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CATL Posts 33% Profit Jump, But Mixed Business Signals and Strategic Uncertainty Weigh on Market
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宁德时代(CATL)公布了强劲的半年报,净利润同比增长33%,主要得益于其在电动汽车电池市场的领导地位和海外业务的强劲增长。然而,尽管业绩超预期,公司A股和H股股价均出现下跌。这反映出投资者对公司业务结构日益不均衡以及长期资本配置效率的担忧。公司核心业务中,动力电池仍是增长引擎,但储能业务收入下滑,电池材料业务更是大幅收缩。分析师认为,宁德时代正面临战略十字路口,虽然现金充裕,但在技术快速迭代、全球竞争加剧和国内市场降温的背景下,如何重新定义竞争优势面临巨大压力。

💰 **动力电池业务表现强劲,支撑公司营收增长。** 报告期内,动力电池业务占总营收的73%以上,同比增长16.8%,全球电动汽车销量增长带动了宁德时代的市场份额提升至38.1%,巩固了其全球领先地位。

📉 **储能及电池材料业务面临挑战,业务结构分化明显。** 储能业务收入同比下滑1.5%,但利润率高于动力电池;而材料与回收业务收入更是大幅下滑近45%,对公司整体业绩构成拖累,显示出公司业务组合的结构性问题。

🌍 **海外市场增长迅猛,利润率表现优于国内。** 宁德时代海外收入同比增长21%,占总销售额的比例超过三分之一,且海外业务毛利率达到29%,显著高于国内业务的增长和盈利能力,国际化战略初见成效。

📈 **资本运作与未来布局并存,市场担忧长期回报。** 公司近期通过香港上市募集了大量资金,并加速在欧洲的产能布局。然而,市场对其下一代电池技术(如固态电池)的商业化前景以及巨额研发和资本支出能否带来回报存在疑虑,担心其规模优势可能被技术快速变化所侵蚀。

🤔 **股价下跌反映投资者对公司未来增长可持续性和资本效率的担忧。** 尽管上半年业绩亮眼,但股价的下跌表明市场开始关注宁德时代在业务多元化、技术创新和资本有效利用方面的长期挑战,以及如何应对日益激烈的全球竞争和市场变化。

AsianFin -- Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. (CATL) reported a robust 33% jump in first-half net profit, powered by its dominant position in the EV battery market and strong momentum overseas.

Yet despite beating expectations, the stock tumbled in both A- and H-share trading—underscoring deepening investor concern over an increasingly uneven business mix and long-term capital deployment efficiency.

The Ningde-based battery giant’s latest earnings highlight the sharp divergence in its core businesses: power batteries remain the growth engine, but energy storage revenues dipped and battery materials suffered a steep contraction. Analysts say CATL is now at a strategic crossroads—flush with cash after its Hong Kong debut but facing mounting pressure to redefine its competitive edge amid rapid tech shifts, intensifying global rivalry, and a cooling domestic market.

For the six months ended June 30, CATL reported operating revenue of RMB 178.89 billion, up 7.3% from a year earlier. Net profit surged 33.3% to RMB 30.49 billion, far outpacing topline growth and marking its best H1 performance to date. Gross margin expanded 1.57 percentage points to 25.02%, aided by falling lithium carbonate prices and high capacity utilization—up to nearly 90% during the period.

Power batteries, which made up over 73% of total revenue, remained the core pillar, rising 16.8% year-on-year to RMB 131.57 billion. Global EV sales jumped 32.4% in the first five months of 2025, helping CATL push its market share to 38.1%, the highest globally.

By contrast, the energy storage division saw revenue slip 1.5% to RMB 28.4 billion, though its margin of 25.5% outperformed the power battery business. The biggest drag came from materials and recycling, which plunged nearly 45% to RMB 7.89 billion. CATL’s mineral business, while up 28% year-on-year, remained small and low-margin.

CATL’s overseas revenue rose 21% to RMB 61.21 billion, now accounting for more than a third of total sales. The international business also delivered stronger profitability, with gross margins reaching 29%, up four percentage points from a year earlier. Domestic revenue growth, by comparison, was just 1.24%.

The company’s Hong Kong listing in June raised HKD 41 billion, creating a dual-capital platform and solidifying its financial firepower for global expansion. Investments in localized capacity across Europe are accelerating: the €1.8 billion German plant and €7.4 billion Hungarian facility are progressing, and a €4 billion joint venture with Stellantis in Spain is underway.

CATL sees Europe emerging as the second-largest battery market globally by 2030, with 918 GWh in projected shipments, while the U.S. is expected to dominate the energy storage segment.

Despite the strong headline numbers, CATL shares fell sharply on July 30: A-shares dropped 5.05%, and H-shares slumped 7.66%. The slide was partly driven by broad market weakness, but also signals investor skepticism about the company’s ability to sustain growth and efficiently convert capital into future gains.

Management has outlined ambitious plans in next-gen battery tech, including solid-state batteries, but commercialization is not expected until around 2030. If rivals move faster or the technology roadmap shifts, CATL’s scale-driven advantage could erode.

“The market is questioning whether CATL’s massive R&D and capex bets will yield a return,” said one analyst at a major Chinese brokerage. “The risk is not in execution, but in whether they’re betting on the right technologies at the right time.”

CATL’s dominance in power batteries and rapid overseas gains continue to anchor its short-term performance. With ample capital, record profitability, and global momentum, it remains one of the most formidable players in the EV supply chain.

Still, the company’s long-term trajectory will hinge on its ability to unlock new growth drivers—especially in energy storage—and weather cyclical volatility in the materials business. For now, investors are watching closely to see whether CATL can turn capital strength into future-proof strategy, or whether the divergence in its business mix signals deeper structural challenges ahead.

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宁德时代 CATL 电动汽车电池 储能 海外市场 技术创新
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