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Distributed Solar Entering New Era Of Intelligent Integration
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本文概述了欧洲太阳能产业从早期补贴驱动到市场驱动的演变历程,并展望了未来的发展方向。文章指出,欧洲太阳能产业经历了三个关键阶段:补贴驱动的早期发展,随着技术进步和成本下降,住宅和工商业领域逐步取消了上网电价和净计量,太阳能装机容量迅速增长,成为欧洲第二大能源贡献者;而当前则进入了以混合化和户用优化为核心的第三阶段,太阳能与储能、电动汽车等相结合的灵活模式日益普及,家庭用户也成为积极的电网参与者。文章还探讨了在动态电价和现货市场模式下,太阳能价值的提升以及区域市场动态,强调了多元化发展和整合储能解决方案的重要性,以实现能源系统的韧性。

☀️ **欧洲太阳能产业的演变与分期:** 欧洲太阳能产业已从最初的补贴驱动模式(2012年前)发展到当前更加复杂和市场驱动的生态系统。第一阶段(2012年前)主要依靠固定上网电价(FIT)等补贴政策推动分布式发电。第二阶段(2012-2024年)则以组件价格下降和住宅及工商业领域取消净计量和FIT为特征,太阳能装机容量快速增长,成为欧洲重要的能源来源。目前进入第三阶段,重点在于混合化和户用优化,将太阳能与储能、电动汽车等结合,使家庭用户成为电网的积极参与者。

📈 **太阳能市场地位的提升与挑战:** 疫情后的需求激增使太阳能成为欧洲装机容量第二大和年发电量第六大的能源。到2025年中期,太阳能将在高峰时段占据主导发电份额,导致负电价出现,并推动向现货市场(merchant markets)转型。太阳能在频率和辅助服务中的价值不断增加,动态电价的出现也带来了明确的补偿。然而,市场发展并非线性,能源危机虽短期提振了太阳能需求,但可持续增长依赖于光伏与储能的战略平衡。

💡 **多元化与灵活性的关键作用:** 应对能源危机和实现可持续增长,多元化发展至关重要。依赖单一细分市场存在风险,而整合储能解决方案(PV+ESS)的实际应用是关键。通过将热泵、电动汽车等整合到太阳能系统中,可以解锁新的灵活性选项,减少对电网的依赖。此外,需要更具包容性的商业模式,特别是针对中低收入群体,提供5-10千瓦的工商业系统。

🌐 **区域市场动态与未来展望:** 在区域市场方面,住宅太阳能的可及性存在差距,例如英国等国家仍禁止插入式或阳台光伏系统。动态电价和现货市场模式虽然复杂,数据管理要求高,但对拥有电动汽车或热泵的资产所有者具有重要意义。总体而言,无论是住宅还是工商业领域,对灵活、消费者驱动的能源生态系统的兴趣正在增强,预示着市场正朝着更具活力的方向发展。

The presentations were concluded by LCP Delta’s Head of Flexibility and Storage, Jon Ferris, who outlined the evolution of Europe’s solar industry in 3 key phases, highlighting its shift from subsidy-led growth to a more complex, market-driven ecosystem. This first phase (pre-2012) saw growing distributed generation despite challenges related to demand constraints and capital costs, thanks to subsidies like the feed-in-tariffs (FIT), particularly for single-family homes. 

The second phase (2012–2024) was marked by falling module prices and the end of net metering and FITs for residential and C&I sectors. The post-COVID demand surge positioned solar as the 2nd largest energy contributor in Europe by installed capacity and 6th in terms of annual generation. By mid-2025, solar accounted for the largest share of generation during peak periods, causing negative pricing and driving a shift to merchant markets. Ferris emphasized the increasing value of solar in frequency and ancillary services, with revenues now including explicit compensation due to dynamic tariffs. 

The third phase, now underway, focuses on hybridization and behind-the-meter optimization. Flexible models combining PV, storage, EVs, and even applications like heat pumps, e-boilers, and bitcoin mining are gaining traction. The growing role of BTM systems at GW-scale is transforming single- and multi-family households into active grid participants. Self-curtailment and real-time market responsiveness are expected to define this next phase of Europe’s solar transition, he said. 

Panel Discussion  

The TaiyangNews Distributed & Smart Solar Conference panel discussion, moderated by TaiyangNews Managing Director Michael Schmela, centered on unlocking growth potential in residential and commercial & industrial (C&I) solar sectors post-energy crisis. 

Reflecting on lessons learned over the past 15 years, Jan Osenberg of SolarPower Europe emphasized the importance of diversification, highlighting that relying on a single segment is risky. LCP Delta’s Jon Ferris added that the journey of solar and storage development isn’t linear. While the energy crisis briefly boosted solar demand due to high power prices, sustainable growth relies on the strategic balance between PV and storage, he stressed. 

Ali Arfa from EUPD Research echoed this sentiment, underlining the need for diversified strategies and the practical implementation of PV+ESS solutions. Luis Castillo from Sigenergy added that diversification, especially through renewables-based energy independence, is a fundamental requirement for resilient energy systems. 

On regional market dynamics, Castillo noted accessibility gaps in residential solar, pointing out that plug-in or balcony PV systems remain banned in several countries, such as the UK. Ferris argued that regulatory mandates like those for new buildings often fail to deliver substantial impact, while Osenberg emphasized that integrating heat pumps and EVs into solar systems can unlock new flexibility options and reduce grid dependence. Arfa advocated for more inclusive business models, particularly targeting middle and lower-income segments with 5-10 kW C&I systems. 

Looking forward, the panel addressed market evolution under dynamic tariffs and merchant models. According to Ferris, dynamic tariffs and merchant market offerings are still niche as these comprise complex data management at the consumers’ end, but he also sees it as relevant for asset owners with EVs or heat pumps. Overall, the panel agreed that momentum appears to be building, with growing interest in flexible, consumer-driven energy ecosystems across both residential and C&I segments. 

TaiyangNews ran a live blog during the course of this conference, which can be viewed here

A recording of the presentations and the panel discussion at the conference are also available online on the TaiyangNews YouTube channel.  

Next up, TaiyangNews will return with another virtual conference on September 2, 2025. This 1-day virtual event will focus on the latest developments in Cell & Module Production Equipment & Processing Materials for solar cells and modules. Click the link to register now.   

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欧洲太阳能 能源转型 光伏与储能 动态电价 分布式发电
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