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The 5 biggest global business rivalries to watch, and how their outcomes will shape the future
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文章深入探讨了商业世界中五大关键领域的激烈竞争,涵盖了芯片、人工智能、电动汽车、投资与金融以及能源行业。从英伟达(Nvidia)在AI芯片领域的绝对优势,到AMD的奋起直追;从特斯拉(Tesla)在电动汽车市场的挑战,到比亚迪(BYD)的崛起;再到OpenAI的Sam Altman与Meta的Mark Zuckerberg在AI领域的博弈,以及摩根大通(JPMorgan Chase)的Jamie Dimon与阿波罗(Apollo)的Marc Rowan在金融领域的较量,还有埃克森美孚(Exxon Mobil)的Darren Woods与雪佛龙(Chevron)的Mike Wirth在能源行业的对垒。文章揭示了权力分配的脆弱性,指出成功往往伴随着更多竞争者,并强调了“黑马”的潜力。

💡 **AI芯片领域:英伟达(Nvidia)的统治地位与挑战者** - 英伟达凭借其高性能AI芯片占据了AI系统训练和运行硬件市场超过90%的份额,成为全球市值最高的公司。然而,AMD正积极寻求成为AI芯片的替代供应商,而Groq、Cerebras和SambaNova等初创公司也在开发定制化AI推理芯片,尽管目前尚未对英伟达构成实质性威胁。

🚗 **电动汽车市场:特斯拉的挑战与比亚迪的崛起** - 特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)将公司的未来押注在AI和纯摄像头自动驾驶系统上,但其销量出现下滑,并面临Waymo和比亚迪等竞争对手在自动驾驶技术上的追赶。比亚迪CEO王传福凭借其经济实惠的车型、超快充电技术和先进的驾驶辅助系统,在全球电动汽车市场占据了20%的份额,并成为第二大电动汽车电池制造商,其刀片电池技术因采用磷酸铁材料而有效控制了成本。

🧠 **人工智能领域的权力斗争** - OpenAI的CEO萨姆·奥特曼(Sam Altman)因其在AI领域的领导地位而备受瞩目,OpenAI拥有庞大的用户基础和商业合作,并计划扩展至硬件领域。然而,奥特曼也面临着来自Meta的马克·扎克伯格(Mark Zuckerberg)等竞争对手的挑战,以及早期团队成员因对AI安全担忧而分道扬镳的情况。谷歌DeepMind也是OpenAI在构建最先进AI模型方面的主要竞争对手,同时ChatGPT对谷歌搜索的统治地位构成了潜在威胁。

🏦 **金融业:传统银行与私募股权的竞争** - 摩根大通(JPMorgan Chase)的CEO杰米·戴蒙(Jamie Dimon)被誉为华尔街的领军人物,公司在2024年实现了创纪录的利润。为应对来自私募股权领域的竞争,摩根大通也开始建立自己的私人信贷业务。与此同时,阿波罗(Apollo)的CEO马克·罗文(Marc Rowan)正引领公司向私人信贷领域转型,该领域在过去五年中规模翻倍,为阿波罗带来了丰厚利润,并对传统银行的贷款业务构成了日益增长的挑战。

⛽ **能源行业的巨头对决** - 埃克森美孚(Exxon Mobil)CEO达伦·伍兹(Darren Woods)通过专注于资本纪律、股东回报和并购,使公司重回行业领先地位,尤其在二叠纪盆地的页岩油产量和圭亚那近海的石油发现方面表现突出。雪佛龙(Chevron)CEO迈克·沃尔斯(Mike Wirth)作为公司资深人士,在能源行业也面临着复苏的埃克森美孚的竞争,双方在二叠纪盆地、几内亚湾的仲裁以及锂业务上都有竞争,并且都专注于化石燃料及相关低碳业务,与欧洲公司在绿色能源领域的挣扎形成对比。

Power is precarious: The more of it you possess, the more competitors you attract, gunning for your customers, star employees, and market share. We drilled down on five of the biggest rivalries in business, across chips, AI, EVs, investing and finance, and energy. And though these incumbents and rising rivals are fierce, never count out the dark horses who are hungry for a spot at the top.

Check out the 2025 Fortune Most Powerful People list here.


AI chips

Jensen Huang
CEO, President, and Cofounder, Nvidia — U.S.

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang might be forgiven for taking a moment to savor his company’s meteoric rise to the top of the stock market, driven by soaring demand for its high-performance chips that power generative AI. Now the most valuable company in the world, Nvidia controls over 90% of the market for the specialized chips used to train and run AI systems—cementing its dominance in the hardware race fueling the AI boom. Still, Huang is keeping an eye on the horizon. AMD is positioning itself as a viable alternative, while startups like Groq, Cerebras, and SambaNova are betting on custom chips designed to accelerate AI inference. None pose a serious threat to Nvidia’s dominance—yet.

Lisa Su
CEO and Chair, AMD — U.S.

AMD CEO Lisa Su never met her first cousin once removed, Jensen Huang, until both had risen to lead two of the most powerful chipmakers in the world. “There were no family dinners,” Su said in a recent interview. “It is an interesting coincidence.” But the two can’t avoid each other now. With corporate headquarters just miles apart in the same Silicon Valley town, AMD is pushing hard to establish itself as a viable second source for AI chips amid surging demand. The company has secured wins from major players like Microsoft and Meta—both eager to diversify their supply chains and reduce dependence on Nvidia’s tightly controlled hardware and software ecosystem. —Sharon Goldman


Musk: Win McNamee—Getty Images; Wang: VCG/Getty Images

Electric vehicles

Elon Musk
CEO, Cofounder, and other roles, Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and others — U.S.

