Fortune | FORTUNE 07月23日 03:28
Halliburton CEO: Oil and gas markets are “softer” than expected and will remain weak for all of 2025
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油田服务巨头哈里伯顿和SLB的CEO表示,由于油价疲软、支出削减以及OPEC原油产量增加,行业环境比预期更具挑战性,预计这种状况至少将持续到2025年底。全球经济波动和关税不确定性导致石油和天然气生产商对今年剩余时间的计划更为保守。尽管长期前景看好,但美国和墨西哥市场尤其疲软。为应对市场变化,哈里伯顿和SLB正专注于技术和专业服务,并考虑淘汰部分设备和完井车队,以避免在经济效益不佳的情况下运营。

📊 **行业环境疲软,短期至中期前景不明朗**:哈里伯顿和SLB的CEO均指出,油价低迷、广泛的支出削减以及OPEC增加原油供应共同导致了比预期更疲软的行业环境,预计这种状况至少会持续到2025年底。全球经济波动和关税不确定性促使石油和天然气生产商采取更保守的规划。

📉 **支出削减超预期,油价需上涨至70美元以上**:哈里伯顿CEO杰夫·米勒表示,石油生产商和国家正在比当前油价正常水平下更大幅度地削减支出。美国石油定价基准约为每桶66美元,行业需要油价升至70美元以上才能被视为相对健康。

💡 **聚焦技术与服务,优化设备配置**:为应对市场变化,哈里伯顿和SLB正更加关注技术和专业服务,并计划淘汰部分设备和完井(压裂)车队,以避免在经济效益不佳的情况下运营。这种策略有助于减少市场上的设备供应,并规避因非经济性运营带来的设备损耗和安全风险。

🚀 **技术创新驱动增长,如 autonome 压裂车队**:尽管整体市场疲软,哈里伯顿正在通过其名为Zeus IQ的新型自主和电气化压裂车队扩大市场份额,并与雪佛龙等公司进行了合作。这表明技术创新是应对行业挑战的关键。

🤝 **并购与服务深化,抵御行业周期**:SLB通过收购ChampionX,加强了在人工举升和生产化学品领域的实力。CEO奥利维尔·勒·佩奇表示,这些服务能够确保油气井在长期内保持最佳运行状态,有助于SLB规避行业固有的周期性波动。即使钻井活动放缓,现有油井的维护需求依然存在。

A combination of weaker oil prices, widespread spending cuts, and ramped-up OPEC crude oil volumes created a softer-than-expected industry environment that will continue at least through the rest of 2025, the CEOs of oilfield services leaders Halliburton and SLB said.

Global economic volatility, including ongoing tariff uncertainty, is leading oil and gas producers to plan more conservatively for the rest of the year than anticipated, they said, although though the longer-term oil and gas outlook remains bullish. The U.S. and Mexico are showing particular weakness even as shale oil and gas technologies developed in the U.S. over the past 20 years spread worldwide from Argentina to Australia, said Halliburton chairman and CEO Jeff Miller during the July 22 earnings call.

“To put it plainly, what I see tells me the oilfield services market will be softer than I previously expected over the short to medium term,” Miller said, arguing that oil producers and countries are cutting back spending more dramatically than current oil prices would normally necessitate. The U.S. oil pricing benchmark is about $66 per barrel, and it would need to rise well above $70 to be considered relatively healthy for the industry.

What that means for Halliburton and SLB is focusing more on technology and some of their service specialties while retiring some equipment and well completions—or fracking—fleets.

“We’ll clearly stack some fleets just because we’re not going to work at uneconomic levels,” Miller said. “It’s strategic for us, and it takes some equipment out of the market as well. But, from our perspective, working at uneconomic levels literally burns up equipment, creates HSE (health, safety, and environment) risk, and all sorts of things that we just don’t want to do.”

On the other hand, Halliburton (194 in the Fortune 500) is growing market share with its new autonomous and electrified fracking fleets, called Zeus IQ, and has partnered with Chevron (No. 16 in the Fortune 500) and others. Halliburton first developed early hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, techniques more than 75 years ago under founder Erle P. Halliburton.

For all of 2025, Halliburton now estimates its North American revenues will decline by more than 10%.

Halliburton reported second-quarter revenues that fell nearly 6% from $5.83 billion to $5.51 billion year over year. Net income plunged 33% from $709 million down to $472 million.

The biggest oilfield services company in the world, SLB (479 in the Fortune Global 500), formerly Schlumberger, also saw its quarterly revenues dip 6% year on year to $8.55 billion. Net income of $1.01 billion fell by 9%.

Oilfield outlook

OPEC and its allies have surprised much of the energy industry since this spring by unwinding years of voluntary production cuts more rapidly than anticipated to gain back market share. Dumping those new barrels on a saturated global marketplace Is adding to the weaker oil price environment, leading U.S. oil and gas producers and others to cut back spending and, in many cases, oil and gas volumes.

Adding to the weakness is the oilfield services sector becoming a victim of its own success. Efficiently gains now allow producers to extract more oil and gas per location without requiring as many drilling rigs and fracking fleets.

In mid-July, SLB closed its nearly $8 billion acquisition of ChampionX. The merger gives SLB a stronger footprint in artificial lift and production chemicals. Such services keep the oil and gas wells flowing optimally long after they are drilled and put into operation, which CEO Olivier Le Peuch said helps SLB avoid some of the industry’s inherent cyclicality. Even as drilling activity slows down, the existing wells still need just as much servicing and maintenance.

In fact, the number of drilling rigs active in the U.S. has fallen by 7% in the past 12 months, down to 544 active rigs, according to research firm Enverus, and the decline is expected to continue. Nearly half of all the active rigs are in the still-booming Permian Basin in West Texas and southeastern New Mexico.

“As we have seen more recently, the short-cycle markets have been more reactive to the persistent slightly lower commodity price than anticipated,” Le Peuch said. “Yet, all in, we are seeing this as a resilient market going forward.”

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油田服务 石油天然气 OPEC 油价 行业挑战
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