Fortune | FORTUNE 07月30日 18:53
The AI boom sends TSMC, the world’s most important chipmaker, up 60 spots on the Global 500
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台积电(TSMC)作为全球领先的芯片制造商,正乘着人工智能(AI)的东风,营收和利润大幅增长,在全球500强企业排名中稳步攀升,并已跻身市值万亿美元俱乐部。公司CEO魏哲家透露,近期与美国总统和台湾领导人会晤,讨论巨额投资,彰示其全球扩张战略。TSMC的成功得益于其在尖端技术上的领导地位、与苹果和英伟达等关键客户的紧密合作,以及其纯粹的代工模式,避免与客户竞争。然而,地缘政治因素,尤其是美中科技竞争,对TSMC的运营带来了挑战,如出口管制限制。尽管如此,公司正积极通过在亚利桑那、日本和德国等地建立新工厂,以满足客户对地理多样化生产的需求。TSMC的未来发展,不仅关乎技术创新,也深度联动于全球经济和政治格局。

📈 **AI驱动的强劲增长与全球排名跃升**:台积电(TSMC)在AI时代的驱动下,营收和利润均实现显著增长,2024年营收超900亿美元,利润达360亿美元,在全球500强企业中跃升至第126位,利润率位列第13。其高性能计算部门(涵盖AI和5G)的销售额占比高达60%,预示着AI将继续加速公司业务增长,预计未来五年复合年增长率将达到中等40%的水平。

🤝 **纯粹代工模式与客户合作的基石**:TSMC成功的关键在于其“纯粹代工”模式,即不开发自有产品,从而避免与客户产生竞争关系。这与三星和英特尔等既生产芯片又销售自有电子产品的公司不同。TSMC能够提前多年与客户合作,为其量身定制产品,这种紧密的合作关系是其保持市场领先地位的重要因素。

🌍 **全球化布局与地缘政治的挑战**:为满足客户对地理多样化生产的需求,TSMC正积极推进全球化布局,在美国亚利桑那、日本熊本已开设新工厂,并计划在德国建厂。然而,其总部位于台湾的战略重要性,使其成为地缘政治博弈的焦点。美中科技竞争、出口管制等因素,对TSMC的运营构成挑战,例如限制其向中国出口先进芯片,以及对供应链的潜在影响。

🏛️ **“主权AI”带来的新机遇**:随着各国政府寻求对AI技术栈的更多国内控制,以减少对美国和中国的依赖,催生了“主权AI”概念。这一趋势将推动对本地化AI设施的投资,从而增加对如英伟达GPU等AI芯片的需求,进而提振TSMC等芯片制造商的销售额,为公司带来新的增长机遇。

Wei took center stage in March, when he joined U.S. president Donald Trump in the White House to announce an additional $100 billion investment into TSMC’s Arizona operations. Wei then met Taiwan’s president Lai Ching-te after meeting Trump.

“If someone had told me 10 years ago that I’d meet two presidents in one week to discuss hundreds of billions of dollars in investments to expand our global footprint, I would have thought they were joking,” CEO C.C. Wei told Fortune in written comments. 

On this year’s Global 500, Fortune’s annual ranking of the world’s largest companies by revenue, TSMC rose 60 places to reach No. 126 on this year’s Global 500, following a 30% jump in 2024 revenue to reach over $90 billion. 

It’s also the 13th most profitable company on this year’s ranking, earning $36 billion in profit, putting it ahead of Bank of America, Exxon Mobil and Toyota. And TSMC is one of just two non-Western companies to surpass $1 trillion in market value, alongside Saudi Aramco.

TSMC joined the Global 500 in 2015, coming in at No. 472. It’s steadily climbed the rankings since then, overtaking its U.S. rival Intel in 2023. 

The AI boom is set to propel TSMC even further. In its most recent quarter, TSMC’s revenue rose by more than 40% year-on-year to hit $30.1 billion. Sixty percent of its sales came from its high-performance computing division, which encompasses AI and 5G applications.

“TSMC’s near-term outlook is especially strong, fuelled by robust AI demand and sustained capital expenditures from cloud service providers,” said William Li, a senior analyst at Counterpoint Research. 

Wendell Huang, TSMC’s chief financial officer, says he expects AI to continue accelerating the company’s business, with a compound annual growth rate in the mid-40% range over the next five years. 

And while Huang is paying attention to growing consumer and enterprise use of AI, he’s also interested in a relatively newer development: “sovereign AI”.

Many governments are now seeking more domestic control over the entire AI tech stack, including datasets, data centers, AI models and applications. The goal is to foster local development and reduce reliance on the U.S. and China, the current leaders in AI. Greater investment in local facilities will, in turn, drive demand for AI chips like Nvidia’s GPUs, and in turn boost the sales of chipmakers like TSMC.

What makes TSMC a market leader?

Analysts point to TSMC’s dominance in leading-edge technologies, its ability to deliver high-performance chips, and its close connections with key clients like Nvidia and Apple for its success.

But Huang thinks TSMC’s success is due to something more fundamental: The company is purely a contract chipmaker, with no products of its own. That means it can’t, and won’t, compete with its customers. 

Take two of TSMC’s closest competitors: Samsung Electronics and Intel. In addition to making chips, both companies also sell their own devices. Samsung sells smartphones while Intel sells computers and other personal computers–products that may compete with what their potential customers may also be selling. 

Huang added that TSMC can work with customers years in advance, allowing the chipmaker to invest and innovate to make the right product for customers.

Geopolitics and global expansion

But TSMC’s importance, as well as its headquarters on the island of Taiwan, means the chipmaker is one of a handful of companies whose decisions have geopolitical consequences. 

“TSMC’s elevated strategic importance means it can’t avoid being affected by U.S.-China tech competition,” said Galen Zeng, senior research manager for semiconductor research at IDC Asia/Pacific.

U.S. export control measures bar TSMC from exporting its most sophisticated chips to China; the company also stopped exporting chips to Huawei, which is on Washington’s trade blacklist, since 2020. Yet late last year the U.S. launched a probe to investigate how TSMC-manufactured products made their way into devices from Huawei. TSMC later blamed a customer for secretly funnelling chips to Huawei.

Still, TSMC may benefit from a brief pause in the U.S.-China tech conflict, after Washington allowed companies like Nvidia to start selling some of their leading AI processors to China again. “It’s very positive news for them, and in return it’s very positive news for TSMC,” Wei told shareholders a few weeks ago.

TSMC currently has most of its plants in Taiwan. It has two in mainland China and has opened new foundries in the U.S. state of Arizona and on the Japanese island of Kumamoto. TSMC is also currently building a new plant in Germany.

The chipmaker consistently says that overseas foundries are a direct response to customer needs.

In his email, Wei said many customers tell him how “crucial” these overseas factories are, “emphasizing the importance of TSMC’s world-class manufacturing expertise with geographic flexibility in production.” He said he didn’t consider himself an “expert in geopolitics,” adding that he takes pride “in being attuned to delivering what my customers require.”

Wei also remembered how founder Morris Chang reminded executives to “jump through hoops” for its customers. And he took a humble position on TSMC’s continued climb up the global rankings of the world’s largest companies by revenue.

“It’s a great encouragement to go up on the Fortune Global 500,” he wrote, “but the best sign of our success is if our customers are on the list—or even higher than TSMC.”

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台积电 AI芯片 半导体 全球化 地缘政治
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