Fortune | FORTUNE 前天 07:32
Trump says ‘we didn’t get there’ but touts progress as meeting with Putin ends without a deal to stop Ukraine war
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美国总统特朗普与俄罗斯总统普京的备受期待的会晤于周五晚结束,但未能就结束乌克兰战争达成明确协议。两国领导人进行了近三小时的会谈,随后举行了联合新闻发布会。普京表示双方同意“为和平铺平道路”,但未提供细节,并强调必须先解决莫斯科在乌克兰的关切根源。特朗普则表示双方在许多问题上达成了一致,但仍有少数几个重要问题未解决,并称将与北约和乌克兰领导人沟通。此次会晤前,特朗普表示若会谈顺利将有后续会议,否则可能不再会面,并希望看到停火。乌克兰总统泽连斯基此前表示,美国可以结束战争,并依赖于美国强硬的立场。他曾拒绝特朗普关于以领土交换停火的提议。特朗普此前曾警告俄罗斯,若不停战将有严重后果,但随后又放弃了对进口俄罗斯石油的国家实施二级制裁的威胁,转而同意与普京会晤。

特朗普与普京的会晤未能就乌克兰战争的结束达成明确协议。双方领导人在会后均表示取得了一些进展,但仍有关键问题待解决,特别是关于如何处理俄罗斯在乌克兰的关切以及潜在的领土问题。特朗普表示将与北约和乌克兰领导人进行沟通,为后续可能的协议铺路。

普京在会后表示双方同意“为和平铺平道路”,并强调解决俄罗斯在乌克兰的根本关切是达成全面协议的前提。然而,他并未提供具体的细节,这使得协议的实际内容和可行性仍存在不确定性。

特朗普在会谈后表示,双方在“大多数”问题上达成了一致,但仍有“一两个重要问题”未解决,并对达成协议表示乐观。他计划就此次会谈结果与北约和乌克兰领导人进行沟通,这表明了该协议的国际联动性。

此次会晤的时机和结果对全球能源市场具有重要影响。如果战争得以缓解,可能导致油价下降,对消费者有利,但可能对石油行业不利。相反,如果冲突持续,可能会有更严厉的制裁,推高油价,并可能重振低迷的石油行业。

文章也提及了俄罗斯经济面临的财政压力,包括国家财富基金的快速减少以及战争开支导致的预算赤字加深。这可能对俄罗斯继续进行战争的能力构成限制,并可能促使普京寻求和平解决方案。

The highly anticipated meeting between President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin ended Friday night without a clear agreement to end the war in Ukraine.

After talking for nearly three hours, the two leaders held a news conference, where Putin began by saying they reached an agreement to “pave the path to peace in Ukraine” but didn’t offer any details. He added the roots of Moscow’s concerns in Ukraine must to be addressed before a full deal can be reached. 

Trump followed those remarks and suggested some outstanding issues remain unresolved, but also didn’t go into any specifics.

“There were many, many points that we agreed on—most of them I would say—a couple of big ones that we haven’t quite gotten there,” he said. “We’ve made some headway. So there’s no deal until there’s a deal.”

Trump added that he will confer with the leaders of NATO and Ukraine.

“I’m going to start making a few phone calls and tell them what happened,” he said. “We had an extremely productive meeting, and many points were agreed to and there are just a very few that are left. Some are not that significant. One is probably the most significant, but we have a very good chance of getting there. We didn’t get there, but we have a very good chance of getting there.” 

After his opening remarks, the news conference ended without either president taking any questions from reporters.

Ahead of the meeting, Trump described it as “setting the table,” and told Fox News earlier on Friday that if it goes well, then another meeting would follow soon. Otherwise, he suggested he won’t hold “any more meetings at all, maybe ever,” adding that he’ll be upset if there isn’t “some form of a ceasefire.”

“You have to weave and bob and you don’t know what’s going to happen,” Trump said. “But we’re going to go and find out. I’d like to see a ceasefire.”

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, who may be included in a future round of talks, said before the Trump-Putin meeting that the U.S. can end the war.

“We count on a strong American position,” he said in a video address from Kyiv. “Everything will depend on this.”

Earlier in the week, Zelensky rejected a suggestion from Trump that any ceasefire agreement would require Ukraine and Russia to swap some territory.

On Wednesday, Trump warned that there will be “very severe consequences” if Putin doesn’t agree to stop his war on Ukraine. But that’s after Trump backed off an earlier threat to impose secondary sanctions on countries that import Russian oil. Instead, he agreed to meet Putin in Alaska.

With existing sanctions on Russia and potentially new ones at stake, the eventual outcome of the Trump-Putin summit will create winners and losers in the energy space.

Peace means lower fuel prices for consumers, even as a bearish oil sector turns increasingly pessimistic about the months and year ahead. On the other hand, continued fighting could mean increased sanctions against Russia and buyers of Russian oil, adding pain at the pump while potentially reinvigorating a languishing oil industry and driving higher revenues.

Oil and gas revenue, which tumbled 27% in July from a year ago, is also the main source of the Kremlin’s funds, and Russia is running out of financial resources as the war-related spending deepens its budget deficit.

The National Wealth Fund, a key source of reserves, has dwindled from $135 billion in January 2022 to just $35 billion this past May and is expected to run out later this year.

“Russia’s economy is fast approaching a fiscal crunch that will encumber its war effort,” economist and Russia expert Anders Åslund wrote in a Project Syndicate op-ed last week. “Though that may not be enough to compel Putin to seek peace, it does suggest that the walls are closing in on him.”

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特朗普 普京 乌克兰战争 国际会晤 地缘政治
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