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Meet the boomer homeowners who are sitting on their valuable properties because of a tax they hope is on the way out
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美国许多老年房主因高额的资本利得税而犹豫出售房屋,这加剧了家庭住房的供应短缺。该税收政策自1997年起对超过一定利润的房屋销售征收,对希望“以小换大”或为退休储蓄的老年人构成负担。为解决此问题,美国两党正寻求改革或取消该税收,以刺激住房市场,增加市场库存。然而,专家对改革效果及潜在的负面影响存在不同看法,例如可能推高房价或未能根本解决住房短缺问题。

💰 **资本利得税阻碍房主出售房屋,加剧住房供应紧张**:文章指出,美国现行的资本利得税政策,特别是针对房屋销售利润的部分,对许多老年房主构成了显著的财务压力。例如,Joel Friedman夫妇因不愿支付高额税款而推迟出售过大的房屋,这直接影响了他们“以小换大”的计划,也反映了许多类似情况。这种普遍存在的“不卖房”现象,使得本应流入市场的家庭式住房供应进一步减少,加剧了整体市场的住房短缺问题,特别是那些希望改善居住条件或为退休提供资金的老年群体。

📈 **税收门槛未随通胀调整,实际影响扩大**:自1997年以来,房屋销售利润的免税额度(已婚夫妇50万美元,单身人士25万美元)并未根据通货膨胀进行调整。若按通胀计算,25万美元的门槛在2024年应约为49.6万美元。这意味着越来越多的房屋销售利润超过了名义上的免税额,导致更多房主需要缴纳资本利得税。数据显示,2023年有8%的美国卖家获利超过50万美元,远高于2003年的1.3%,表明税收对市场的影响日益显著,许多本应出售的房屋因税负过重而被留在市场上。

🏛️ **两党寻求税改,旨在刺激住房市场**:美国国会两党均对改革或取消房屋销售资本利得税表现出兴趣。众议员Marjorie Taylor Greene提出了《无房屋销售税法案》,而众议员Jimmy Panetta则提议将免税额度翻倍并与通胀挂钩。总统特朗普也表示考虑完全取消该税收,以期提振受高利率影响的住房市场。这些举措的共同目标是激励更多房主出售房屋,增加市场供应,从而可能缓解住房短缺问题。

🤔 **税改潜在影响存争议,根本问题待解决**:尽管税改有望增加住房供应,但专家对此效果及其潜在的负面影响存在担忧。经济学家Selma Hepp认为,这可能更多地导致市场周转而非实质性库存增加,且额外现金可能推高房价。此外,取消资本利得税可能不成比例地惠及高收入人群,加剧税收不平等。更重要的是,税改未能解决住房供应短缺的根本原因——即如何更经济、更快速地建造更多房屋。老年房主即使出售房屋,也需要新的住所,若新房供应不足,问题依然存在。

A capital gains tax on home sales keeps Americans from selling valuable properties.

Joel Friedman, 71, wants nothing more than to sell the house he's called home for more than 30 years.

The five-bedroom, 5,000-square-foot southern California home is too big for Friedman and his wife, Kathryn, who are retired empty-nesters. They're eager to downsize to a smaller, single-story house in a 55+ community where they won't have to worry about endless yard work and rising home maintenance costs.

But the couple has delayed the move. That's because they don't want to pay the significant capital gains tax they'd incur if they sold their home. Since 1997, home sellers have faced a capital gains tax — up to 20% based on income — on home sales with profits over $500,000 for married couples and $250,000 for single filers.

"There are a million reasons why we'd like to move, but we're not because the tax is just burdensome," Friedman said.

The couple is relying on the profits from their future home sale to help fund their retirement. Friedman is concerned that his Social Security checks and his wife's pension won't be enough to cover healthcare bills and long-term care as they age.

They're among a growing number of potential home sellers facing a hefty tax that's discouraging them from parting with their valuable properties. This has likely helped exacerbate a shortage of family-sized homes on the market. Many of those affected are older people who are looking to downsize but are relying on their homes to be their retirement nest eggs.

There may be relief on the horizon — and it's a bipartisan effort.

President Donald Trump recently said he's considering entirely eliminating the capital gains tax on home sales to help juice the housing market amid persistently high interest rates.

"If the Fed would lower the rates, we wouldn't even have to do that," Trump told reporters in the Oval Office on July 22. "But we are thinking about no tax on capital gains on houses."

Growing desperate to move, the Friedmans finally put their house on the market in May for nearly $4.5 million. But now that Trump and members of Congress are talking about eliminating the tax, they're letting their listing expire and hoping the law changes before they put it back up for sale.

