Fortune | FORTUNE 6小时前
Trump’s former jobs data chief decries firing of successor
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美国总统特朗普解雇了劳工统计局(BLS)的首席统计师Erika McEntarfer,此举引发了广泛批评。她的前任William Beach认为此举毫无根据,将损害关键经济数据集的公信力。特朗普声称最新的月度劳动力报告“虚假”,并指出5月和6月的就业数据向下修正幅度较大。经济学家和立法者对此表示担忧,认为此举损害了统计系统的独立性和准确性。银行CEO也呼吁政府改进数据收集,减少引起不信任的修正。尽管有人认为需要“新的视角”来解释数据修正,但也有观点指出,BLS的员工是忠诚的,该机构仍是世界顶尖的统计机构。

🇺🇸 特朗普总统解雇了劳工统计局(BLS)的首席统计师Erika McEntarfer,这一决定受到了广泛批评。前任局长William Beach认为此举毫无根据,并强调这会损害美国关键经济数据集的公信力,特别是在数据修正幅度较大的背景下。

📉 对 McEntarfer 的解雇发生在美国劳动力市场数据报告就业增长疲软之后,该报告部分基于对5月和6月数据的重大向下修正。特朗普总统称该报告“虚假”,引发了经济学家和政界人士的强烈反对,他们认为此举可能干预统计的独立性。

🛡️ Beach 坚称,尽管存在数据修正,但BLS的数据比以往任何时候都更加准确,并称赞该机构的员工是“最忠诚的美国人”。他表示,即使如此,他仍然信任BLS未来的数据,因为机构本身的专业性。

🏦 银行CEO Brian Moynihan呼吁美国政府改进数据收集方法,以避免可能引起不信任的数据修正。他指出,虽然修正本身并不罕见,但近期修正的幅度较大,这可能导致公众对数据的疑虑,并建议政府投入更多资源整合和验证数据。

📊 特朗普政府的一位经济顾问Kevin Hassett则认为,就业数据的大幅修正需要“新的视角”来解释,并试图反驳BLS政治中立的说法。他声称,总统希望有自己的人员在场,以确保数据的透明度和可靠性。

President Donald Trump’s firing of the chief labor statistician was criticized by her predecessor, who called it an unfounded move that will undermine confidence in a key data set on the US economy. 

“This is damaging,” William Beach, whom Trump picked in his first term to head the Bureau of Labor Statistics, said on CNN’s State of the Union on Sunday.

Trump on Friday fired Erika McEntarfer hours after labor market data showed weak jobs growth based in part on steep downward revisions for May and June. The move by Trump, who claimed the latest monthly report was “phony,” prompted an outcry from economists and lawmakers.

“I don’t know that there’s any grounds at all for this firing,” said Beach, whom McEntarfer replaced in January 2024. “And it really hurts the statistical system. It undermines credibility in BLS.”

Studies indicate that the agency’s data is more accurate than 20 or 30 years ago, including any revisions of the initial data, Beach said. Even so, he said he’ll trust future BLS data because people working for the agency are “some of the most loyal Americans you can imagine,” making the bureau “the finest statistical agency in the entire world.”

Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan, speaking Sunday on CBS’s Face the Nation, urged the US government to improve its data collection to avoid revisions that engender distrust.

“We watch what consumers really do. We watch what businesses really do,” Moynihan said, while not addressing the politics of the firing. “They can get this data, I think, other ways, and I think that’s where the focus would be.”

He noted the revision for May and June data, while not unusual, was one of the largest in seven years. “That creates doubt around it,” he said. “Let’s spend some money. Let’s bring the information together. Let’s find where else in the government money is reported.” 

McEntarfer was confirmed by the Senate in a bipartisan 86-8 vote. Vice President JD Vance, then a senator, voted to approve her nomination.

Kevin Hassett, Trump’s chief economic adviser at the White House, alleged that the large jobs data revisions were poorly explained and were evidence enough for a “fresh set of eyes” at BLS. He sought to contradict Beach’s portrayal of the agency as politically neutral. 

“The bottom line is that there were people involved in creating these numbers,” Hassett said on NBC’s Meet the Press.

Read More: Trump Fires Labor Statistics Head, Prompting Concerns About Data

Pressed on whether Trump would fire anyone offering data he disagreed with, Hassett, who heads the National Economic Council, disagreed.

“No, absolutely not,” he said. “The president wants his own people there so that when we see the numbers, they’re more transparent and more reliable.”

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特朗普 劳工统计局 经济数据 数据公信力 劳动力市场
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