Fortune | FORTUNE 15小时前
Japanese equities rally on ‘massive’ U.S. trade deal, with markets buoyed by hopes of more 11th hour announcements
index_new5.html
../../../zaker_core/zaker_tpl_static/wap/tpl_guoji1.html

 

美国总统特朗普宣布与日本达成一项历史性的贸易协议,该协议预计将为美国带来巨额投资和市场开放。协议内容包括日本将在美国投资5500亿美元,并放开汽车、大米等农产品市场。日本对美出口的汽车将面临15%的关税,远低于此前提议的24%。此消息提振了市场信心,日本股市和欧洲主要股指均出现上涨。分析人士认为,该协议缓解了市场对8月1日关税截止日期前贸易紧张局势升级的担忧,但同时也指出,其他国家仍面临潜在的较高关税威胁,市场波动性可能依然存在。

🇺🇸🇯🇵 美日贸易协议达成:美国总统特朗普宣布与日本达成一项“史上最大”的贸易协议,提振了市场信心。该协议旨在促进双边贸易,包括日本对美国的投资以及美国对日本市场的开放。

💰 巨额投资与市场准入:根据协议,日本将向美国投资5500亿美元,并允许美国汽车、大米及其他农产品进入日本市场。这被视为对美国经济的重大推动。

⚖️ 关税调整与市场影响:日本对美出口汽车的关税将从此前威胁的24%降至15%,低于预期。此举有助于缓解市场对贸易战升级的担忧,并对日本经济增长产生积极影响。

📈 市场反应与未来展望:协议达成后,日本股市和欧洲主要股指均出现上涨。然而,分析师提醒,其他国家仍面临较高的潜在关税威胁,且最终结果可能在最后时刻才明朗,市场波动性仍需关注。

President Trump has confirmed the U.S. has agreed to a trade deal with Japan, describing it as the “largest in history” and sending markets flying.

With the Oval Office confirming the deal last night, Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 was up 3.5% in trading today with the Japanese yen holding steady at 0.0068 JPY to the U.S. dollar.

In Europe, London’s FTSE 100 was up 0.6% this morning with Germany’s DAX up near 0.9%.

Touting the agreement as a “great deal for everybody” the president took to Truth Social, his social media site, to share some of the early details: “Japan will invest … $550 billion into the United States, which will receive 90% of the profits.”

He added: “Perhaps most importantly, Japan will open their country to trade including cars and trucks, rice and certain other agricultural products, and other things.”

Moreover, Japanese exports to the U.S. will face tariffs of 15%—well below the 24% Trump first threatened on ‘Liberation Day.’

“This is a very exciting time for the United States of America, and especially for the fact that we will continue to always have a great relationship with the country of Japan,” Trump added.

The news that the White House is still signing deals with key trading partners with a little over a week until the Aug. 1—the date outlined in the president’s so-called ‘letter tariffs’ sent earlier this month—has boosted confidence that more deals could still come ahead of the deadline, wrote Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid this morning.

That being said, Reid cautioned that markets may not get their reprieve in a timely manner. In the note seen by Fortune, he added: “Collectively, this more positive trade news has really helped to ease investor fears that tariffs are about to snap back higher on August 1. But of course, the threat of much higher tariffs still remains for several large economies, including the 30% on the EU, 35% on Canada and 50% on Brazil. And there’s also the pledge of higher sectoral tariffs, including 50% on copper, so this is far from the end just yet, and those tariffs would each have a significant impact if they did come in.

“We also know from experience that we might not know the outcome until hours before the deadline, which happened in early February where the 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico were postponed for 30-days on the day before they were due to be implemented.”

Indeed, UBS’s global wealth management CIO, Mark Haefele, wrote in a note this morning: “The U.S.’s deal with Japan is better than market expectations, as the lower tariffs on autos could translate into a 0.4pp improvement in Japan’s real GDP growth this year and again in 2026. The deal reduces risks to Japan’s economic growth, in our view, and removes downside risks for the Japanese currency.”

However, the bigger picture is continued uncertainty, he added: “We expect market volatility to pick up in the lead-up to the 1 August tariff deadline, with threats to Federal Reserve independence and geopolitical uncertainty lingering in the background.”

Are markets pricing in August 1?

The general take on Wall Street at present is that Trump won’t push ahead with his threats come the end of the month.

Goldman Sachs’s Jan Hatzius, for example, wrote in a note this week “we don’t expect the ‘letter tariffs’ scheduled for August 1 to take effect” while Deutsche Bank added “it’s clear that markets aren’t pricing in the proposed August 1 rates.”

But this reliance on the TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out) trade may prove fatal, the likes of JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon have cautioned.

Indeed, analysts from Deutsche Bank have warned it’s precisely because of this confidence from the markets that President Trump may push ahead with his plan—believing that the economy may be stable enough to take the change.

Introducing the 2025 Fortune 500

, the definitive ranking of the biggest companies in America. 

Explore this year's list.

Fish AI Reader

Fish AI Reader

AI辅助创作,多种专业模板,深度分析,高质量内容生成。从观点提取到深度思考,FishAI为您提供全方位的创作支持。新版本引入自定义参数,让您的创作更加个性化和精准。

FishAI

FishAI

鱼阅,AI 时代的下一个智能信息助手,助你摆脱信息焦虑

联系邮箱 441953276@qq.com

相关标签

美日贸易协议 特朗普 关税 投资 市场
相关文章