The Jim Rutt Show 2024年07月17日
EP 237 Simon DeDeo on the Odds of Major Civil Violence
index_new5.html
../../../zaker_core/zaker_tpl_static/wap/tpl_guoji1.html

 

Jim与Simon DeDeo就美国未来十年内发生内乱和大规模杀戮的可能性进行讨论,他们探讨了赌注的条款、适当的数量级、Alex Garland的内战观点、美国使用暴力的准备程度、荣誉文化、从暴力到政治暴力的转变、工业大规模谋杀、极化现象、当前精英的一维性、吸引域、暴力统计分布、Rene Girard的模仿欲望理论、政治距离的测量、当代美国政治观点的持续运动、围绕红蓝政治的部落化、woke辩论的不切实际性、可能导致冲突爆发的累积因素、枪权问题、极端团体的业余性质,以及后意识形态世界的理解等多方面内容。

🔍Jim与Simon DeDeo的赌注涉及美国未来十年的内乱和大规模杀戮可能性,讨论了发生概率和量级,反映了美国社会对暴力问题的关注。

🌊讨论涵盖了荣誉文化、政治暴力、工业大规模谋杀等议题,指出美国社会存在的极化现象和暴力倾向。

🎭Rene Girard的模仿欲望理论和政治距离的测量被提及,用以分析美国政治观点的动态变化和冲突的潜在因素。

🔫枪权问题和极端团体的活动成为讨论焦点,指出这些因素可能加剧社会矛盾,引发更大规模冲突。

🌌在探讨后意识形态世界的同时,思考了谁将统治未来的问题,以及对当前社会现象的深刻反思。

Jim talks with Simon DeDeo about their wager concerning the likelihood of civil violence and mass killings in America in the next decade. They discuss the terms of the wager, the appropriate orders of magnitude, Alex Garland's Civil War, the American readiness to use violence, honor cultures, the movement from violence to political violence, industrial mass murder, polarization, the one-dimensionality of current elites, basins of attraction, statistical distributions of violence, Rene Girard's theory of mimetic desire, measuring political distance, the constant motion of contemporary American political views, tribalization around red-blue politics, door-holding & just-so stories, sexual signaling, the unreality of woke debates, accumulating factors that could lead to a brushfire, gun rights, the dilettantism of extremist groups, 3 specific scenarios of inciting conflicts, making sense of a post-ideological world, the question of who rules, and much more. Episode Transcript JRS EP 1 - Simon DeDeo on the Evolution of Consciousness JRS Currents 001: Simon DeDeo on University Censorship JRS Currents 028: Simon DeDeo on Explaining Explanation JRS EP 202 - Neil Howe on the Fourth Turning JRS EP 190 - Peter Turchin on Cliodynamics and End Times JRS EP 104 - Joe Henrich on WEIRD People JRS EP 230 - James Lindsay on a National Divorce JRS Currents 058: John Robb on Russia-Ukraine OutcomesSimon DeDeo is an Assistant Professor at Carnegie Mellon University in the Department of Social and Decision Sciences, and External Professor at the Santa Fe Institute. He is also affiliated with the Cognitive Science program at Indiana University, where he runs the Laboratory for Social Minds. For three years, from 2010 to 2013, he was an Omidyar Fellow at the Santa Fe Institute. He and his collaborators study how people use words and signals, and the ideas they represent, to create a world. They have studied a diverse set of systems that includes the French Revolution, the courtrooms of Victorian London, the research strategies of Charles Darwin, the insurgency of modern-day Afghanistan, the emergent bureaucracy of Wikipedia, the creation of power hierarchies among the social animals, and the collusions and conspiracies of petrol stations in the American Midwest. They combine data from the contemporary world, archives from the deep past, statistical tools from cosmology, and models of human cognition from Bayesian reasoning and information theory to understand how cultures grow, flourish, innovate, and evolve.

Fish AI Reader

Fish AI Reader

AI辅助创作,多种专业模板,深度分析,高质量内容生成。从观点提取到深度思考,FishAI为您提供全方位的创作支持。新版本引入自定义参数,让您的创作更加个性化和精准。

FishAI

FishAI

鱼阅,AI 时代的下一个智能信息助手,助你摆脱信息焦虑

联系邮箱 441953276@qq.com

相关标签

美国暴力 政治暴力 社会极化 枪权问题 意识形态
相关文章