Fortune | FORTUNE 前天 22:43
20 jobs and careers AI is unlikely to ever touch, according to Microsoft
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人工智能(AI)的飞速发展引发了对就业市场的广泛担忧。微软的一项研究,通过分析20万份用户与Bing Copilot的匿名对话数据,评估了不同职业受生成式AI影响的可能性。研究发现,通信领域的职业风险最高,而医疗保健和蓝领职业则相对安全。AI的影响力主要体现在需要提供信息、写作、教学和咨询的岗位上。这份研究为理解AI对未来就业格局的影响提供了重要参考,也揭示了哪些职业可能在AI浪潮中保持稳定。

💡 **医疗保健与蓝领职业的韧性:** 研究表明,医疗保健领域的岗位,如手术助理、按摩治疗师、眼科医疗技师以及秩序维护员,还有一系列蓝领职业,如挖掘机操作员、桥梁和船闸看守员、水处理厂操作员、铸造模具和核心制造工等,在受AI影响的风险评估中得分最低,显示出较强的抗AI冲击能力。

⚠️ **通信领域职业面临高风险:** 报告指出,通信领域的工作岗位,特别是那些涉及“提供信息和协助、写作、教学和咨询”的职业,是受生成式AI影响最大的群体。这意味着这些岗位在未来可能面临更大的转型或自动化压力。

📊 **AI适用性评分的评估依据:** 微软的研究通过分析大量用户与AI助手的互动数据,为不同职业生成了一个“AI适用性评分”。该评分越高,意味着该职业越有可能受到AI的冲击和影响,从而为判断职业安全性提供了量化依据。

📉 **“安全区”职业的特征:** 除了医疗和蓝领,其他被列为“安全区”的职业还包括工业卡车和拖拉机操作员、公路养护工人、洗碗工、汽车玻璃安装工、遗体防腐师和抽血技师等。这些职业的共同特点可能在于其工作内容涉及较强的体力劳动、现场操作、人际互动或高度专业化的技能,这些是目前AI难以完全替代的。

🚀 **AI技术对就业格局的重塑:** 尽管AI带来了潜在的就业风险,但同时也可能催生新的职业机会。这项研究强调了理解AI影响力的重要性,帮助个人和组织更好地规划未来的职业发展和技能提升,以适应不断变化的就业市场。

    Microsoft has listed the jobs least likely to be impacted by artificial intelligence. Healthcare and blue collar jobs are the safest, while those in the communication field are most at risk.

For all the doomsaying about the effect of artificial intelligence on the job market, there are some positions that are, for now at least, relatively safe.

While people in the communications field have good reason to be worried, Microsoft has unveiled a study showing which careers are most and least likely to be affected by generative AI. What it avoided saying directly, though, was whether those careers would vanish in the coming years.

To determine the risk factor, Microsoft analyzed a “dataset of 200k anonymized and privacy-scrubbed conversations between users and Microsoft Bing Copilot” to assess an AI applicability score. The higher the score, the bigger the threat. The jobs most at risk, it found, were those that involve “providing information and assistance, writing, teaching, and advising.”

The study’s not the first to send up a warning flare about those positions, though. What it did that really stood out was look at the jobs that area less likely to be impacted. And healthcare and blue-collar jobs have the best chance of withstanding an AI assault.

Here’s a ranked look at the 20 careers that posted the lowest AI applicability score:

    Dredge operatorsBridge and lock tendersWater treatment plant and system operatorsFoundry mold and coremakersRail-track laying and maintenance equipment operatorsPile driver operatorsFloor sanders and finishersOrderliesMotorboat operatorsLogging equipment operatorsPaving, surfacing, and tamping equipment operatorsMaids and housekeeping cleanersRoustabouts (oil and gas)RoofersGas compressor and gas pumping station operatorsHelpers–roofersTire buildersSurgical assistantsMassage therapistsOphthalmic medical technicians

Other jobs that are in the safety zone include industrial truck and tractor operators, highway maintenance workers, dishwashers, automotive glass installers, embalmers and phlebotomists.

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人工智能 就业市场 职业风险 微软研究 未来工作
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