Fortune | FORTUNE 07月23日 03:28
GM’s $1.1 billion tariff hit bolsters mounting evidence that Americans are the ones footing the bill for Trump’s import taxes
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美国汽车巨头通用汽车(GM)和Stellantis报告称,第二季度利润受到汽车关税的显著影响。通用汽车因此损失了11亿美元,而Stellantis也面临超过3.5亿美元的负面影响。文章指出,尽管美国财政部报告关税收入创纪录,但进口商品价格并未因此显著下降,这表明出口商并未完全承担成本。分析认为,美国消费者最终将承担大部分关税成本,表现为汽车公司开始减少折扣和优惠措施,预示着未来汽车价格的上涨。

🚗 汽车关税严重影响美国汽车制造商的利润,通用汽车第二季度利润下滑,部分原因是高达11亿美元的关税成本。这表明关税政策对依赖进口零部件或在海外生产的汽车公司造成了直接的财务冲击。

📉 尽管美国政府通过关税获得了大量收入,但进口商品价格并未明显下降,这暗示着成本的增加并未完全由出口商承担。经济数据显示,美国消费者可能正在间接支付这些关税。

💸 汽车公司正在调整策略以应对关税压力,例如通用汽车计划投资40亿美元用于美国国内生产以抵消进口成本,但这也会带来更高的劳动力成本。这种权衡凸显了在关税政策下企业经营的复杂性。

🛍️ 消费者将逐渐感受到关税的影响,汽车制造商开始减少或取消之前的折扣和促销活动,例如福特汽车放弃了员工折扣计划。这预示着未来汽车价格可能会上涨,消费者将成为最终的成本承担者。

📈 分析师认为,无论是股东还是消费者,最终都需要为关税买单。随着汽车价格可能上涨,消费者将在购买汽车时面临更高的支出,这可能对汽车销售产生进一步影响。

General Motors is the latest U.S. auto giant to say tariffs have taken a chunk from their earnings. The company beat earnings expectations on Tuesday, but reported a decline in second-quarter profits, including a $1.1 billion hit as a result of hefty import taxes.

GM reported a 2% dip in sales to $47 billion, as well as $1.9 billion in quarterly profits, compared to $2.9 billion in the same period last year.

Anticipating the impact of President Donald Trump’s auto tariff policy—which outlined a 25% levy for many imported vehicles—GM withdrew its annual guidance last quarter, predicting an up to $5 billion pummelling from the levies. The company announced last month plans to invest $4 billion in domestic manufacturing plants in order to offset the cost of imports, as well as increase production capacity. Still, GM’s reliance on compact cars made in South Korea has made it vulnerable to the levies.

“In addition to our strong underlying operating performance, we are positioning the business for a profitable, long-term future as we adapt to new trade and tax policies, and a rapidly evolving tech landscape,” CEO Mary Barra wrote in a letter to shareholders on Tuesday.

GM’s rival Stellantis, which owns Jeep and Ram Trucks among other brands, announced on Monday $2.7 billion in net losses for the first half of the year as North American sales continued to slump. Those struggles were exacerbated by the “early effects of U.S. tariffs,” according to Stellantis, which had a more than $350 million negative impact on the company.

America is eating tariff costs

The auto companies’ tariff hit reinforced concerns—and emerging evidence—that Americans are the ones footing the bill for Trump’s sweeping tariff policy. 

Despite the U.S. Treasury collecting a record-setting $100 billion in customs duties so far this year, there has not been a meaningful reduction in the price of imported goods indicating exporters absorbing increased costs on their ends, according to a Deutsche Bank analyst note published on Monday. Instead, import prices have remained steady through June.

“The top-down macroevidence seems clear: Americans are mostly paying for the tariffs,” Deutsche Bank analyst George Saravelos said in the note.

Saravelos posited that because the Consumer Price Index has so far indicated only modest levels of inflation, “it follows that American importers are mostly absorbing the tariffs into their profit margins.”

The phenomenon is exemplified by Stellantis and GM eating billions in tariff costs.

Auto tariffs are no exception

Bernstein senior analyst Daniel Roeska said auto companies have started to exhaust their strategy of absorbing tariff costs into their own margins as car prices are poised to skyrocket later this year.

“There are only two people who can pay for [tariffs]: either the shareholders or the consumer,” Roeska told Fortune. “And in the end, there’s going to be some sharing between those two halves. And so our view has been and continues to be that prices for cars are going to push up in the second half.”

There’s already indications American consumers will be the next to take the tariff punch. Car companies are beginning to roll back discounts and incentives implemented months earlier to boost sales, as evidenced by Ford Motors switching away from its employee discount plan for prospective buyers in favor of a $0 down and 0% interest or financing plan. While GM’s plan to move some manufacturing to the U.S. will help the company save on tariff and transport costs, it will also incur steeper labor costs. The strategic move is a good one, according to Roeska, but it illustrates that companies will largely encounter trade offs when it comes to managing the inevitable impacts of tariffs.

“There’s not much you can do,” Roeska said. “If the policy is to put tariffs on cars, then that will increase the cost of cars, and ultimately, that will likely increase the price of cars.”

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汽车关税 通用汽车 Stellantis 美国经济 贸易政策
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