Fortune | FORTUNE 21小时前
Support for legal abortion is as high as it was when the Supreme Court opened the door to state bans
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根据美联社-NORC公共事务研究中心的一项新民意调查,美国约三分之二的成年人认为堕胎在大多数或所有情况下都应合法。尽管略低于去年同期的数据,但仍显示出对堕胎合法化的普遍支持。在罗伊诉韦德案被推翻后,各州在堕胎法律上的分歧日益加剧,一些州实施了严格的禁令,而另一些州则保护堕胎权利。调查还发现,大多数美国人支持在特定情况下(如胎儿无法存活、危及母亲健康、或因强奸/乱伦怀孕)允许堕胎,并对跨州寻求堕胎的保护持支持态度,尽管支持度有所下降。

⚖️ 民众对堕胎合法化的总体支持度略有下降:最新的民意调查显示,约64%的美国成年人认为堕胎在大多数或所有情况下都应合法,这与2021年的水平相似,但低于2024年的数据。这表明在“罗伊诉韦德案”被推翻后,公众对堕胎合法化的支持率出现波动。

🏥 多数民众支持在特定情况下的堕胎:绝大多数美国成年人(至少80%)认为,当胎儿畸形无法存活、孕妇健康受到严重威胁、或怀孕是强奸或乱伦的结果时,应允许合法堕胎。此外,约七成民众支持保护因流产或其他妊娠紧急情况接受治疗的患者的堕胎权利。

⚖️ 跨州堕胎权利存在争议,但支持者仍占多数:对于允许堕胎的州是否应保护来自禁令州的女性寻求堕胎,公众的共识较低。仅略高于一半的受访者支持保护女性跨州获得堕胎的权利,并保护提供堕胎者免受罚款或监禁。约四成民众支持保护医生在禁止堕胎州通过邮寄方式开具堕胎药的法律保护。

⚖️ 党派分歧依然显著:民主党人对堕胎合法化的支持率远高于共和党人。尽管自2024年6月以来,两党支持率均有所下降,但近九成民主党人和约四成共和党人认为堕胎在大多数情况下应合法。

The new findings from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research poll show that about two-thirds of U.S. adults think abortion should be legal in all or most cases.

About half believe abortion should be available in their state if someone does not want to be pregnant for any reason.

That level of support for abortion is down slightly from what an AP-NORC poll showed last year, when it seemed that support for legal abortion might be rising.

Laws and opinions changed when Roe was overturned

The June 2022 Supreme Court ruling that overturned Roe v. Wade and opened the door to state bans on abortion led to major policy changes.

Most states have either moved to protect abortion access or restrict it. Twelve are now enforcing bans on abortion at every stage of pregnancy, and four more do so after about six weeks’ gestation, which is often before women realize they’re pregnant.

In the aftermath of the ruling, AP-NORC polling suggested that support for legal abortion access might be increasing.

Last year, an AP-NORC poll conducted in June found that 7 in 10 U.S. adults said it should be available in all or most cases, up slightly from 65% in May 2022, just before the decision that overruled the constitutional right to abortion, and 57% in June 2021.

The new poll is closer to Americans’ views before the Supreme Court ruled. Now, 64% of adults support legal abortion in most or all cases. More than half the adults in states with the most stringent bans are in that group.

Similarly, about half now say abortion should be available in their state when someone doesn’t want to continue their pregnancy for any reason — about the same as in June 2021 but down from about 6 in 10 who said that in 2024.

Adults in the strictest states are just as likely as others to say abortion should be available in their state to women who want to end pregnancies for any reason.

Democrats support abortion access far more than Republicans do. Support for legal abortion has dropped slightly among members of both parties since June 2024, but nearly 9 in 10 Democrats and roughly 4 in 10 Republicans say abortion should be legal in at least most instances.

Fallout from state bans has influenced some people’s positions — but not others

Seeing what’s happened in the aftermath of the ruling has strengthened the abortion rights position of Wilaysha White, a 25-year-old Ohio mom.

She has some regrets about the abortion she had when she was homeless.

“I don’t think you should be able to get an abortion anytime,” said White, who calls herself a “semi-Republican.”

But she said that hearing about situations — including when a Georgia woman was arrested after a miscarriage and initially charged with concealing a death — is a bigger concern.

“Seeing women being sick and life or death, they’re not being put first — that’s just scary,” she said. “I’d rather have it be legal across the board than have that.”

Julie Reynolds’ strong anti-abortion stance has been cemented for decades and hasn’t shifted since Roe was overturned.

“It’s a moral issue,” said the 66-year-old Arizona woman, who works part-time as a bank teller.

She said her view is shaped partly by having obtained an abortion herself when she was in her 20s. “I would not want a woman to go through that,” she said. “I live with that every day. I took a life.”

Support remains high for legal abortion in certain situations

The vast majority of U.S. adults — at least 8 in 10 — continue to say their state should allow legal abortion if a fetal abnormality would prevent the child from surviving outside the womb, if the patient’s health is seriously endangered by the pregnancy, or if the person became pregnant as a result of rape or incest.

Consistent with AP-NORC’s June 2024 poll, about 7 in 10 U.S. adults “strongly” or “somewhat” favor protecting access to abortions for patients who are experiencing miscarriages or other pregnancy-related emergencies.

In states that have banned or restricted abortion, such medical exceptions have been sharply in focus.

This is a major concern for Nicole Jones, a 32-year-old Florida resident.

Jones and her husband would like to have children soon. But she said she’s worried about access to abortion if there’s a fetal abnormality or a condition that would threaten her life in pregnancy, since they live in a state that bans most abortions after the first six weeks of gestation.

“What if we needed something?” she asked. “We’d have to travel out of state or risk my life because of this ban.”

Florida’s law has exceptions, including to save the life of a pregnant woman or prevent irreversible impairment of bodily functions. But some patients, advocates and health care providers across the country have often said that restrictions still limit access to emergency care.

Adults support protections for seeking abortions across state lines — but not as strongly

There’s less consensus on whether states that allow abortion should protect access for women who live in places with bans.

Just over half support protecting a patient’s right to obtain an abortion in another state and shielding those who provide abortions from fines or prison time. In both cases, relatively few adults — about 2 in 10 — oppose the measures and about 1 in 4 are neutral.

More Americans also favor than oppose legal protections for doctors who prescribe and mail abortion pills to patients in states with bans. About 4 in 10 “somewhat” or “strongly” favor those protections, and roughly 3 in 10 oppose them.

Such telehealth prescriptions are a key reason that the number of abortions nationally has risen even as travel for abortion has declined slightly.

There have been legal challenges to telehealth abortions, including a lawsuit filed this week by a Texas man claiming a California physician violated state and federal law by sending pills to the plaintiff’s girlfriend.

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The AP-NORC poll of 1,437 adults was conducted July 10-14, using a sample drawn from NORC’s probability-based AmeriSpeak Panel, which is designed to be representative of the U.S. population. The margin of sampling error for adults overall is plus or minus 3.6 percentage points.

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堕胎 美国民意 罗伊诉韦德案 堕胎合法化 州法律
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