Fortune | FORTUNE 21小时前
Trump’s jobs bloodbath prompts a look back: He likes the good reports and treats the others as fake
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文章揭示了特朗普在面对就业报告时采取的双重标准。当数据有利于他时,他便全盘接受并加以赞扬;而当数据不佳或可能惠及对手时,则立即指责报告造假,质疑其可信度。文章通过列举特朗普在不同时间点对就业数据的评论,生动地展现了他将经济数据作为政治工具,以服务于其竞选和政治目的的策略。这种做法不仅模糊了事实真相,也可能误导公众对经济状况的判断,凸显了政治宣传对数据解读的影响。

📈 **选择性接受数据:** 特朗普在回应就业报告时,呈现出明显的双重标准。当就业数据表现强劲、有利于其政治叙事时,他会毫不犹豫地公开赞扬,将其视为自身政策成功的证明。例如,在2025年4月4日,他称赞了22.8万的就业增长,认为这是其“危险的贸易战”奏效的体现。

📉 **质疑不利数据:** 相反,当就业数据不理想或可能对他的政治对手有利时,特朗普则会立即质疑数据的真实性。他曾将1.2万的就业增长描述为“国家的耻辱”,并指责卡玛拉·哈里斯“多年来一直在撒谎”,声称其增长“从未真实”。这种做法将经济数据政治化,以达到攻击对手的目的。

⚖️ **指控数据造假:** 特朗普甚至公开指控负责劳工统计局的官员(如2025年8月1日提到的Erika McEntarfer)“伪造就业数据”以助其政治对手一臂之力。他甚至指示团队立即解雇该官员,显示了他为了政治利益而不惜攻击政府机构和数据的决心。

📊 **数据修正与政治解读:** 文章也指出,就业报告的初步数据常会经过修正。例如,2025年6月6日的就业报告显示增加了13.9万个工作岗位,但随后被下修至12.5万,最终更是降至1.9万。特朗普对这些修正数据的反应也随之变化,进一步印证了他利用数据波动来服务于其政治议程的模式。

It’s a familiar cadence Trump has adopted in reacting to jobs reports: He treats the figures as legitimate when they are favorable to him and fraudulent when they are less than stellar or seem to benefit his opponent.

A look at some of Trump’s observations on jobs reports over the past year:

Aug. 5, 2024

“STOCK MARKETS ARE CRASHING, JOBS NUMBERS ARE TERRIBLE, WE ARE HEADING TO WORLD WAR lll, AND WE HAVE TWO OF THE MOST INCOMPETENT ‘LEADERS’ IN HISTORY. THIS IS NOT GOOD!!!” — Trump post on Truth Social

Suggesting President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris were responsible, Trump was reacting to the news that U.S. employees had added 114,000 jobs in July — 35% fewer than expected — and that the unemployment rate was at its highest level in nearly three years.

Nov. 1, 2024

“Today’s jobs report is a great embarrassment for our Nation. Kamala has lied for years about their pathetic job growth, which has never been real. Kamala killed 46,000 manufacturing jobs, while 773,000 Americans have lost employment in just the last year — all while their jobs have been taken by foreign-born workers. America is a Nation in Decline because Sleepy Joe, and Lyin’ Kamala, didn’t do their job. ‘TRUMP’ WILL FIX IT! MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN! GO VOTE!” — Trump post on Truth Social

Days ahead of the presidential election, Trump blasted news that U.S. employers had added just 12,000 jobs in October, a total that economists say had been held down by the effects of strikes and hurricanes that left many workers temporarily off payrolls.

Nov. 4, 2024

“Nearly 250,000 people dropped out of the labor force. They dropped out because they couldn’t get a job. Can you imagine that? Can you imagine? These are the numbers, and they don’t want to talk about it, but that’s OK. These numbers are disqualifying.” — Trump campaign rally in Raleigh, North Carolina

According to Bureau of Labor Statistics data, around 220,000 people left the civilian U.S. workforce from September to October 2024 during Biden’s presidency.

April 4, 2025

“GREAT JOB NUMBERS, FAR BETTER THAN EXPECTED. IT’S ALREADY WORKING. HANG TOUGH, WE CAN’T LOSE!!!” — Trump post on Truth Social

Trump quickly praised news that in March, U.S. employers had added a surprising 228,000 jobs, showing that the American labor market was in solid shape as he embarked on a risky trade war with the rest of the world. The hiring numbers were up from 117,000 in February and were nearly double the 130,000 that economists had expected.

June 6, 2025

“GREAT JOB NUMBERS, STOCK MARKET UP BIG! AT THE SAME TIME, BILLIONS POURING IN FROM TARIFFS!!!” — Trump post on Truth Social

Trump responded enthusiastically to the initial numbers on the May jobs report, which indicated that the economy added 139,000 jobs.

That estimate was later revised down to 125,000 jobs, prior to the most recent revision down to just 19,000.

Aug. 1, 2025

“I was just informed that our Country’s ‘Jobs Numbers’ are being produced by a Biden Appointee, Dr. Erika McEntarfer, the Commissioner of Labor Statistics, who faked the Jobs Numbers before the Election to try and boost Kamala’s chances of Victory. … I have directed my Team to fire this Biden Political Appointee, IMMEDIATELY.” — Trump post on Truth Social

Trump ousted McEntarfer following a report showed hiring slowed in July and was much weaker in May and June than previously reported, taking issue in subsequent days to the revisions of jobs figures that are a regular occurrence with the monthly reporting.

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特朗普 就业报告 政治操纵 经济数据
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