Fortune | FORTUNE 07月29日 04:42
Trump-supporter CEO calls out administration’s ethane export ban to China: ‘These kinds of actions rarely hurt the intended target and often backfire’
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美国能源公司高管对将能源出口作为贸易谈判工具表示担忧,认为此举可能损害国内产业。尽管近期两国已暂停部分限制措施,但未来仍可能面临类似挑战。中国是美国乙烷的最大进口国,而美国是唯一的乙烷主要出口国,这使得中国对美出口高度依赖。贸易争端暴露了美国乙烷在全球石化产业中的关键地位及其易受地缘政治影响的脆弱性。尽管如此,美国企业正计划扩大乙烷和丙烷出口业务,以满足全球日益增长的需求。

📈 **贸易政策对能源出口的潜在负面影响**:美国企业高管对将乙烷等能源产品出口作为贸易谈判的工具表示担忧,认为此类“武器化”行为往往适得其反,对本国产业造成的损害大于目标国家,并强调了能源出口的风险。

🌍 **全球乙烷市场对美国的依赖性**:中国是美国乙烷的最大进口国,而美国是全球主要的乙烷出口国,这使得中国对美国乙烷的供应高度依赖,难以在短期内转向其他国家,凸显了美国在这一领域的关键地位。

📉 **地缘政治风险暴露与市场担忧**:近期美国商务部对乙烷出口的临时限制,以及中国可能寻求替代供应的报道,暴露了美国乙烷作为全球石化原料的供应稳定性可能受到地缘政治和贸易政策的影响,打破了其以往“与世隔绝”的认知。

🚀 **美国能源企业对未来出口的信心与扩张**:尽管存在贸易摩擦的风险,美国企业如Enterprise正逆势加大对乙烷和丙烷出口业务的投入,包括扩建现有设施和建设新的出口码头,显示出对全球市场需求的长期看好。

💡 **美国页岩气革命推动出口增长**:美国页岩气产量的激增,特别是乙烷、丙烷等天然气液化产品产量的翻倍,不仅促进了国内石化产业的发展,也为出口市场的蓬勃发展奠定了基础,满足了亚洲和欧洲对乙烷和乙烯的强劲需求。

Enterprise co-CEO Jim Teague issued his complaints during the July 28 earnings call about two months after the U.S. Commerce Department temporarily banned ethane exports to China as a trade agreement negotiating tool after China placed restrictions on the exports of certain rare earth metals to the U.S. Teague is frequently vocal about his right-leaning political allegiances and has personally donated to Trump.

Both countries in July lifted their restrictions as part of a trade truce while a longer-term trade agreement is negotiated, which remains pending.

“We’ve been clear about the risk of weaponizing U.S. energy exports,” Teague said in the earnings call. “These kinds of actions rarely hurt the intended target and often backfire, hurting our own industry more.”

China is by far the largest importer of American ethane—the most common building block for petrochemicals and plastics worldwide. The U.S. is the only major exporter of ethane, making China entirely dependent on America’s exports. Roughly half of all U.S. ethane exports go to China, and the cargoes are not easily redirected to other nations. Enterprise (No. 78 in the Fortune 500) is the leading ethane exporter from its Houston Ship Channel terminal.

“We are fortunate this administration understands the important importance of energy and global trade, even if the Commerce Department may need a little reminder,” Teague said. “Unfortunately, we could face similar challenges in the future.”

Specifically, the Commerce Department temporarily required Enterprise and other exporters to apply for special federal licenses to export ethane and butane to China for the stated reason of the “unacceptable risk” the natural gas liquids could be utilized for a “military end use.”

Enterprise Executive Vice President Tony Chovanec said the Commerce Department’s actions cost Enterprise at least one ethane customer that wasn’t from China.

“What it has done and where it’s been a problem, you really compromised the U.S. brand for reliable supply and energy security when you just cut off a counterparty like that,” Chovanec said of the Commerce Department’s actions. “It’s been disruptive but, in the short term, we were able to manage through it with our diverse contract mix.”

Apart from China, he said Enterprise ships ethane to Mexico, Brazil, Europe, India, Vietnam, and Thailand.

Seeking alternatives

In a new report, the East Daley Analytics firm said China may look to develop alternatives for U.S. ethane to avoid geopolitical disruptions. China could push Middle Eastern and European nations to further develop their own ethane exports to diversify supplies.

“In recent years, U.S. ethane was the quiet powerhouse of global petrochemicals—cheap, abundant, and presumably insulated from geopolitics. That assumption no longer holds,” East Daley stated. “The US-China trade war has exposed a critical truth: there is no global substitute for U.S. ethane at scale. What was once a stable feedstock is now caught in the crosscurrents of trade policy and long-cycle demand risk.”

In the meantime, Enterprise is only doubling down on its ethane and propane exports businesses, including expanding its Houston Ship Channel facilities.

Enterprise this month also just opened the first phase of its new Neches River Terminal ethane export hub in Texas near the Louisiana border. The facility will initially be able to ship 120,000 barrels of ethane a day. A second phase coming online in the first half of 2026 will more than double the exporting capacity to 300,000 barrels daily.

Typically produced as a byproduct along with oil or natural gas, U.S. natural gas liquids volumes more than doubled in a decade to over 7 million barrels a day, nearly 6 million barrels of which are ethane, propane, and butane, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). That spike triggered a U.S. petrochemical plant construction boom, as well as burgeoning export markets because domestic supplies now far exceed demand. The ethane is typically converted into the petrochemical ethylene, which is used to make products such as polyethylene, the world’s most common plastic.

“The appetite for U.S. ethane and ethylene remains strong in both Asia and Europe,” Teague said.

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乙烷出口 贸易摩擦 能源安全 美国石化 地缘政治
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