Fortune | FORTUNE 15小时前
Trump teases ‘not too distant’ China visit amid thaw in trade war and rare earth shipments
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文章探讨了美国总统特朗普与中国国家主席习近平之间可能举行的会晤,以及围绕此会晤的背景和潜在影响。特朗普政府与中国在贸易、科技等领域存在摩擦,但也寻求稳定双边关系。近期,两国在部分贸易限制和关税问题上有所松动,为高层会谈创造了条件。中国方面也展现出积极姿态,例如暂停对部分美国企业的调查,这被视为一种善意表示。此次会晤若能成行,有望在短期内稳定两国关系,但长期走向仍取决于双方在关键议题上的博弈和合作。

🇺🇸🤝🇨🇳 美中关系出现缓和迹象,为两国领导人潜在会晤创造机会。文章指出,尽管存在贸易战和地缘政治竞争,但双方在近期就部分贸易限制措施达成共识,例如中国恢复向美国出口稀土磁铁,美国也放宽了对部分先进芯片的出口限制,这为两国关系的回暖提供了积极信号。

📈 贸易谈判是关键。文章详细阐述了此前美中之间激烈的贸易战,包括双方互加高额关税以及在关键产品上的贸易限制。目前,双方正就延长贸易截止日期进行谈判,并希望中国能够调整其制造业产能过剩的问题,转向发展国内消费经济。这是影响两国关系走向和领导人会晤能否顺利进行的重要因素。

⚖️ 中国以积极姿态回应,为会晤铺路。文章提到,中国暂停了对美国化工巨头杜邦在华业务的反垄断调查,此举被解读为北京对特朗普政府示好的一种方式,旨在为两国高层对话创造更有利的氛围。此类具体行动显示出中国方面希望稳定双边关系的意愿。

🤔 会晤时间仍不确定。文章援引专家观点指出,特朗普本人对访问中国表现出强烈意愿,而北京方面则在评估特朗普是否会遵守双方的约定。会晤的具体时间表尚未确定,可能取决于贸易谈判的进展以及双方在其他议题上的互动情况,例如中国购买俄罗斯和伊朗石油以及其在俄乌冲突中的角色等问题。

Trump made the remarks while hosting Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. at the White House, where he praised the “fantastic military relationship” with Manila as the U.S. looks to counter China’s influence in the Indo-Pacific region.

Yet, Trump still said the U.S. is “getting along with China very well. We have a very good relationship.” He added that Beijing has resumed shipping to the U.S. “record numbers” of much-needed rare earth magnets, which are used in iPhones and other high-tech products like electric vehicles.

Widely speculated about since Trump returned to the White House, a summit between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping would be expected to stabilize — even for a short while — a difficult relationship defined by mistrust and competition.

Beijing believes a leader-level summit is necessary to steady U.S.-China relations and that Trump must be wooed because he has the final say on America’s policy toward China, despite more hawkish voices in his Cabinet, observers say.

The question, however, is when.

Danny Russel, a distinguished fellow at the Asia Society Policy Institute, said Trump has consistently shown his hunger for a visit to China and that Beijing has used that to bolster leverage.

“As soon as the leadership in Beijing is satisfied that Trump will be on his best behavior and will accept terms for a deal that they think are favorable, they will give a green light to the visit,” Russel said.

Sun Yun, director of the China program at the Washington-based think tank Stimson Center, said a visit “is in the making” with two sides likely to strike a trade deal.

What Trump said might mean the visit would not be in September but “potentially November, but still depends on whether they play ball on trade and other things we want,” Sun said.

Trump’s campaign to impose tariffs on other countries kicked off a high-stake trade war with Beijing. China raised tariffs on U.S. goods to 125% in response to Trump’s hiking the tax on Chinese goods to 145%.

Both sides also imposed on each other harsh trade restrictions on critical products: China on rare earths, and the U.S. on computing chips and jet engine technology.

Trade tensions, however, eased following two rounds of high-level talks in Geneva and London, when the two sides agreed to lower tariffs — pending a more permanent deal by mid-August — and pull back on trade restrictions.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Tuesday on Fox Business’ “Mornings with Maria” that he will be meeting with his Chinese counterparts in Stockholm next week to work on “what is likely an extension” of the Aug. 12 deadline.

“I think trade is in a very good place with China,” Bessent told host Maria Bartiromo. “Hopefully, we can see the Chinese pull back on some of this glut of manufacturing that they’re doing and concentrate on building a consumer economy.”

He said he also expects to bring up China’s purchases of Russian and Iranian oil and Beijing’s role in aiding Moscow in its war against Ukraine.

Beijing has not announced any travel plans for Vice Premier He Lifeng, who led trade negotiations in both Geneva and London on behalf of the Chinese government, but it is not unusual for China to make such announcements closer to a travel date.

In a possible friendly gesture, Beijing on Tuesday said it suspended an antitrust investigation into chemical maker DuPont’s operations in China. China’s State Administration for Market Regulation made the announcement in a one-line statement but gave no explanation for the decision.

DuPont said in a statement that it is “pleased” with China’s action.

Chinese regulators launched the investigation in April against DuPont China Group, a subsidiary of the chemical giant, as part of Beijing’s broad, retaliatory response to Trump’s sky-high tariffs.

Beijing also has agreed to approve export permits for rare earth elements and rare earth magnets that U.S. manufacturers need to build cars, robots, wind turbines and other high-tech products. The U.S. has eased restrictions on some advanced chips and other technologies.

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美中关系 特朗普 贸易战 习近平 地缘政治
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