Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg 2024年07月17日
Can the economy grow indefinitely? (with Alyssa Vance)
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本文深入探讨了经济增长的限制、基因工程的潜力与风险、以及人工智能的发展趋势,同时分析了网络社区、信息误传等问题,为我们理解未来世界提供了独特的视角。

🌍 经济增长并非无限制,可能存在吸引态,但也可能因变量敏感性而导致混乱结果。

🧬 基因工程潜力巨大,但家庭实验存在风险,需谨慎对待。

🤖 人工智能能力在不同领域或有聚合或有分歧,理解其误区对理性看待AI至关重要。

🔗 网络社区的形成与消亡,如WallStreetBets现象,揭示了互联网信任社区的复杂性。

📢 美国等国家信息误传的类型及其影响,对我们识别和防范假消息具有重要意义。

Read the full transcript here.

How is the economy like a differential equation? Can the economy grow indefinitely? Are there economic attractor states? Or are economic outcomes chaotic and/or extremely sensitive to certain variables? What should we know about progress in genetic engineering? Can you (and should you) do genetic engineering in your garage? What are some common mistakes people make when thinking about AI? Should we expect AI abilities to converge in some domains and diverge in others? Why do we sometimes collectively forget important ideas? Have we as a species grown wiser over the course of our history? How can we form high-trust communities on the internet? In the context of social media, is ease of access at cross-purposes with membership screening and/or costs, or is it possible to have both? What should we make of ephemeral communities that appear briefly, do something huge, and then disappear (like the WallStreetBets subreddit phenomenon)? What are the various types of misinformation being used in the US, Russia, China, and elsewhere?

Alyssa Vance is an engineer of AI systems, a futurist, and an entrepreneur. She is currently serving as an independent consultant for a variety of organizations interested in AI. She was previously the first employee at Apprente, which developed conversational AI for the McDonald's drive-thru and was acquired by McDonald's in 2019. She was a founder of CandleCRM, MetaMed, and GetBitcoin, and served as Executive Director of the World Transhumanist Association. She also hosts the Long Term World Improvement mailing list and other groups for discussing future technology. Alyssa has recently joined Twitter at @alyssamvance and can be reached via email at alyssamvance@gmail.com.

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经济增长 基因工程 人工智能 网络社区 信息误传
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