Safe-guarding their nest egg

In part because home prices have soared in recent years, the share of home sales subject to the tax has more than doubled in the past few years.

About 34% of America's homeowners — 29 million people — could exceed the $250,000 cap for single filers if they were to sell, and 10% could exceed the $500,000 threshold, the National Association of Realtors found in a 2025 report. In 2023, 8% of US sellers made more than $500,000 in profit on the sale of their homes, the property data firm CoreLogic found. That's up from 1.3% in 2003 and 3% in 2019.

If the threshold had been adjusted for inflation when it was implemented, the $250,000 cutoff for individual home sellers in 1997 dollars would be about twice as high — $496,000 — in 2024 dollars.

Some housing economists believe that increasing the threshold for the tax or eliminating the levy altogether could boost crucial housing inventory by incentivizing homeowners to sell. But others are skeptical that it would make much of a difference.

"This doesn't necessarily lead to an increase in inventory; it just leads to a turnover in the housing market, more home sale activity," particularly in expensive markets in places like California and New York, said Selma Hepp, the chief economist at CoreLogic.

The real-estate company Redfin reported that as of 2022, empty-nest boomers owned twice as many homes with three or more bedrooms as millennials with kids.

Mary Ellen Taylor, 75, is one of those homeowners. She and her husband would like to downsize from their six-bedroom Washington, DC, home, but they're staying put in part because of the capital gains tax. Taylor, who worked for decades in housing finance regulation, argued that the policy incentivizes boomers like herself to hold onto their large homes, when they should be selling them to families.

"With all the fuss that is made, rightly so, about the supply of housing, having tax incentives that run completely counter to what your public policy aims of increasing the supply of housing is silly," Taylor said. "I don't think you want a bunch of 75-year-olds occupying six-bedroom houses."

A bipartisan issue with complicated impacts

Two weeks before the president floated eliminating the tax on home sales, Republican Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene introduced legislation seeking to do just that. Greene celebrated Trump's comments as an endorsement of her No Tax on Home Sales Act.

There's also Democratic support for reforming the tax.

Rep. Jimmy Panetta, a California Democrat whose district includes several pricey coastal regions, first introduced a bill in 2022 that would double the tax exclusion to $500,000 for individuals and $1 million for joint-filing couples and index it to inflation. The More Homes on the Market Act, which has cosponsors across the aisle, aims to incentivize more homeowners to sell and boost housing inventory.

Panetta said he's willing to work with Trump and Republicans on "a quick and rewarding way to incentivize people to sell their homes and keep intact their nest egg."

"I just hope that the President is serious about doing something, and not just saying it, when it comes to a fix for the affordable housing issue," he said in a statement to Business Insider.

As with any major policy change, there could be big unintended consequences down the road.

Hepp warned that sellers who walk away with extra cash in hand would then have more money to spend on their next home, which could put upward pressure on home prices. In a CNBC interview, Redfin chief economist Daryl Fairweather argued that changing the tax could perversely incentivize some homeowners who'd been planning to sell before reaching the current tax threshold to hold onto their homes for longer.

Even if the tax break stimulates home sales, it won't address the fundamental shortage of housing across the country. Older homeowners who finally sell their homes and move still need to live somewhere.

"We're still stuck with this problem of lack of housing in the US and I think that's the problem that should be tackled. How do we build more, less expensively and more quickly?" Hepp said.

Reducing the capital gains burden would also disproportionately benefit higher-income Americans, even as many of these same households receive other forms of tax relief under Trump's "one big beautiful bill." As part of that law, many wealthy homeowners in high-tax states will benefit from an increase to the cap on the state and local tax deduction.

Eliminating the tax on home sales would also cost the federal government in lost revenue at a time when Republicans are adding at least $3.4 trillion to the national debt over the next decade.

Despite her support for reform, Taylor believes the tax code is "wildly to the benefit of more affluent people," and worries that eliminating the capital gains tax could further skew the US tax code in favor of wealthier people.

David Levin, 71, agrees that reforming the tax would benefit lucky homeowners like himself who've seen their home equity soar over decades of appreciation. The couple bought their four-bedroom Manhattan Beach house for $632,000 in 1991, and it's now worth an estimated $2.8 million, according to a local real-estate agent Levin consulted.

While they're ready to sell and downsize, with the capital gains tax they'd face under current law, Levin says they wouldn't make enough profit on their home sale to buy a new place. Even a much smaller home in the coastal California city would be out of budget, he said.

"The way the law stands today, we're staying put in a home bigger than we need," Levin said.

Read the original article on Business Insider

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资本利得税 住房供应 房产市场 税收改革 老年人购房
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