Fortune | FORTUNE 07月23日 21:38
The $124 trillion Great Wealth Transfer is bigger than ever—and millennials will get the biggest cut
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美国正经历一场前所未有的财富转移,预计在未来25年内,约124万亿美元的资产将从婴儿潮一代及更年长者手中转移至继承人、遗孀和慈善机构。此次财富转移由通货膨胀调整、疫情期间资产价格飙升以及老年人财富占比增加等因素驱动。这一转变将深刻影响家庭、金融顾问、企业及整个金融行业。特别是千禧一代和X世代将是主要的受益者,而女性在财富管理中的角色日益凸显,预示着财富规划的新时代。

💰 **巨额财富的世代转移**:美国正迎来一场规模空前的财富转移浪潮,预计在2048年前,将有近124万亿美元的资产从老一辈转移给下一代及慈善机构。这一数字是基于通货膨胀调整、疫情期间股票和房地产价格的显著增长,以及老年家庭财富占比的持续提升而得出的,预示着金融格局的巨大变动。

📈 **X世代与千禧一代的财富机遇**:X世代预计在未来十年内获得近1.4万亿美元的年继承额,成为重要的财富接收者。而千禧一代到2048年将继承约45.6万亿美元,成为最大的受益群体。这一财富的涌入对这两个世代,特别是经历过金融动荡的X世代,在人生关键阶段带来了重要的财务支撑和机遇。

👩 **女性财富管理角色的崛起**:随着婴儿潮一代中寡妇预计将获得40万亿美元的财富转移,以及年轻女性继承47万亿美元,女性在财富管理中的主导地位日益增强。这标志着一个从传统男性主导的财富规划向女性主导的金融决策新时代的转变。

💼 **金融行业的战略调整**:面对财富转移的新趋势,财富管理公司正积极调整策略。年轻客户(千禧一代和Z世代)在高端金融咨询客户中的比例显著上升,从2021年的8%增至2024年的25%。这促使行业更加关注年轻一代的偏好,如对技术、自主投资和价值导向(ESG)的关注。

America stands at the edge of the most dramatic shift in personal finance ever measured—a generational transfer of nearly $124 trillion in assets over just 25 years. According to the wealth transfer issue of Boston wealth management firm Cerulli Associates‘ publication, published in June 2025, a combination of demographic and economic forces will see a record amount of wealth move from Baby Boomers and older Americans to heirs, widows, and charities by 2048. This transformation has profound implications for families, advisers, businesses, and every segment of the financial industry.

Three primary factors have driven up Cerulli’s most recent projections. First is a basic adjustment for inflation: Earlier projections of $84 trillion (in 2020 dollars) become $100 trillion when restated in 2023 terms. Second is the asset price explosion of the pandemic: Equities grew 27%, and real estate surged 39% from 2020 to 2023, and the total U.S. household wealth leapt from $108 trillion to $154 trillion during that span. (The report notes that American wealth has grown tremendously over a longer timeframe, since the Great Financial Crisis, with the mark standing at $79 trillion in 2011.)

Finally, older households control an ever greater percentage of national wealth, leaving them more to pass down. They held 61% as of 2023, compared to 54% just three years earlier. This lines up somewhat with wealthy households—those with a net worth over $10 million. These wealthiest households, about 3 million in total, now hold 44% of all wealth, up from 40% in 2020, and up a remarkable 11% from 33% in 2011. Cerulli calculates that this is the the top 2% of wealthiest Americans.

Baby Boomers and older Americans still command America’s largest asset pool, and they will be responsible for the largest handoff, sending $79 trillion to younger generations and philanthropies. This will begin with “horizontal” wealth transfers—wives outliving husbands, siblings, and other peer relationships—before most assets move intergenerationally to children and grandchildren.

Gen X, long overshadowed by the enormous Boomer cohort and the much-discussed They are projected to inherit nearly $1.4 trillion per year over the next decade, more than any other group. This windfall comes at a pivotal life stage: many Gen Xers are “sandwiched” between caring for children and aging parents. Cerulli projects millennials getting $8 billion per year over the next decade. Over the next quarter-century, millennials will get the biggest haul: $45.6 trillion to Gen X’s $39 trillion.

This will represent a change, windfall even, for the Gen X generation, whose financial experience has been marked by volatility. They lost 38% of their median net worth between 2007 and 2010—a much steeper loss than any other generation—making them understandably anxious and pragmatic about their financial future. Their rapid transition into inheritors is shifting advisory industry focus dramatically.

The next wave: Women’s wealth and millennial and Gen Z affluence

Millennials, despite delayed life milestones and entry into the workforce during the Great Recession, are set to inherit $46 trillion, more than any other demographic, by 2048. With better access to retirement plans and digital investment platforms, Millennials and Gen Z show different preferences—favoring self-direction, technology, and investing in a values-based direction (e.g., ESG and impact).

One of the report’s most striking findings concerns women as wealth holders. Women are due to inherit much of the coming fortune. Widows from the Boomer cohort are expected to receive $40 trillion in “horizontal” transfers—over 28 million women will become chief asset managers in their families as they outlive their spouses. The average inter-spousal transfer is $1.4 million.

Younger women, meanwhile, will inherit $47 trillion over the next 24 years, moving the conversation from male-dominated wealth planning to a new era of female control and financial decision-making.

The changing face of affluence

Wealth managers are bracing for a big change, Cerulli writes. Out of the clients of premier financial advisors today, 45% are entrepreneurs, business owners, and corporate executives, 24% are inheritors or have multigenerational family ties, and just 21% are the type of “traditional” savers and high-performing professionals such as lawyers and doctors. The share of Millennial and Gen Z clients at HNW-focused firms grew from just 8% in 2021 to 25% by 2024, an indicator of the fast-approaching generational transition.

For this story, Fortune used generative AI to help with an initial draft. An editor verified the accuracy of the information before publishing. 

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财富转移 资产传承 X世代 千禧一代 女性财富
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