Fortune | FORTUNE 07月22日 03:44
Scott Bessent turns up the heat on the Fed, demands probe as Powell’s future hangs in balance
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美国财政部长姆努钦公开呼吁对美联储的运作和有效性进行全面调查,这是美国最高经济官员对本国央行发出的罕见公开批评。姆努钦质疑美联储是否履行了其使命,并认为美联储在关税问题上进行了“散布恐惧”,尽管通胀数据并未如预期般出现大幅上涨。他还批评美联储内部的“智力僵化”,认为其经济学家未能跳出固有思维模式。这一呼吁正值特朗普政府与美联储主席鲍威尔之间关系紧张之际,此前总统一直敦促美联储降息。尽管存在政治摩擦,但市场对美联储独立性的担忧依然存在,一些分析人士警告称,削弱美联储的独立性可能会损害美国的经济信誉。

💰 财政部长姆努钦对美联储的职责履行情况提出质疑,并呼吁对其运作和有效性进行全面调查。他将此比作对其他机构的安全审查,认为若美联储出现“如此多的错误”,应深入探究原因,以评估其是否成功完成了使命。

📉 姆努钦批评美联储在总统的关税政策上“散布恐惧”,指出尽管加征了关税,但通胀数据并未如美联储预警的那样显著上升,反而表现稳健。他认为美联储未能准确预测和评估关税对经济的影响。

🧠 姆努钦对美联储内部的“智力僵化”表示不满,认为拥有众多博士学位的经济学家们未能跳出某种固定的思维模式来指导决策,并暗示了对他们专业能力的质疑,体现了对央行内部决策机制的担忧。

🏛️ 姆努钦的呼吁发生在美国政府与美联储主席鲍威尔之间关系日益紧张的背景下。总统特朗普持续敦促美联储降息,认为其犹豫不决已损害经济。尽管有关于替换鲍威尔的猜测,但姆努钦强调应调查整个机构而非仅限领导层。

⚖️ 美联储的独立性是美国经济在全球市场的基石。市场参与者和一些官员担心,对美联储的持续攻击可能会削弱机构的公信力。摩根大通CEO和参议院多数党领袖都强调了美联储独立性的重要性,并对可能削弱这种独立性的行为表示担忧。

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent sharply escalated his criticisms of the Federal Reserve on Monday, publicly urging a comprehensive investigation into the central bank’s operations and effectiveness. In a news-making interview with CNBC, Bessent questioned whether the Federal Reserve has fulfilled its mandate, issuing a rare public critique from the nation’s top economic official on its own central bank at a pivotal moment for U.S. economic policy. His remarks came amid a summer storm of criticism from the Trump administration against the Fed.

Speaking from Washington, Bessent likened the proposed investigation to safety reviews in other major agencies, such as the Federal Aviation Administration. “What we need to do is examine the entire Federal Reserve institution and whether they have been successful,” Bessent told CNBC’s “Squawk Box.” “Has the organization succeeded in its mission? If this were the [Federal Aviation Administration] and we were having this many mistakes, we would go back and look at why has this happened.”

Bessent also accused the Federal Reserve of “fear-mongering” over President Trump’s sharp tariffs on imported goods, noting: “There was fearmongering over tariffs, and thus far, we have seen very little, if any, inflation. We’ve had great inflation numbers,” he said, referencing the latest data showing annual inflation measured at 2.7% in June, although inflation did creep slightly higher than expected in June, to its highest level since February. Still, inflation has widely not materialized as much as economists and the Fed have warned, and economists have been working to solve the $100 billion mystery. Morgan Stanley has described the tariffs as a developing “mosaic” with “idiosyncratic” effects on the economy, poised to generate $2.7 trillion over the next decade.

He lamented what he sees as an intellectual rigidity at the central bank, criticizing how they are unable to “break out of a certain mindset,” adding, “all these PhDs over there—I don’t know what they do,” Bessent remarked, expressing frustration at the economists steering the institution’s decisions.

The pressure campaign

Bessent’s demand for an inquiry comes amid growing discord between the Trump administration and Fed Chair Jerome Powell, with many Trump officials openly criticizing Powell after Trump began posting on social media at his frustration over Powell’s refusal to cut interest rates as he has consistently cited the risk of inflation running out of control if he does so. The President has pressed the central bank to lower interest rates, arguing that hesitancy has cost the economy “hundreds of billions of dollars.” Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, told Fortune that cutting rates down to 1%, as Trump says he wants, would be a “ludicrous” outcome.

While Trump recently tamped down speculation about removing Powell, Bessent declined to comment on whether he had directly advised against the move, emphasizing instead the need to investigate the broader institution, not just its leadership. Earlier in July, Bessent was the first Trump official to confirm that a formal process was under way by the Trump White House to select Powell’s successor.

In recent weeks, officials including National Economic Director Kevin Hassett and Federal Housing Finance Authority chair Bill Pulte have criticized Powell over the Fed’s $2.5 billion renovation of its headquarters in Washington DC. Powell pushed back against these criticisms just days before Bessent’s Monday comments. Over the weeked, the Associated Press reported that the White House and Fed clashed over whether the renovation should incorporate more glass or the more expensive marble, with marble being the Trump administration’s choice, per meeting minutes. Adding to the turmoil, Republican lawmakers in Congress made a criminal referral against Powell earlier on Monday, alleging false statements to Congress about the renovation work. For his part, Powell has asked the central bank’s inspector general to review aspects of the project for transparency.

Markets and Independence

The central bank’s independence is a cornerstone of U.S. economic credibility with global markets. Some White House officials, as well as market participants, fear that escalating attacks could undermine institutional trust. Senate Majority Leader John Thune notably affirmed the market’s seeming desire and support for an independent Federal Reserve and JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon rebutted Bessent’s remarks about a formal process to replace Powell, saying central bank independence is “absolutely critical.” The risk of losing Fed independence is widely understood to be synonymous with the U.S. economy’s wider loss of credibility, but Deutsche Bank has spelled out a scenario where, if Trump were to remove Powell before the end of his term, both the dollar and bond market could collapse.

Despite political friction, Bessent reiterated that President Trump alone will ultimately decide the future of Fed leadership. The market is responding in much the way Thune described, with stocks hitting record highs in July amid a better-than-expected jobs report and increases in both retail sales and consumer sentiment. Those combine to lead to the very thing Trump wants to end: unchanged interest rates.

For this story, Fortune used generative AI to help with an initial draft. An editor verified the accuracy of the information before publishing. 

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美联储 财政部长 货币政策 经济调查 央行独立性
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