Fortune | FORTUNE 07月21日 22:37
You’re not imagining it. Beef prices are up as much as 12% in the past year
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近期,美国牛肉价格屡创新高,每磅平均价格上涨9%至9.26美元,同比涨幅高达12.4%。汉堡肉价格也受到影响,过去一年上涨10.3%。这主要归因于牛群数量减少至74年来的最低点,同时饲料成本上升以及进口牛肉价格增加。相比之下,鸡蛋价格因禽流感担忧导致鸡群数量下降而飙升后,随着鸡群恢复和供应增加,价格已开始回落,早餐成本有所降低。牛肉价格的下降前景不明朗,因为牛的生长周期长,饲料成本居高不下,进口牛肉也可能面临关税。除非家庭收入下降导致牛肉消费减少,否则牛肉价格难以快速回落,这对农民的收入将是另一重打击。

🥩 牛肉价格持续飙升,创下历史新高。自年初以来,每磅平均价格已上涨9%至9.26美元,过去一年牛排价格更是上涨了12.4%,汉堡肉价格也同比上涨了10.3%。

📉 鸡蛋价格出现显著回落,早餐成本逐渐降低。此前受禽流感影响导致大量鸡只被淘汰,鸡蛋供应短缺推高了价格,但随着鸡群数量的恢复,供应增加,鸡蛋价格已回归平稳。

🐂 牛肉价格上涨的根本原因在于牛群数量的锐减,已降至74年来的最低点。同时,饲料成本的上升和进口牛肉价格的增加也加剧了价格上涨的压力。

⏳ 牛肉价格短期内难以快速回落。牛的生长周期较长,即使牛群数量开始恢复,也需要时间才能反映在供应上。此外,居高不下的饲料成本和潜在的进口关税将继续推高牛肉生产成本。

😥 牛肉价格的潜在下降可能伴随着负面经济影响。唯一可能导致牛肉价格显著下降的情况是家庭收入下降,使得牛肉成为奢侈品,但这将严重损害农民的收入。

    Beef prices continue to climb as egg prices fall. Since January, the average price per pound has jumped 9% to $9.26. Over the past year, steak prices are up 12.4%.

Breakfast is starting to become affordable once again as egg prices have finally seen price drops, but if you’re thinking of firing up the grill, you might want to check your savings account first.

Beef prices are hitting new record highs. The Department of Agriculture shows that since January, the average price per pound has jumped 9% to $9.26. Over the past year, steak prices are up 12.4%.

Hamburger’s not much better off. The price of ground beef is up 10.3% in the past year.

Demand has remained high while herds have been shrinking—hitting their lowest levels in 74 years. Feed prices are higher and Imported beef is costing more as well.

Egg prices spiked due to avian flu concerns, which resulted in the slaughter of millions of chickens and a subsequent shortage of domestically produced eggs. Chicken populations eventually started to recover from the slaughter, though, which increased the supply, bringing costs back down.

It won’t be that easy with beef.

While herd sizes can grow, it takes longer for a cow to mature—and the rising price of feed isn’t expected to decline anytime soon, meaning it costs a fair bit more to raise the cattle. Imports, meanwhile, are likely to be subject to tariffs moving forward, and those make up about 8% of U.S. beef consumption.

The best chance for a price drop is the scenario everyone wants to avoid. If household incomes drop to the point that beef becomes a luxury, prices will decline, but that will also hurt farmers, whose incomes are already perilous.

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牛肉价格 鸡蛋价格 通货膨胀 农产品 经济
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