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The UK reportedly plans to woo the ultra-rich back with a new 'golden visa.' Analysts say the damage may already be done.
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英国正面临富豪居民因税制改革而大量外流的局面,有分析认为英国已成为对富人“不友好”的环境。据报道,英国政府正考虑重启“黄金签证”计划,以吸引高净值人士投资人工智能、清洁能源和生物技术等战略性产业。此举旨在应对因废除“非定居者”税收优惠等政策而可能引发的富豪资本外流,预计今年将有创纪录的16,500名百万富翁离开英国。尽管新的签证计划可能有助于减缓人才流失,但许多专家认为,此前税收政策的变动已对英国吸引全球财富的竞争力造成严重损害,重建信任需要更长期的努力和改革。

💰 英国正经历富豪外流潮,预计今年将有16,500名百万富翁离开,创历史新高,这与英国税收政策的变化,特别是废除“非定居者”(non-dom)税收优惠制度密切相关,该制度曾吸引了大量拥有海外资产的全球精英。

📈 为应对这一局面,英国政府正考虑重启“黄金签证”(投资移民签证),吸引高净值人士(HNWI)投资于人工智能、清洁能源和生物技术等关键领域,以期吸引回流资金并提振经济。

📉 分析师指出,英国税收的“毒性混合”以及“非定居者”制度的废除,导致数千名世界最富有的人逃离,英国在全球财富竞争中的地位受到严重打击,信任难以在短期内恢复。

⚖️ 重新引入“黄金签证”面临政治挑战,政府需要在财政压力和议会中对富人持谨慎态度的基数之间取得平衡。有建议认为,新的签证应包含更具吸引力的投资门槛(如400-500万英镑)和税收优惠,并确保政策的稳定性,以避免因规则变动而导致吸引力下降。

⚠️ 尽管支持者认为新的签证计划可以改变英国对资本不友好的叙事,但反对者和反腐败组织担心,新的投资者签证可能增加国家安全风险,助长外国影响力及非法资金流动,并认为英国在重建其作为全球财富磁石的声誉方面,需要持续的努力和实质性的改革,而不仅仅是签证的微调。

London's financial district has long been a magnet for global wealth, but thousands of millionaires are now leaving the UK amid tax hikes and uncertainty.

The UK is reportedly considering reviving its "golden visa" plan to attract wealthy foreign investors as it faces the prospect of a record-breaking outflow of millionaires.

The proposed investor visa, which Bloomberg reported is under discussion by senior government ministers, would target high-net-worth individuals (HNWI) willing to invest in strategically important sectors such as artificial intelligence, clean energy, and biotech.

The UK Home Office declined to comment on any potential plans.

The move comes amid growing concerns that the UK's crackdown on tax perks for the wealthy — including the abolition of the non-dom regime in April — could drive a mass departure of wealthy residents and their capital.

An April analysis by the Centre for Economics and Business Research found that if half of former non-domiciled taxpayers left the country, the Treasury could face net losses of £2.4 billion ($3.26 billion) in the first year alone.

Until its repeal, the "non-dom" regime had allowed wealthy foreign nationals living in the UK to avoid paying UK tax on income earned abroad, making Britain especially attractive to global elites with international assets.

However, according to Henley & Partners' Private Wealth Migration Report 2025, Britain is projected to lose 16,500 millionaires this year alone, more than any other country on record, including China, in part due to tax changes.

It's a dramatic reversal for a nation once seen as a hub for global wealth.

London's status as a global base for the world's richest people is under threat.

'Much of the damage has already been done'

Analysts blamed rising taxes, political instability, and the end of the non-dom status for the departure of the ultrawealthy.

"There's no doubt a refreshed golden visa scheme could help slow the exodus and potentially lure some HNWIs back — but let's be clear: much of the damage has already been done," Nigel Green, CEO of global financial advisory giant deVere Group, told Business Insider.

"The UK's competitiveness in the global race for wealth has taken a significant hit in recent times, and trust doesn't return overnight," he said.

"Still, for those with long-standing business, personal, or cultural ties to Britain, it could be enough to start a conversation again. It's not a silver bullet, but it may be worth a shot."

The City of London has been a financial hub for hundreds of years.

Matthew Lesh, UK country manager at consultancy Freshwater Strategy, blamed what he called "the toxic mix of historically high taxes and the abolition of the non-dom regime."

He said it has "resulted in thousands of the world's wealthiest individuals fleeing" the UK, adding: "It's often forgotten that not only do the wealthiest have the widest shoulders, but also the longest legs."

According to the UK's National Audit Office, wealthy individuals paid £119 billion ($161 billion) in personal taxes in 2023-24, accounting for 25% of all UK personal tax receipts. The top 29,000 earners alone were responsible for £34 billion in income tax.

"A new 'golden visa' could be an attractive prospect for some of the world's wealthiest," Lesh continued, "but if they arrive to find themselves paying exorbitant taxes for poor public services and threatened by a new 'wealth tax,' they are unlikely to stick around for long."

A tarnished history

The UK's original Tier 1 investor visa, introduced in 2008, granted residency to foreigners who invested at least £1 million ($1.35 million). That threshold was raised to £2 million in 2014.

The route was scrapped in February 2022 amid mounting concerns over illicit finance and national security, especially after Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

A 2023 government review found that a minority of golden visa holders before 2015 were flagged as high risk, with some holders possibly linked to corruption or organized crime.

That history has left a bitter legacy.

In a letter to Chancellor Rachel Reeves this month, a coalition of anti-corruption groups warned that a new investor visa would "expose the UK to acute national security risks by facilitating foreign influence and the flow of illicit finance."

'Change the narrative'

Supporters argue that a new plan could be more tightly designed, and is urgently needed.

James Quarmby, head of private wealth at law firm Stephenson Harwood, told BI the government "can't afford to ignore the reality."

"When you've got a lot of people leaving, you've got two choices — either stop them by changing the rules that are driving them out, or attract new people in."

"An investment visa could change the narrative in the UK," he said. "Right now, the perception among wealth holders and their advisors is that the UK has become a hostile place for capital."

Quarmby said the visa should be bold and transparent, with meaningful incentives: "£2 million is too low. I'd recommend a £4 to £5 million minimum investment. But that must come with tax incentives."

"The government also needs to guarantee policy stability," he added. "People aren't going to relocate their lives and businesses to the UK only to have the rules change again in two years."

Green echoed that view: "The number one deterrent is uncertainty. Tax policy has become unpredictable, and for HNWIs, that's a dealbreaker. It's not just about rates — it's about tone, messaging, and direction of travel."

A political balancing act

The proposal puts the UK government in a tricky position. While the government faces intense fiscal pressure and limited room for big tax hikes, it must also appease a parliamentary base wary of any measures seen as overtly pro-wealth.

Rachel Reeves, UK Chancellor of the Exchequer, faces a difficult balancing act.

Quarmby predicts Labour will "quietly" pursue an investor visa under a different label.

"I doubt they'll call it a golden visa — it'll be something more palatable, like a 'Global Talent Visa' with an investment component. That way, it sounds more blue-collar."

Still, he sees the odds of action as high.

"There's at least a 60-40 chance this happens. The Treasury is running out of options. If you're out of blood to squeeze from the current tax base, you need new blood."

However, Green cautioned: "The UK used to be a magnet for global wealth — now it's often seen as a cautionary tale. Rebuilding trust will require sustained effort and meaningful reforms, not just a visa tweak."

Read the original article on Business Insider

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英国投资移民 黄金签证 税收政策 富豪外流 经济竞争力
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