Fortune | FORTUNE 前天 23:46
Mark Zuckerberg is pouring billions of dollars into AI ‘superintelligence’—so why does his Instagram pitch feel so underwhelming?
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马克·扎克伯格近期对人工智能(AI)的飞速发展发表了看法,他认为超级智能已“近在眼前”,并提出了一个关键问题:我们应将超级智能引导向何处。与同行专注于科学或经济突破不同,扎克伯格的愿景聚焦于个人层面,旨在打造一个能帮助用户实现目标、创造愿望、成为更好的人的个性化AI。这种AI将深度融入增强现实眼镜等个人设备,加速现有趋势而非颠覆社会秩序。尽管Meta在AI领域投入巨资,但其个人赋能的AI愿景与OpenAI、Google DeepMind等公司宏大的社会重塑或探索宇宙奥秘的愿景形成鲜明对比,引发了对MetaAI目标是否足够宏大和有意义的讨论。

🎯 **聚焦个人赋能的AI愿景**:扎克伯格将Meta的AI发展方向定位为“微观”层面,旨在为个体提供个性化服务,帮助用户实现个人目标,提升自我,而非像其他AI公司那样着眼于科学突破或社会整体的重塑。这种策略与Meta一贯以来打造面向消费者、注重用户参与度的产品以促进广告销售的商业模式高度契合。

👓 **AI与增强现实的融合**:Meta设想的未来AI将深度集成到增强现实(AR)眼镜等个人可穿戴设备中,这些设备能够感知用户的视觉和听觉信息,并在日常生活中与用户进行互动。Meta目前已与Ray-Ban合作推出AR眼镜,这被视为下一代计算的关键发展方向,重点在于连接人、促进创造以及推广Meta的硬件产品。

⚖️ **投资规模与愿景的落差**:Meta在AI领域进行了巨额投资,包括与Scale AI的合作、对顶尖研究人员的招募以及庞大的数据中心基础设施建设,这些都预示着宏大的野心。然而,其公开的AI愿景——即通过智能眼镜实现个人赋能——与投资规模所暗示的“改变世界”的抱负相比,显得相对保守和局限,引发了对Meta是否应将目标定得更高,例如解决癌症等重大社会问题的疑问。

⏳ **AI发展中的关键抉择期**:扎克伯格强调,未来几年是决定AI技术发展方向的关键时期。他认为超级智能可能成为促进个人赋能的工具,也可能成为取代社会大部分职能的力量。Meta承诺将严谨地应对超级智能带来的新型安全风险,并在AI发展路径上扮演重要角色,但其最终能否为AI提供超越个人赋能的、对社会更有益的宏大叙事,仍是一个悬而未决的问题。

Zuckerberg acknowledged that AI is rapidly advancing and that we’re beginning to see “glimpses of AI systems improving themselves.” Superintelligence (a vague term that typically refers to AI that vastly surpasses human capabilities in virtually all domains, including scientific creativity, general wisdom, and social skills) is now “in sight,” he added, which begs what he called a big open question: What should we direct superintelligence toward?

While rival AI companies focus on scientific or economic breakthroughs, Zuckerberg explained, his vision is decidedly micro, aimed at the individual, not at society writ large. He wants to build a personalized AI that helps you “achieve your goals, create what you want to see in the world, be a better friend, and grow to become the person that you aspire to be.”

It’s a pitch that, unsurprisingly, aligns with what Meta has always built: consumer-facing experiences designed to keep people engaged—and sell more ads.

In Zuckerberg’s telling, AI won’t upend the social order or redefine civilization—it’ll accelerate existing trends. In looking at previous technological revolutions, such as the mechanization of agriculture, which allowed far fewer farmers to produce all the food the world needs, Zuckerberg said that “Most people have decided to use their newfound productivity to spend more time on creativity, culture, relationships, and just enjoying life. I expect superintelligence to accelerate this trend even more.”

To Zuckerberg, that means a future of AI-infused personal devices—specifically, augmented-reality glasses that can “see what we see, hear what we hear, and interact with us throughout the day.” Meta already makes a version of such glasses in conjunction with Ray Ban. The next phase of computing, in his view, isn’t about unlocking scientific frontiers—it’s about helping people connect, create, and wear Meta hardware.

It’s hard not to compare Zuckerberg’s parochial vision to the kind of big-picture thinking that once defined Silicon Valley. When Apple founder Steve Jobs described the computer as “a bicycle for the mind,” he offered a metaphor that felt profound—technology as a tool for human advancement. Zuckerberg, by contrast, imagines superintelligence as a pair of Ray-Bans that help you…be a better friend?

Even among today’s AI leaders, this mission seems strangely small. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman talks about human flourishing (whatever that means) and rearchitecting society. Google DeepMind’s Demis Hassabis wants to unlock the secrets of the universe. Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei believes AI could be the most important tool in human history—if it doesn’t destroy us first. Zuckerberg? It sounds like he just wants you to make better Reels.

This creates a striking disconnect. Zuckerberg has committed staggering resources to Meta’s superintelligence effort: a $14.3 billion deal with Scale AI to bring its founder, Alexandr Wang, to lead the initiative; hundreds of millions in offers to lure top researchers from OpenAI, Google, Apple, and Anthropic; and tens of billions more in annual infrastructure spending to power the massive data centers behind Meta’s AI push. The scale of the investment suggests world-changing ambition. The actual pitch—personal AI in smart glasses—doesn’t quite measure up. Shouldn’t Meta at least nod to, say, curing cancer? 

To be fair, superintelligence is still such an abstract idea that even the grandest promises about helping humanity can sound hollow or amorphous. Still, don’t even the best-paid researchers need to be inspired by the mission? 

In an accompanying blog post, Zuckerberg acknowledged the risks of superintelligence, saying it will “raise novel safety concerns” and that Meta will have to be “rigorous about mitigating these risks.” He also framed the coming years in stark terms: “The rest of this decade seems likely to be the decisive period for determining the path this technology will take, and whether superintelligence will be a tool for personal empowerment or a force focused on replacing large swaths of society,” he wrote. 

However, one might hope a vision for superintelligence would go beyond personal empowerment towards broader societal good. It’s clear that Meta has the resources, and the will, to build the infrastructure for the future of AI and superintelligence. Whether it can build a meaningful reason for it remains an open question.

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Meta 人工智能 超级智能 扎克伯格 AI愿景
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