼尔·弗格森详细分析了从黑死病到切尔诺贝利核事故等事件,指出系统性问题是灾难的共同根源。

🌍当前,书中教训的现实意义尤为突出,尤其是美国与中俄等威权国家之间的冷战态势日益明显。中国和俄罗斯在国家安全和经济安全方面的合作日益加深,这对西方社会构成了新的挑战。

💼节目还讨论了金融市场、数字资产以及西方经济的健康状况。 Demetri Kofinas与Grant Williams就经济末日情景进行了深入探讨,包括失控的通货膨胀前景及其对投资组合的风险管理。

In Episode 189 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with historian Niall Ferguson about his latest book, “Doom: The Politics of Catastrophe.” The book is a historical tour de force of epic disasters ranging from pandemics to botched military responses, to nuclear accidents. What all these catastrophes share in common is a striking combination of operator and managerial error resulting from systemic problems that became calamities in the face of predictable, though unimaginable crises.

While Doom is mainly a history of disaster, its lessons apply most urgently in our own time, which provided us an opportunity to explore some of the contemporary challenges that we face in western society with someone who thinks and writes about such risks and opportunities regularly. At the top of this list is an emerging cold war between the United States and a coalition of authoritarian powers led by China and Russia, two nations that are increasingly cooperating on matters of national and economic security. This episode also includes a discussion about financial markets, digital assets, and the health of Western economies.

In place of an overtime, Demetri recorded a premium-only episode with Grant Williams on endgame scenarios for the economy, including a conversation about the prospects for runaway inflation and how to manage that risk for your portfolio.

You can access the premium episode, as well as the transcript and rundown to this week’s episode through the Hidden Forces Patreon Page. All subscribers gain access to our overtime feed, which can be easily added to your favorite podcast application.

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Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas

Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou

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Episode Recorded on 04/26/2021

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相关标签

灾难政治学 历史教训 冷战态势 金融市场 经济风险
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