Fortune | FORTUNE 07月25日 02:04
Stanford dropout Sam Altman says college is ‘not working great’ for most people—and predicts major change in the next 18 years
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OpenAI CEO Sam Altman 对传统大学教育表达了怀疑,甚至认为自己的孩子可能也不会上大学。他本人是斯坦福大学辍学生,并长期以来建议年轻人超越大学教育,不应盲目遵循传统路径。Altman 认为,在AI等新技术飞速发展的未来,教育形式将发生巨变,四年大学时光若一无所获反而是巨大的风险。他强调,AI带来的挑战并非年轻人无法适应,而是成年人能否跟上技术发展的步伐。他相信技术将淘汰部分岗位,但更多岗位会进化,而人类的创造力和社会性将是应对未来的关键。

🎓 Sam Altman 对传统大学教育持怀疑态度,认为其对大多数人而言可能已非最优选择。他曾于2013年撰文指出,将四年黄金时间投入大学却一无所获,实际上是一种高风险行为,远超人们对风险的普遍认知。

🤖 在AI技术飞速发展的背景下,Altman 预测未来世界的产品和服务将远超个人智力水平。他认为,在这样的环境中,教育的体验和价值将截然不同,大学教育的形态在18年后可能会发生颠覆性的变化。

👨‍💻 Altman 认为,新技术带来的最大挑战并非是年轻人无法适应,而是成年人能否及时学习和掌握新技能。他相信年轻人天生就能适应新科技,但对于年长者而言,适应变化则更为困难。

💡 他将AI视为一种新的工具,如同计算器一样,能够帮助人们更好地思考、产生新想法并创造新事物,而非使教育和工作变得无用。他相信技术将淘汰部分工作岗位,但更多岗位会随之进化。

🌟 Altman 对人类的未来持乐观态度,他认为人类的社会性、创造力以及对意义和地位的追求是应对变革的基石。他相信,就像过去的人们会认为现代生活相对轻松一样,未来的人们也会以同样的视角看待我们,这正是人类不断进步、生活日益改善的写照。

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman is so skeptical of college he doesn’t think his own kid will attend.

Having dropped out himself—from Stanford University in 2005—the now-billionaire has often advised young people to look beyond a college education and not automatically follow the traditional path. In previous comments, Altman has downplayed his own decision to drop out, saying he always had the option to return if things didn’t work out.

Dating back more than a decade, Altman has long cautioned that young people shouldn’t go to college without dedicating themselves to worthwhile projects and connecting with ambitious people. 

“Most people think about risk the wrong way—for example, staying in college seems like a non-risky path. However, getting nothing done for four of your most productive years is actually pretty risky,” he wrote in a blog post in 2013.

In an interview on the This Past Weekend podcast with comedian Theo Von published Thursday, Altman expanded on his thoughts, claiming his kid would “probably not” go to college.

In a world where young people grow up with new advanced technology such as AI, Altman notes that future kids, including his own, will never be smarter than AI, and will never know a world where products and services aren’t smarter than them. This changes the game for education, he said.

“In that world, education is going to feel very different. I already think college is, like, maybe not working great for most people but I think if you fast forward 18 years it’s going to look like a very very different thing,” he said.

While Altman told Von he had “deep worries” about technology and how it is affecting kids and their development, especially the “dopamine hit” of short-form video, he noted the real challenge with advancing AI is whether adults will be able to catch up. 

“I actually think the kids will be fine; I’m worried about the parents. If you look at the history of the world when there’s a new technology—people that grow up with it, they’re always fluent. They always figure out what to do. They always learn the new kinds of jobs. But if you’re like a 50-year-old and you have to kind of learn how to do things in a very different way, that doesn’t always work,” he said.

Altman clarified the advent of new technology will likely eliminate some jobs, but many more jobs will evolve rather than disappear. Just like when Google first came online when he was in junior high, some are also now claiming education may become useless thanks to AI. 

Altman doesn’t buy into this idea. Rather, he points to new tech as yet another tool to think better, come up with better ideas, and do new things.

“I’m sure the same thing happened with the calculator before, and now this is just a new tool that exists in the tool chain,” he said.

However, Altman cautioned it’s impossible to know how education and jobs will evolve and which roles will exist in the future, and how. He noted his own job as CEO of an AI company would likely have been unimaginable in the past. An AI CEO may even be on the horizon for OpenAI, he said, and therefore his own job would have to change.

Altman isn’t a doomer about the future of work, though, because of the innate social nature of humans and their seemingly limitless capacity for creativity, purpose-seeking, and improving their social status.

In the same way people from the time of the Industrial Revolution may think modern jobs aren’t real and view modern humans as leading a relatively easy existence, looking forward 100 years from now, we may just think the same thing. Either way, he said he sees a bright future ahead.

“I think that’s beautiful. I think it’s great that those people in the past think we have it so easy. I think it’s great that we think those people in the future have it so easy,” Altman said. “That is the beautiful story of us all contributing to human progress and everybody’s lives getting better and better.”

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Sam Altman 大学教育 AI 未来工作 科技变革
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