Hidden Forces feed 2024年07月17日
Jim Grant on What Inflation Means for Asset Values, Crypto, and Meme Stocks
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在《Hidden Forces》第221集中,主持人Demetri Kofinas与金融媒体和教育界的传奇人物Jim Grant对话。Jim凭借其丰富的人生经历和对其他金融界人士的采访,为我们提供了独特的历史视角,深入探讨了通胀的原因和后果。Jim长期以来一直警告读者美联储过度宽松政策和美元贬值可能带来的副作用,他的观点对于我们理解当前经济周期至关重要。

📚 Jim Grant凭借其广泛阅读和丰富经验,为我们提供了通胀问题上的深刻洞见。他不仅通过书籍和期刊积累了大量知识,还通过亲身经历和对其他金融界人士的采访,获得了独到的见解。

🎙️ 在本次对话中,Jim分享了他对通胀的看法,他认为当前的通胀并非暂时现象,而是正在锚定更高的通胀预期。这对于美联储的政策选择有着重要影响,尤其是在股票、债券、加密货币等资产价格高度依赖信贷流动性的环境下。

💼 Jim对过去至少三个主要信贷周期的经历,让他能够更好地分析当前经济形势。他提出了对于投资者来说,理解通胀历史及其原因对于在现代政治经济环境下做出更明智的投资决策至关重要。

📉 讨论还涉及到了高债务水平、人口老龄化和技术驱动的通缩等现代经济特征,以及这些因素如何影响通胀和投资策略。

🔊 节目的加时部分讨论了贵金属、加密货币、模因股票、新闻业伦理等话题,为听众提供了更全面的金融分析。

In Episode 221 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Jim Grant, the founder of Grant's Interest Rate Observer: a legend in the business of investor education and financial media.

What separates Jim from millions of his fellow financial journalists, commentators, and authors is the historical perspective that he brings, informed not just by the immense volume of books and periodicals that he’s consumed over the course of his lifetime, but primarily by the wisdom of his own lived experiences and lessons learned from the experiences of others that he’s had the privilege to know and interview over the course his life.

Given the ongoing controversy around inflation—its causes and consequences—we couldn’t think of anyone better to talk to than Jim Grant. Jim has been warning his readers about the unintended consequences of overly-accommodative Fed policy and dollar debasement for as long as we have known him and he is uniquely positioned to provide us with the historical context to understand where we find ourselves in the present cycle.

What we came to this conversation wanting to know from Jim, as someone who has lived through at least 3 major credit cycles, is if in fact he feels that this inflation is not transitory. If in fact, he thinks that we are in the process of up-anchoring inflation expectations and what this means for the Fed’s policy options, with important implications for assets like stocks, bonds, cryptocurrency, etc., whose prices have depended on the free-flow of credit that becomes less readily available in an environment of rising consumer and producer prices.

This is a phenomenal conversation that will help you integrate the history of inflation and what we know about its causes into the unique circumstances of our modern political-economy, which is characterized by historically high debt levels, aging demographics, and technology-driven deflation, in a way that can make you a better, more thoughtful investor. 

Topics discussed during the Overtime include precious metals, cryptocurrency, meme stocks, ethics in journalism, and more. You can access that part of the conversation, as well as the transcript and rundown to this week’s episode through the Hidden Forces Patreon Page. All subscribers gain access to our premium feed, which can be easily added to your favorite podcast application.

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Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas

Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou

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Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas

Episode Recorded on 11/18/2021

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相关标签

通胀 美联储政策 信贷周期 投资策略 金融分析
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