taiyangnews 07月24日 17:40
IRENA: Solar Power Averaged $0.043/kWh Globally In 2024
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国际可再生能源署(IRENA)的最新报告显示,2024年公用事业规模太阳能光伏发电的平均度电成本(LCOE)降至0.043美元/千瓦时,比化石燃料低41%,且较2010年的0.417美元/千瓦时下降了90%。陆上风能成本更低,平均为0.034美元/千瓦时,比化石燃料低53%。2024年新增可再生能源装机容量582吉瓦,其中太阳能占77.8%,风能占21.2%,这不仅避免了价值570亿美元的化石燃料使用,也使全球可再生能源总装机容量达到4443吉瓦。报告指出,91%的新建公用事业规模可再生能源项目成本低于新建化石燃料项目,凸显了可再生能源的成本竞争力。尽管面临电网瓶颈和融资挑战,但太阳能和风能成本的显著下降,尤其是组件和逆变器技术的进步,正推动全球能源结构的绿色转型。

☀️ **太阳能成本大幅下降,成为最经济的电力来源之一**:2024年,公用事业规模太阳能光伏的平均度电成本(LCOE)仅为0.043美元/千瓦时,与2010年的0.417美元/千瓦时相比,下降了90%。这使得太阳能比化石燃料便宜41%,并且91%的新建太阳能项目成本低于新建化石燃料项目,中国和印度更是报告了低于平均水平的成本。

💨 **陆上风能成本更低,引领可再生能源成本优势**:陆上风能是成本最低的可再生能源,平均度电成本为0.034美元/千瓦时,比化石燃料低53%。这表明风能发电的经济性也得到了显著提升,进一步巩固了其在能源转型中的关键地位。

📈 **可再生能源装机容量快速增长,推动能源结构优化**:2024年全球新增可再生能源装机容量达到582吉瓦,其中太阳能贡献了452.1吉瓦(77.8%),风能为114.3吉瓦(21.2%)。截至2024年底,全球累计可再生能源装机容量已达4443吉瓦,这不仅显著减少了化石燃料的使用,还避免了巨额的燃料成本。

💡 **技术进步是成本下降的关键驱动力**:IRENA的报告强调,太阳能光伏成本的下降主要得益于组件和逆变器技术的进步,两者共同贡献了自2010年以来成本下降的55%。此外,容量因子(从15%提升至17.4%)的提高也得益于逆变器负载比的演变、市场辐照度的变化以及跟踪器和双面技术的应用。

⚠️ **发展中国家面临电网瓶颈和融资挑战**:尽管可再生能源的成本竞争力日益凸显,但IRENA也指出了发展中市场面临的严峻挑战,包括电网瓶颈和融资缺口,这些因素可能会阻碍可再生能源的进一步推广和普及。

A new report from the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) finds that in 2024, utility-scale solar PV generated electricity at an average levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of $0.043/kWh – 41% lower than fossil fuels, representing a 90% decline between 2010 and 2024 from $0.417/kWh.  

China and India reported below-average LCOEs of $0.033/kWh and $0.038/kWh for solar PV, respectively.  

Onshore wind was the cheapest renewable source, averaging $0.034/kWh and coming in 53% below fossil fuel costs. Cost savings also came from 582 GW of new renewable power capacity installations in 2024, says IRENA, avoiding fossil fuel use worth $57 billion. Solar led installations with 452.1 GW, or 77.8% of the total, followed by wind with 114.3 GW. At the end of 2024, the total global installed renewable capacity reached 4,443 GW (see IRENA: Global Renewable Energy Additions Hit 582 GW In 2024). 

Thus, renewables continued to be the most cost-competitive option for new electricity generation last year. According to IRENA, 91% of newly commissioned utility-scale capacity delivered power at a lower cost than the cheapest, newly installed fossil fuel-based alternative last year.

Grid bottlenecks and financing gaps pose growing threats, especially in developing markets. IRENA Director-General Francesco La Camera said that the avoided fossil fuel costs in 2024 reached up to $467 billion, thanks to all operational renewable energy capacity. 

However, it is the remarkable decline in the cost of electricity from utility-scale solar PV that IRENA calls one of the most compelling stories in the power generation sector. Cost declines have been reported not just in modules, but also in inverters. Together, both these components were responsible for 55% of this decline since 2010, contributing to several new solar markets flourishing globally.  

Over this period, module costs declined by 46% while installation/EPC/development, as well as soft costs, reported a 14% decline each, reads the IRENA report Renewable Power Generation Costs in 2024

For solar PV, the LCOE increased slightly last year, by 0.6%, which the report writers believe reflects the changing financial conditions across markets. Between 2010 and 2024, the global weighted average capacity factor for new, utility-scale solar PV went up from 15% to 17.4%. It attributes this increase in capacity factor to evolving inverter load ratios, a shift in average market irradiance, and expanded use of trackers due to increased adoption of bifacial technologies, among others. 

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