Hidden Forces feed 2024年07月17日
How the US Navy Creates Prosperity & Why We'll Miss It | Gregg Easterbrook
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本期节目探讨了格雷格·伊斯特布鲁克的新书《蓝色时代》,该书探讨了过去70年国际贸易秩序的重大变革,以及美国海军和造船技术进步在其中所扮演的关键角色。节目强调了海洋和平时期带来的前所未有的经济繁荣和通货紧缩压力,并分析了这种和平对西方市场信贷扩张、波动性降低和资产价值增长的影响。节目还讨论了“蓝色时代”结束可能对经济和生活带来的潜在影响。

😄 **海权与和平:** 美国海军在维护海洋和平方面发挥了关键作用,为全球贸易提供了安全保障。过去70年,海洋从未像现在这样和平,这为全球贸易和经济发展创造了前所未有的条件。这种和平也带来了通货紧缩压力,促进了西方市场的信贷扩张、波动性降低和资产价值增长。

🤩 **“蓝色时代”的结束:** 节目探讨了“蓝色时代”结束可能对经济和生活带来的潜在影响。如果海洋安全受到威胁,全球贸易可能会受到阻碍,进而影响经济增长和全球稳定。

🤔 **全球供应链瓶颈:** 节目分析了当前全球供应链瓶颈的成因,其中包括航运业的贡献。格雷格·伊斯特布鲁克认为,这些瓶颈将在明年年底前得到缓解。

In Episode 222 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with Gregg Easterbrook. Gregg was a staff writer, national correspondent, and contributing editor at The Atlantic and has authored thirteen books about a variety of subjects including climate change, globalization, philosophy, and American football.

Demetri and Gregg explore the subject of Easterbrook’s latest book, “The Blue Age.” They discuss the extraordinary transformation of the international trading order that we’ve been living through over the last seventy years and the unique role that the US Navy and advancements in naval architecture and marine engineering have played in making all of that possible.

It’s difficult to appreciate just how unprecedented this long period of peace on the oceans has been and how extraordinary the deflationary pressures are that this peace has unleashed. It has also had huge implications for the expansion of credit, the reduction of volatility, and the growth in asset values in Western markets—topics that we’ve explored from a variety of different angles on the Hidden Forces podcast. What it might mean for our economies and for our lives if the Blue Age comes to an end is a question that is addressed directly during the first hour of today’s episode.

In the second half of today’s episode, which is available to premium subscribers only, Gregg and Demetri focus on the economic and geopolitical aspects of the Blue Age, the likelihood of conflict on the high seas, the incentives for and against it, and its consequences for the global economy. They also discuss some of the factors driving the current bottlenecks in global supply chains, the shipping industry’s contribution to this, and why Gregg feels that those bottlenecks will be largely resolved before the end of next year.

You can access the second part of this episode, as well as the transcript and rundown to this week’s conversation through the Hidden Forces Patreon Page. All subscribers gain access to our premium feed, which can be easily added to your favorite podcast application.

If you enjoyed listening to today’s episode of Hidden Forces you can help support the show by doing the following:

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Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas

Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou

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Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas

Episode Recorded on 11/30/2021

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蓝色时代 全球贸易 海权 美国海军 经济 供应链
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