Fortune | FORTUNE 前天 18:40
Presidential visits to the Fed in the past have been endorsements of its work and independence—Trump’s visit today? Not so much
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美国总统特朗普将访问美联储,这是近二十年来总统首次访问该机构,也是历史上第四次。此举不同寻常,因为特朗普政府一直批评美联储主席鲍威尔的货币政策。此前,总统访问美联储通常被视为对其独立性和领导层的支持。特朗普此前曾威胁要解雇鲍威尔,并批评美联储的利率政策以及对华盛顿总部大楼的翻新。尽管美联储在业务管理和支出方面拥有独立性,鲍威尔仍强调了透明度和对公众负责的承诺,并推出了新的网站板块以供公众了解最新动态。

🏛️ 特朗普总统此次访问美联储具有历史意义,打破了近二十年总统未曾造访该机构的惯例,仅为历史上第四次总统亲自到访。这种罕见的举动凸显了当前总统与央行之间不同寻常的互动模式。

💰 特朗普政府持续批评美联储主席鲍威尔的货币政策,尤其是在利率决策方面,认为其过于迟缓,并曾公开表示自己比鲍威尔更懂利率。这种公开的施压和批评与以往总统访问美联储被视为支持和认可的传统形成鲜明对比。

🏢 除了货币政策,特朗普政府还对美联储的内部管理,特别是其华盛顿总部大楼的翻新项目表示不满。然而,鲍威尔解释称,大规模翻新是由于涉及两栋建于20世纪30年代的历史建筑,且自建成以来均未进行过全面修缮,此举旨在确保建筑的可使用性。

⚖️ 美联储的独立性是其核心特征,旨在保护其免受政治干预,以确保经济的长期健康发展。尽管特朗普政府的批评可能在市场引起波动,但威胁解雇鲍威尔等行为触及了美联储独立性的底线,这是市场分析师和投资者普遍不愿看到的局面。

🌐 为回应外界对其决策透明度的关切,美联储主席鲍威尔强调了银行在决策上的透明度和对公众的问责制。为此,美联储新设了一个网站专区,旨在向选民及时更新最新进展,提升公众对美联储工作的了解和信任。

Donald Trump is taking his battle with Jerome Powell to the doorstep of the Federal Reserve. Literally.

The president will be visiting the central bank at 4 p.m. ET on Thursday, returning to the White House a little over an hour later, per his public schedule.

The move is unusual for a number of reasons. Primarily, because this is the first visit by a president to the central bank in nearly two decades—and only the fourth visit from the Oval Office in history.

The context of this visit also raises eyebrows, as President Trump and his cabinet have been continually lobbying and criticizing the Fed since winning the Oval Office in January.

In the past, visits from the president to the Fed have been viewed as endorsements—both of the chairman at the time and of the Fed’s independence as a whole.

For example, the last visit came from George W. Bush on Feb. 6, 2006, when he attended the swearing-in ceremony for his nominee, Ben S. Bernanke, as the fourteenth chairman of the Fed.

Bush’s attendance was seen as a backing not only of Bernanke but also of the independent nature of the Fed. When announcing his nomination, Bush told reporters in the Oval Office: “In our economy, the Fed is the independent body responsible for setting monetary policy, for overseeing the integrity of our banking system, for containing the risk that can arise in financial markets, and for ensuring a functioning payment system.

“Across the world, the Fed is the symbol of the integrity and the reliability of our financial system, and the decisions of the Fed affects the lives and livelihoods of all Americans.”

Prior to Bush’s visit, the most recent example of a president visiting the Fed had been President Ford in July of 1975—again for a swearing-in ceremony in which the independence of the central bank was lauded.

Speaking at the confirmation of Philip C. Jackson as chairman, President Ford said: “The essence of the Federal Reserve System is independence. Independence of both the congress and the president, as well as the individual independence thought of each of its governors. I firmly and completely respect that independence.”

The final example—but the first visit of its kind—came in 1937 when President Roosevelt attended the opening of the board’s first building—the Eccles office which President Trump will likely be visiting today.

Trump vs the Fed so far

Even before Trump won the election, there were signs he may cause trouble for chairman Jerome Powell. Despite being the president to nominate Powell for the role, he made veiled threats about the security of the chairman’s role. He told Bloomberg: “I would let him serve [his term] out, especially if I thought he was doing the right thing.”

Back then, the “right thing” in Trump’s mind was not to cut interest rates as it would give the economy, and the Biden administration at the time, a boost.

Since taking the Oval Office in January that request has flipped to the other extreme. Trump has dubbed Powell “dumb” and “hard headed” for not cutting the base rate, adding he knows more than the Fed boss about interest rates.

While some marketeers may agree with Trump’s take that Powell and the Federal Open Market Committee are reacting too slowly to economic data, no analyst or investor wants to see the independence of the central bank threatened.

As such markets reacted shakily when Trump threatened to fire Powell, and then stabilized when the president rescind the suggestion. After all, the federally-mandated independence of the Fed was written into law to protect it from the whims of politicians and instead mandate it to ensure the long-term health of the economy.

While lambasting the policy of the Fed remains a common theme of the Trump administration (even yesterday, the president wrote on Truth Social that “families are being hurt because interest rates are too high, and even our country is having to pay a higher rate than it should be because of ‘Too Late [Powell].'”) criticism is also being lobbied at wider-decision making.

This has included Powell’s management of the central bank’s offices—which Trump will reportedly be touring today—with Russel Vought, director of the White House’s Office of Management and Budget making public a letter he sent to the Fed chairman, saying the president is “extremely troubled by your management of the Federal Reserve System” particularly relating to the “ostentatious overhaul of [the Fed’s] Washington D.C. headquarters.”

Powell has since responded to, and clarified, some of the points raised in Vought’s letter outlining: “The project is large … because it involves the renovation of two historic buildings on the National Mall and that were first constructed in the 1930s. While periodic work has been done to keep these buildings occupiable, neither building has seen a comprehensive renovation since they were first constructed.”

Though the Fed has independence over its business management and expenditure, Powell reaffirmed the bank’s commitment to “transparency for our decisions and to be accountable to the public”—announcing a new section of the Fed’s website had been created to keep voters up-to-date with the latest developments.

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特朗普 美联储 鲍威尔 货币政策 央行独立性
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