The Jim Rutt Show 2024年07月17日
EP117 Samo Burja on Societal Decline
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Samo Burja与Jim探讨了Burja的著作《伟大创始人理论》,涵盖了持久社会的构建、历史的理论与局限性、重视记录的文化、长期优先事项、制度组织、社会技术、设计与演化、伟大创始人的特质、缓慢变化的时代、市场改革动力、审查制度、社会协调成本、社交媒体改革、中央集权与去中心化帝国的衰落、封闭与开放学术期刊、预先注册研究、后现代主义、高尚谎言、科技与社会联系、制度衰退、精英过剩、优先考虑功能性和维护制度、心理学对广告和文化的影响、活人和死人、借来的权力和拥有的权力、继承问题及其可能的解决方案、风险规避的危险、政治转型等等.

🤔 **历史的理论与局限性:** Burja认为,历史并非简单的线性发展,而是充满了循环和反复。他强调了理解历史的理论框架的重要性,并探讨了历史研究的局限性,例如对过去事件的偏见和对未来趋势的预测难度。他认为,历史的理解需要结合多种视角,并认识到历史的复杂性和不可预测性。

🏢 **制度的建立与维持:** Burja强调了制度在社会发展中的重要作用,并探讨了如何建立和维持有效的制度。他分析了不同类型的制度,例如政治制度、经济制度和社会制度,并指出制度的成功与否取决于其设计、执行和适应能力。他强调了制度改革的必要性,以及如何应对制度衰退和社会变革的挑战。

🧬 **设计与演化:** Burja探讨了设计与演化的关系,认为设计可以被视为一种有意识的演化过程。他认为,人类社会的发展既受到自然选择的影响,也受到人类设计的影响。他强调了设计在社会进步中的重要性,以及如何利用设计来解决社会问题和促进社会发展。

📈 **伟大创始人的特质:** Burja深入分析了伟大创始人的特质,认为他们通常具有远见、领导力、创造力和适应能力。他指出,伟大创始人不仅需要有独特的思想和愿景,还需要有能力将这些思想转化为现实,并带领团队克服困难,实现目标。他认为,伟大创始人的出现往往与时代背景和社会环境密切相关。

🌐 **社会技术与社会协调:** Burja探讨了社会技术在社会发展中的作用,认为社会技术可以促进社会协调和合作。他分析了不同类型的社会技术,例如语言、货币、法律和互联网,并指出这些技术如何影响社会结构和社会关系。他强调了社会技术设计的重要性,以及如何利用社会技术来解决社会问题和促进社会进步。

Samo Burja talks to Jim about his book, Great Founder Theory: theories & limits of history, institutions, design vs evolution, declining empires, and much more...Samo Burja talks to Jim about his freely available book, Great Founder Theory. They cover long-lasting societies, theories & limits of history, cultures that prioritize documentation, long-term priorities, institutional organization, social technologies, design vs evolution, what makes a great founder, times of slow change, market reform dynamics, censorship, social coordination costs, social media reformation, centralized vs decentralized declining empires, closed vs open academic journals, pre-registered research, post-modernism, noble lies, technology & society connections, institutional decline, the overproduction of elites, prioritizing functionality & maintaining institutions, psychology's impact on advertising & culture, live vs dead players, borrowed vs owned power, the succession problem & possible solutions, the dangers of risk aversion, political transitions, and much more.Episode TranscriptMentions & Recommendations Samo's Website JRS: EP80 Daniel Schmachtenberger on Better Sensemaking The Nature of Technology by Brian Arthur Jim's article, "In Search of the 5th Attractor" GameB Samo's article, "The Centralized Internet Is Inevitable" JRS: EP12 Brian Nosek – Open Science and Reproducibility JRS: EP94 Shahin Farshchi on Self-Driving Tech The Innovator's Dilemma by Clayton ChristensenSamo Burja is the founder and President of Bismarck Analysis, a consulting firm that specializes in institutional analysis for clients in North America and Europe. Bismarck uses the foundational sociological research that Samo and his team have conducted over the past decade to deliver unique insights to clients about institutional design and strategy. Samo’s studies focus on the social and material technologies that provide the foundation for healthy human societies, with an eye to engineering and restoring the structures that produce functional institutions. He has authored articles and papers on his findings. His manuscript, Great Founder Theory, is available online. He is also a Research Fellow at the Long Now Foundation and Senior Research Fellow in Political Science at the Foresight Institute. Samo has spoken about his findings at the World Economic Forum at Davos, Y Combinator’s YC 120 conference, the Reboot American Innovation conference in Washington, D.C., and elsewhere. He spends most of his time in California and his native Slovenia.

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伟大创始人理论 制度 社会技术 历史 社会发展
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