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Marine Chlorophyll Prediction and Driver Analysis based on LSTM-RF Hybrid Models
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本文提出LSTM-RF混合模型,结合LSTM和RF优势,解决单模型在时间序列建模和特征描述的不足,通过多源海洋数据训练,模型预测精度显著高于单独使用LSTM或RF。

arXiv:2508.05260v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Marine chlorophyll concentration is an important indicator of ecosystem health and carbon cycle strength, and its accurate prediction is crucial for red tide warning and ecological response. In this paper, we propose a LSTM-RF hybrid model that combines the advantages of LSTM and RF, which solves the deficiencies of a single model in time-series modelling and nonlinear feature portrayal. Trained with multi-source ocean data(temperature, salinity, dissolved oxygen, etc.), the experimental results show that the LSTM-RF model has an R^2 of 0.5386, an MSE of 0.005806, and an MAE of 0.057147 on the test set, which is significantly better than using LSTM (R^2 = 0.0208) and RF (R^2 =0.4934) alone , respectively. The standardised treatment and sliding window approach improved the prediction accuracy of the model and provided an innovative solution for high-frequency prediction of marine ecological variables.

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LSTM-RF模型 海洋生态变量预测 时间序列建模
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