Elon Musk, the man who brought EVs to the masses, has seen Tesla’s fortunes erode as he gets entangled in social media and politics. Tesla’s annual deliveries in 2024 declined for the first time ever, and have continued to decline year over year each quarter since. Musk has bet the future on Tesla’s AI and camera-only self-driving system, with a soft robotaxi launch in June and the ongoing development of its humanoid robot. Critics argue the company’s self-driving tech is well behind that of competitors like Alphabet’s Waymo and BYD. While Tesla is still the most valuable auto company in the world, it’s not clear it will keep the top spot.

Wang Chuanfu
CEO, Chairman, and Founder, BYD — China

The late Charlie Munger, one of the most successful investors of all time, described Wang Chuanfu, founder and CEO of BYD, as a hardworking “genius.” In 2023, when BYD began dueling with Tesla for the top spot in EV sales, the U.S. auto industry started paying attention. BYD’s affordable models, ultrafast charging technology, and complimentary driver assistance systems have helped the company garner 20% of the global EV market. BYD is also the world’s second-largest EV battery manufacturer to date, with its innovative Blade Battery using iron and phosphate to help keep prices low. —Jessica Mathews


ALTMAN: JOEL SAGET—AFP/Getty Images; Zuckerberg: Chris Unger—Zuffa LLC

Artificial Intelligence

Sam Altman
CEO and Cofounder, OpenAI — U.S.

Altman’s leadership of OpenAI has made him one of Silicon Valley’s most powerful, and polarizing, figures. The AI company is rapidly ascending to tech’s top table, with more than 780 million weekly ChatGPT users, big corporate and government customers, and expansion plans in areas ranging from office productivity software to a new hardware device being built by former Apple designer Jony Ive. Valued at almost $300 billion in a venture capital round led by SoftBank in March, OpenAI is on track to generate more than $10 billion in revenue this year (while still losing billions of dollars annually).

Mark Zuckerberg
CEO, Chairman, and Founder, Meta — U.S.

Altman’s meteoric rise has made him plenty of enemies. He fell out with Elon Musk years ago and has clashed recently with Meta’s Mark Zuckerberg, who has been poaching OpenAI staff with multimillion-dollar comp packages. Google DeepMind competes with OpenAI to build the most capable AI models, and ChatGPT also poses an existential risk to Google’s dominance of internet search. Meanwhile, there’s no love lost between Altman and the Anthropic cofounders, who defected from OpenAI in 2021 in part because of concerns about Altman’s leadership and commitment to AI safety. —Jeremy Kahn


Dimon: Al Drago—Bloomberg/Getty Images; ROWAN: Yuki Iwamura—Bloomberg/Getty Images

Finance

Jamie Dimon
CEO and Chairman, JPMorgan Chase — U.S.

As he closes in on his 20th anniversary as CEO of the country’s biggest bank, Jamie Dimon is the undisputed dean of Wall Street and is poised to go down in history as one of the greatest bankers of all time. In times of crisis, the markets turn to Dimon as a source of clear and unvarnished authority. His stature grew in 2024 when he led JPMorgan Chase to record profits of $58.5 billion on $278.9 billion in revenue. Dimon has also responded to growing competition from the private equity world by having JPM establish private credit facilities of its own—and issuing a warning shot to Apollo and others to stop poaching junior bankers.

Marc Rowan, a onetime corporate lawyer, has emerged in recent years as the dominant figure in the fast-growing world of private equity. In 2021, Rowan became CEO of Apollo, which he cofounded, and carved out a bold strategic shift revolving around private credit, a field that has doubled over the past five years to around $2 trillion. The pivot was highly lucrative, helping Apollo notch $1.49 billion in profits in Q4 of 2024. Rowan’s private credit charge poses a growing challenge to traditional banks like JPMorgan Chase, as Apollo and others become the go-to lending venues for large companies and institutions. —Jeff John Roberts


Woods: Andrey Rudakov—Bloomberg/Getty Images; Wirth: Hollie Adams—Bloomberg/Getty Images

Energy

Darren Woods
CEO and Chairman, Exxon Mobil — U.S.

Having missed out on the U.S. shale gas boom, Exxon Mobil was playing catch-up when Darren Woods took over as CEO in 2017. While it was the largest publicly traded company by market cap as recently as mid-2013, Exxon bottomed out amid the pandemic in 2020 when it was kicked out of the Dow, and archrival Chevron briefly surpassed it in value for the first time ever. But Woods’ focus on capital discipline, shareholder returns, and M&A has Exxon back on top of the industry, where it leads shale output in the booming Permian Basin. Its oil discoveries in offshore Guyana are the envy of the energy world.

Mike Wirth
CEO and Chairman, Chevron — U.S.

A Chevron lifer who joined as an engineer in 1982, Mike Wirth took over in 2018—one year after Woods at Exxon Mobil. After serving as the energy darling of investors for a few years, Chevron now faces a revitalized Exxon. They’re rivals in the Permian Basin. They just settled a long arbitration rivalry over a dispute in Guyana. They’re even rivals in the burgeoning U.S. lithium business. Both stayed focused on fossil fuels and related low-carbon ventures while Europeans BP and Shell struggled to grow green energy. Meanwhile, TotalEnergies is the only oil major doubling down on a renewable energy focus. —Jordan Blum

This article appears in the August/September 2025 issue of Fortune.

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