本期Hidden Forces播客邀请了英国央行前副行长保罗·塔克爵士，探讨其新书《全球失衡：价值观与权力在破碎世界中的交汇》。该书深入分析了全球政治格局变革中，合法性的重要性以及其与地缘政治的交汇点。在权力平衡发生变化的背景下，如何维护合法性，可能是任何决策者或政治家面临的最重要问题。本书模糊了我们通常以孤立方式看待的政策领域（货币政策、环境、贸易、甚至战争与和平）之间的界限，迫使我们更具体地思考我们的政治价值观和共同身份。

🤔 **全球合法性危机：**全球政治格局正经历重大变革，权力平衡发生变化，传统的国际秩序正在瓦解。在这种背景下，维持合法性成为全球治理的重要议题。本书探讨了合法性的概念及其在全球政治中的作用，并分析了当前国际体系面临的合法性危机。

🌎 **破碎的世界：**本书认为，世界正处于一个“破碎”的状态，不同国家和地区之间存在着深刻的价值观和利益冲突。这种“破碎”不仅体现在政治和经济领域，也体现在文化和社会层面。本书分析了导致世界“破碎”的原因，包括全球化、技术变革、地缘政治竞争等。

🤝 **寻找共同点：**在世界“破碎”的背景下，如何找到共同点，重建全球合作和共识，成为各国面临的共同挑战。本书强调，在维护合法性的同时，需要寻找共同的价值观和利益，促进国际合作，共同应对全球性挑战。

🤝 **重新定义全球合作：**本书指出，在全球化和技术变革的背景下，传统的国际合作模式已不再适用。需要探索新的全球合作模式，以适应当前的国际环境。本书认为，以共同的价值观和利益为基础，建立更具包容性和灵活性的国际合作机制，是未来全球治理的重要方向。

🤝 **重塑政治价值观：**本书强调，在全球政治格局变革的背景下，需要重新审视和重塑政治价值观。本书认为，需要将“共同利益”和“共同价值观”放在更重要的位置，以构建更加稳定的全球秩序。

🤝 **构建共同身份：**本书指出，构建共同身份是维护全球合法性的重要基础。本书认为，在全球化和技术变革的背景下，需要重新定义“共同身份”，以适应新的国际环境。本书认为，以“共同价值观”和“共同利益”为基础，构建更加包容性的“共同身份”，是维护全球合法性的重要途径。

🤝 **政策制定者的启示：**本书为政策制定者提供了重要的启示，即在制定政策时，需要将“合法性”放在更重要的位置，并考虑政策对全球政治格局的影响。本书认为，以“共同利益”和“共同价值观”为基础，制定更加符合时代发展趋势的政策，是维护全球稳定的重要途径。

In Episode 297 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with the former Deputy Governor of the Bank of England, Sir Paul Tucker. During his time at the BoE, Sir Paul sat on the bank’s monetary policy, financial stability, and prudential policy committees. He was a member of the G20 Financial Stability Board and a director of the Bank for International Settlements, which means he has worked at the highest levels of some of the most important policy-making bodies and research institutions in the world.

What prompted today’s conversation was the recent publication of Paul’s book “Global Discord: Values and Power in a Fractured World.” The book deals with the incredibly important but rarely discussed subject of legitimacy and where it intersects with the world of geopolitics. How to maintain this legitimacy while navigating a change in the balance of power may be the most important question that any policymaker or politician can try and answer. It blurs the boundaries between policy fields that we are used to thinking about in isolated terms—monetary policy, the environment, trade, even war and peace—and forces us to think more concretely about our political values and our common identities.

This is part of a larger story that Demetri has been trying to tell since the earliest days of the podcast. It’s the story of what has been happening to us in Western countries and how we arrived at this state of affairs where our societies have become more politically and culturally divided, where our financial systems have become less responsive to the real needs of our economies, and where the international security environment has become more precarious than it has ever been in the living memories of most people.

Today’s conversation is meant to not only advance this story but to also advance a framework for understanding the changing world that we are living in. It is also meant to provide policymakers, business leaders, investors, and everyday citizens with a framework that they can use to navigate this changing world.

You can subscribe to our premium content and gain access to our premium feed, episode transcripts, and Key Takeaway at HiddenForces.io/subscribe.

If you want to join in on the conversation and become a member of the Hidden Forces genius community, which includes Q&A calls with guests, access to special research and analysis, in-person events, and dinners, you can also do that on our subscriber page. If you still have questions, feel free to email info@hiddenforces.io, and Demetri or someone else from our team will get right back to you.

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Episode Recorded on 02/06/2023