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China’s June 2025 Solar PV Additions Fall To 14.36 GW
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中国在2025年6月太阳能光伏装机量大幅下滑至14.36吉瓦,此前5月曾创纪录地超过92吉瓦。这一超过84%的环比下降在意料之中,因为6月1日起,中国作为全球最大的太阳能光伏市场,已从固定电价上网电价(FiT)机制转向市场化定价机制。新投产的风电和太阳能发电项目将以市场决定价格销售电力,直接与化石燃料发电竞争。尽管如此,今年上半年中国累计新增装机量仍达212.21吉瓦,同比增长超107%,累计总装机量突破1太瓦(TW)。市场分析师对下半年的潜力持乐观态度,预计全年新增装机量有望达到350吉瓦。

☀️ 市场机制转型引发装机量短期波动:中国自2025年6月1日起,将太阳能光伏项目从固定电价上网电价(FiT)机制转变为市场化定价,要求新项目以市场价格销售电力,这导致了6月份装机量的显著下降,从5月份的92吉瓦以上跌至14.36吉瓦,降幅超过84%。

📈 上半年装机总量强劲增长:尽管6月份出现下滑,中国2025年上半年累计新增太阳能光伏装机量仍高达212.21吉瓦,同比增长107%,绝对增量达到109.7吉瓦,显示出整体市场的强劲发展势头。

🚀 累计装机容量突破里程碑:截至2025年上半年末,中国累计太阳能光伏装机容量已成功突破1太瓦(TW)大关,较去年同期增长了54.2%,巩固了其在全球太阳能市场的领导地位。

💨 风电装机同步增长:同期,风电装机量也表现不俗,上半年新增装机量为51.4吉瓦,使得风电总装机容量达到570吉瓦,整体清洁能源发展势头良好。

🔮 市场前景仍被看好:尽管面临短期波动,市场分析师和行业专家对中国2025年全年的太阳能装机潜力持乐观态度,预计全年新增装机量可能达到350吉瓦,政府通过绿色电力要求推动重工业需求被视为积极因素。

According to China’s National Energy Administration (NEA), solar PV installations plunged to 14.36 GW in June 2025, following a record-breaking 92 GW+ added in May. The sharp month-on-month (MoM) decline of over 84% was widely anticipated after the unprecedented surge before June. 

The installation rush led to the NEA reporting 197.85 GW capacity additions within the initial 5 months of 2025. This was to avail a fixed price for electricity generation under the country’s feed-in-tariff (FiT) mechanism. Effective June 1, 2025, the world’s largest solar PV market transitioned to a market-based pricing mechanism, requiring all newly commissioned wind and solar power plants to sell electricity at market-determined rates, competing directly with fossil fuel-based generation.  

It also led the country to surpass the 1 TW milestone for cumulative solar PV capacity (see China Solar Installations: From 100 MW In 2009 To 1 TW In 2025).

With the addition of 14.36 GW in June 2025, H1 additions totaled 212.21 GW, representing an annual increase of 109.7 GW in absolute terms or more than 107% year-on-year (see China Exceeds 100 GW Solar Installations Mark In H1 2024).  

While the jury is still out on China’s actual H2 potential post the initial rush this year, this still leaves 168 GW to be achieved out of the 380 GW AC that the State Grid Energy Research Institute and National Climate Center project as the annual total for this year (see China Forecasts 380 GW New Solar PV Installations In 2025).

Speaking at the recent TaiyangNews Global Solar Market Developments 2025 virtual conference, AECEA Director Frank Haugwitz said that he is optimistic about the country’s potential to grow by up to 350 GW in 2025. He sees the government driving downstream demand through green power requirements for heavy industries as a positive.

As of the end of H1 2025, China’s cumulative installed solar PV capacity stands at 1.1 TW with a 54.2% annual increase. Wind power capacity additions of 51.4 GW during H1 2025 (including 5.1 GW in June) expand its total capacity to 570 GW.

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中国太阳能 光伏装机 市场化定价 能源转型 风电
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