Mouth.is是一个Web3应用，它允许用户就几乎任何事情创建公开投注，解决了与陌生人下注时缺乏信任的问题。该平台通过锁定双方的投注金额，并由指定的仲裁者根据结果分配，确保了投注的公平性和可执行性。用户只需填写表格、投入赌注并分享链接即可发起投注。初期Mouth.is可作为仲裁方，收取少量费用，未来将引入多方验证仲裁者。该平台旨在为重要的社会分歧提供一个无需个人信任即可进行投注的解决方案，增强观点的可信度。

💰 **解决陌生人投注信任缺失问题**：传统的一对一投注依赖于个人信誉，但在公开辩论或匿名交流中，这种信任往往不存在。Mouth.is通过Web3技术，允许用户在不认识对方的情况下，也能安全地发起和参与投注，将投注的解决机制从个人信誉转移到平台协议。

🔒 **投注金额锁定与仲裁机制**：Mouth.is的核心在于其担保机制。一旦投注成立，双方的赌注将被锁定，任何一方都无法单方面撤回。投注的最终裁决权在于由投注者指定的仲裁者，他们根据预设的规则和截止日期来分配赌注，确保了过程的公正性。

🚀 **便捷的投注发起流程**：创建投注非常简单，用户只需填写一个表格，设定投注内容、赌注金额以及截止日期，然后就可以将一个链接发送给潜在的参与者。这种简化的流程使得任何人都可以快速地将自己的观点转化为一个有约束力的公开承诺。

⏳ **仲裁方角色与未来发展**：在初期，Mouth.is平台本身可以作为仲裁方，并收取一定费用。平台明确规定了不支持的投注类型（如体育赛事、私人事件等）和时间限制。长远目标是到2028年底，建立一个包含多个经过验证的仲裁者的生态系统，进一步增强平台的去中心化和可信度。

Published on July 25, 2025 11:06 AM GMT

Consider the following scenarios:

A pundit makes a prediction you know is wrong. You'd like publicly challenge the pundit by offering a bet, but you don't trust them to pay up when they're wrong. The pundit doesn't know you, and probably doesn't trust you either.You're an academic who found something surprising that could save lives. The scientific community dismisses your results. You're so sure of your experiment's validity you'd bet that replication attempts will go the same way, but you don't know any of your disparagers personally. To reignite the debate on your results, you'd like to submit an open bet offer to your community without having to vet potential takers.You're in an anonymous online argument about a niche prediction. You'd like to set up a bet with your opponent without revealing your identity.

Currently, there's no easy way to set up bets with strangers. The resolution of casual one-on-one bets is predicated on a system of honor. The winner has to trust the loser to pay up. However, many important societal disagreements happen outside one's personal circle, where this trust doesn't exist.

Enter Mouth.is

Mouth.is is a Web3 application that allows anyone to create a bet on virtually anything. It offers the following guarantees:

For the duration of the bet, the stakes are locked in. It’s impossible for either party to renege on a bet.The arbiters appointed by the bettors are the only ones who can transfer the stakes and they can only transfer the stakes to the bettors.If the arbiters don’t transfer the stakes to the bettors within 31 days after the bet’s deadline, both bettors can withdraw their own stakes.

Offering a bet is as simple as filling in a form, putting up your stakes and sending a link. An example:

https://mouth.is/BIiqZ-fmFL

The attention-grabbing version of the same link:

https://put.your.money.where.your.mouth.is/BIiqZ-fmFL

The home page explains the process more thoroughly.

Arbiters

For the first few years, we’ll allow bettors to appoint us as arbiters for a flat $5 fee, deducted from the winnings. Beware that we always annul bets on sports, horse races, private events, stock movements, terrorism and individual deaths, as well as bets with a deadline beyond 2028. We usually interpret ambiguously worded bets in the taker’s favor whenever the ambiguity becomes relevant.

The goal is to have multiple verified arbiters by the end of 2028.

Fig 1: Even if a response is unlikely, bet offers show you're confident in your disagreement

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