Fortune | FORTUNE 6小时前
US trade advisor says Trump tariff rates are ‘pretty much set’ after deadline was pushed back
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美国贸易代表格雷米尔表示,美国即将实施的新一轮关税税率基本确定,短期内大幅调整的可能性不大。这些关税是根据既有协议或贸易逆差等因素设定的,将于8月7日生效。尽管部分国家希望通过谈判改变现状,但总统特朗普的贸易顾问认为,目前的税率已反映了其贸易计划的整体框架。此外,文章还提及了对巴西的关税调整,以及特朗普政府利用关税作为地缘政治工具的策略,同时指出部分关税已面临法律挑战。

📈 **关税税率已基本敲定,谈判空间渺茫:** 美国贸易代表格雷米尔明确指出,即将于8月7日生效的针对多个经济体的关税税率“基本确定”,短期内进行大幅度谈判和调整的可能性很小。这些税率的制定依据包括既有协议、未公开的交易条款以及与相关国家的贸易逆差或顺差情况。

🇧🇷 **巴西关税调整与地缘政治考量:** 文章特别提到,巴西将面临50%的出口关税,但飞机和橙汁等关键产品享有豁免。特朗普总统此举被认为是对巴西起诉其政治盟友雅伊尔·博索纳罗的“惩罚”,体现了将关税作为地缘政治工具的策略,用以回应他所认为的“滥用法律和民主”的行为。

⚖️ **法律挑战与不确定性:** 部分国家已就特朗普政府的关税措施提起法律诉讼,认为总统越权。虽然一个上诉法院小组对政府的论点表示怀疑,但此类案件的最终裁决可能需要提交至最高法院,这为关税政策的长期稳定性带来了一定程度的不确定性。

💼 **市场反应与政策稳定性:** 白宫经济顾问哈塞特认同关税税率已“或多或少锁定”的说法,并明确表示即使金融市场出现负面反应,特朗普总统也不太可能改变这些税率,因为这些是“最终协议”。这表明政策制定者对当前关税水平的坚定立场。

New US tariff rates are “pretty much set” with little immediate room for negotiation, Donald Trump’s trade advisor said in remarks aired Sunday, also defending the president’s politically driven levies against Brazil.

Trump, who has wielded tariffs as a tool of American economic might, has set tariff rates for dozens of economies including the European Union at between 10 and 41 percent come August 7, his new hard deadline for the duties.

In a pre-taped interview broadcast Sunday on CBS’s “Face the Nation,” US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said “the coming days” are not likely to see changes in the tariff rates.

“A lot of these are set rates pursuant to deals. Some of these deals are announced, some are not, others depend on the level of the trade deficit or surplus we may have with the country,” Greer said.

“These tariff rates are pretty much set.”

Undoubtedly some trade ministers “want to talk more and see how they can work in a different way with the United States,” he added.

But “we’re seeing truly the contours of the president’s tariff plan right now with these rates.”

Last Thursday, the former real estate developer announced hiked tariff rates on dozens of US trade partners.

They will kick in on August 7 instead of August 1, which had previously been touted as a hard deadline.

Among the countries facing steep new levies is Brazil. South America’s largest economy is being hit with 50 percent tariffs on exports to the United States — albeit with significant exemptions for key products such as aircraft and orange juice.

Trump has openly admitted he is punishing Brazil for prosecuting his political ally Jair Bolsonaro, the ex-president accused of plotting a coup in a bid to cling to power. The US president has described the case as a “witch hunt.”

Greer said it was not unusual for Trump to use tariff tools for geopolitical purposes.

“The president has seen in Brazil, like he’s seen in other countries, a misuse of law, a misuse of democracy,” Greer told CBS. “It is normal to use these tools for geopolitical issues.”

Trump was “elected to assess the foreign affairs situation… and take appropriate action,” he added.

Meanwhile White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett said that while talks are expected to continue over the next week with some US trade partners, he concurred with Greer’s tariffs assessment in that the bulk of the rates “are more or less locked in.”

Asked by the host of NBC’s Sunday talk show “Meet the Press with Kristen Welker” if Trump could change tariff rates should financial markets react negatively, Hassett said: “I would rule it out, because these are the final deals.”

Legal challenges have been filed against some of Trump’s tariffs arguing he overstepped his authority.

An appeals court panel on Thursday appeared skeptical of the government’s arguments, though the case may be ultimately decided at the Supreme Court.

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美国关税 特朗普 贸易政策 地缘政治 巴西
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